HomeMy WebLinkAboutRES 80-39RESOLUTION NO.80-39
A RESOLUTION OF THE MAYOR AND CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF APACHE
JUNCTION,PINAL COUNTY,ARIZONA,APPROVING THE REPORT ENTITLED
"POPULATION ANALYSIS FOR THE CITY OF APACHE JUNCTION,ARIZONA",
AND WHICH INDICATED A YEAR-ROUND POPULATION IN THE CITY OF APACHE
JUNCTION,ARIZONA,OF AT LEAST 10,500 PERSONS;DECLARING ITS
BELIEF THAT THE U.S.CENSUS BUREAU ERRED IN THE POPULATION COUNT
IN THE CITY OF APACHE JUNCTION,ARIZONA,IN 1980;AND DECLARING
AN EMERGENCY.
WHEREAS,the City of Apache Junction,Arizona,has contracted with
the PRC Toups Corporation for a series of studies which include a pop-
ulation analysis,both present and projected;and
WHEREAS,the PRC Toups Corporation i s qualified to provide profes-
sional consultant services i n the field of population deterMination and
projection by training and experience;and
WHEREAS,the PRC Toups Corporation has gathered all reasonable data
and using best information,prepared a report of population,both present
and projected;and
WHEREAS,at the request of the City of Apache Junction,Arizona,
having just incorporated,the U.S.Census Bureau conducted a special
census count i n March,1979,and determined that,at that time,City
population was 10,121 persons;and
WHEREAS,the City of Apache Junction,Arizona,i s the second fastest
growing city i n the State of Arizona;and
WHEREAS,the U.S.Bureau of the Census indicates a 1980 census count
of population for the City of Apache Junction,Arizona,of 9,967 persons
being 154 persons less than the 1979 count;
NOW,THEREFORE,BE IT RESOLVED BY THE MAYOR AND CITY COUNCIL OF THE
CITY OF APACHE JUNCTION,PINAL COUNTY,ARIZONA,THAT:
1.The City Council approves and accepts the report entitled
"Population Analysis for the City of Apache Junction,
Arizona;and
2.The City Council,based on the findings Of the aforesaid
report,declares that i t believes that the 1980 population
count of year-round residents for the City of Apache Junction,
Pinal County,Arizona,i s at least 10,500 persons;and
FURTHER RESOLVED that the City Council hereby directs the office of
the City Attorney to pursue all means to obtain an accurate count of
population for the City of Apache Junction,Arizona,for the year 1980;and
BE IT FURTHER RESOLVED that the City Clerk i s authorized and directed
to send certified copies of this Resolution and any appropriate documen-
tation to the Director,U.S.Bureau of the Census;the Governor,State of
Arizona;the Arizona Congressional Delegation;and the Arizona State
Legislators representing the Apache Junction area.
PASSED AND ADOPTED by the Mayor and City Council of the City of ApacheJunction,Arizona,this 17th day of December ,19 80
.-
M
a -76Z
RESOLUTION NO.80-39
Page 2
ATTEST:
City Clerk
APPROVED AS TO FORM:
A.0 64,3
City Attorney
POPULATION ANALYSIS
FOR THE
CITY OF APACHE JUNCTION,ARIZONA
prepared by
PRC TOUPS
4131 North 24th Street
Phoenix,Arizona 85016
October 24,1980
PRC Toups
POPULATION ANALYSIS
FOR THE
CITY OF APACHE JUNCTION
The following report i s a summary o f the various activities and findings
that we have carried out and conclusions that we have reached i n studying
population and forecasts for the Apache Junction area as part o f our
contractural requirements i n the study o f future community facility and
space needs.
CONTACTS AND RESPONSES
We carried out the following contacts t o obtain population information
and received the following general information:
Pinal County Courthouse:868-5801
Contacted Charlie Quinn,Deputy County Manager and Terry Smith,Planning
Director was promised some information but received nothing.
Department o f Economic Security:
This department i s the official Government Office for determining
population projections for the State and its political jurisdictions.
Jack Kronenfield,255-5984 supplied considerable data and the DES
projections for the State,County and Apache Junction.Part of the
data received is contained herein.
Department of Economic Planning and Development:
Eric Rassmussen,255-5725,indicated that data they had available
and data that they would use would be that provided by the Department
o f Economic Security.
Department of Health Services:
Helen Davis,255-1068,submitted birth and jeath data for a 10 year
period for the Apache Junction Area by zip code area designation.
See copy i n appendix.
PRC Toups
Department o f Transportation:
Bob Mickelson,261-7433.Data similar t o that produced by DES.
Maricopa Association o f Governments:
Tom Ford,261-7867.Doesn't have anything on Apache Junction area o r
Final County except that produced by DES.
Central Arizona Association o f Governments:
John Glaze,868-5878,said he would send data but never received
anything.
Valley National Bank Research Center:261-2777
Stated that they had no statistical data available for an area as
small as Apache Junction outside o f Maricopa County.
First National Bank o f Arizona Research Center:271-1211
Similar comment as (VNB)above.
Arizona Public Service -Gas Service:
John McAtee,271-7830,Area Service Manager.Service Area east o f
Meridian Road,for 6 miles east and 2 miles north and south o f Apache
Trail total accounts 6,500+.
Number o f accounts that request t o be disconnected during summer
2,241 for 2 years ago;2,736,this past year o r approximately 42%o f
total accounts.Some residents leave but don't ask for disconnects
and pay the monthly minimum of $2.50,the manager has no idea how many
this would be.Arizona Public Service connects approximately 80 new
accounts annually in the Apache Junction Area.
The Area Office Manager indicated that they had some information on
computer tapes by zip code areas,but no seasonal cut off information.
Any information retreived on a small area basis would have a special
program run and a service charge would be necessary.
:This source may be a useful one and one t o work with as an input t o
future population projections and particularly to seasonal trends.
PRC Toups
Mountain Bell -Telephone Service:
Saundra Lawson,255-6411,Local Area Manager.Mountain Bell keeps
track o f telephone connections by prefixes.The area wide Superstition
prefixes are 982,984,986,981 and 985.Apache Junction prefix i s
982 and generally includes the area bounded by McDowell and Baseline,
Meridian t o Goldfield.Total number accounts 5,803,September 24,1980,o f
which 1,901 o r (32.8%)o f the accounts were on vacation status.
Mountain Bell does not distinguish between residential o r commercial
connections o r accounts a t this time.Current growth i n the Apache
Junction Area i s less than 100 connections per year.Big growth occured
i n 1978 and 1979.Current new growth i s between Meridian t o Sossaman
This source appears t o be a very useful one for input t o current growth,
projections and seasonsal trends.The city should contact Mountain Bell
representatives t o work out an acceptable program o f accounts information.
Salt River Project -Electrical Service:
Bing Brown,273-5724,Manager Information Division indicated that they
kept records by geographic billing areas which are established t o
assist meter readers,and are not usually o f much value t o government
jurisdictional area.However,for a small charge Salt River Project can
provide computer printout data from a single o r a combined billing area
for a limited amount o f information.
Apache Junction Post Office:982-2121
Apache Junction zip code number 85220.Zip code boundaries;West
Boundary:Crismon Road,South o f Apache Trail and 102nd Street between Apache
Trail and Brown Road and 108th Street (Signal Butte)north o f Brown Road.
North Boundary:Salt River.East Boundary:Includes Florence Junction,
Queen Valley,Kings Ranch.South Boundary:Not fully established.
Post mistress t o supply new information directly t o the City Planning
Department.
Postal receipts make a pretty good barometer of growth.An attempt
should be made to establish a more logical zip code area which will match
the city's existing o r projected growth area.Other types and sources •
o f information are maintained by zip code number.
AVAILABLE STATISTICAL DATA PAST AND PRESENT
The following charts have been extracted from other reports that have
included the Apache Junction Area.The chart below i s from a report
prepared i n 1963 and 1964.The population projections for Apache
Junction i s reasonably accurate.
PRCToups
Figure 21
PROJECTED POPULATION GROWTH,1970 &1980
Western Pinal County Communities
1970 1980
%Increase % Increase
Community 1963*Pop.over 1963 Pop.over 1963
Casa Grande 9,290 -17,100 84.0 37,400 302.6
Coolidge 5,310 9,250 74.1 18,100 240.9
Eloy 5,550 6,800 22.5 9,700 74.8
Florence 2,240 3,100 38.4 4,500 100.9
Apache Jct.3,600 5,600 55.6 10,000 177.8
Oracle 1,200 2,000
•
66.7 5,700 375.0
*Estimated from land use and other data.
SOURCE:
Van Cleve and Associates,1964.
POPULATION GROWTH IN THE UNITED STATES,
ARIZONA,THE 9 COUNTY SOUTHERN REGION,
AND PINAL COUNTY
1950-1960
1950 1960 1955-1960
UNITED STATES
Population
Growth Rate*
ARIZONA
Population
Growth Rate*
9 COUNTY SOUTHERN REGION
Population
Growth Rate*
PINAL COUNTY
Population •
Growth Rate*
150,697,000 178,468,000
1.7%
749,587 1,302,161
5.7%
635,000 1,151 1000
6.1%
43,191 62,673
3.8%
1.8%
5.3%
5.5%
3.0%
Pinal County as a percent of:
the 9 County Southern Region 6.8%5.4%
Arizona 5.8%4.8%
Sources:U .S.Bureau of the Census,U.S. Census of
Population:1960,Number of Inhabitants,Arizona,
Final Report PC (1)-4A;and Current Population
Reports,Series P-25,N .240.
All growth rates computed on the basis of actual or imputed average
yearly rates of increase (compounded) during the previous 10 year
period (or other time span as indicated).
Standard Note:indicates not appropriate.
SOURCE:
Pinal County 1985 Development Plan.
Ken R.White Company,1967.
COMPARATIVE POPULATION CHANGE & GROWTH RATES 1950-2000
PI NAL COUNTY & S ELECTEIYURSAN-PrACES
Annual Change*
Population Change 10 Yr.15 Yr.5 Yr.Trends by Selected Extrapolations
Location 1950 1960 1965 1950-60 1950-65 1960-65 2.7 2.0 1.5 1.0
Pinal 43,191 62,673 64,000 3.8 2.7 0.4 162,611 127,993 107,769 90,662
County
Apache
Junction ---2,781 3,242 ------3.1 8,237 6,483 5,459 4,592
Casa
Grande 4,181 8,311 8,485 7.1 4.8 0.4 21,558 16,969 14,287 12,019
Coolidge 4,306 4,990 5,012 1.5 1.0 1.0 12,734 10,023 8,439 7,099
El oy 3,580 4,899 5,373 3.2 2.8 1.9 13,651 10,745 9,047 7,611
Florence 1,776 2,143 2,141 1.9 1.3 -.1 5,439 4,281 3,605 3,032
Kearny 902 1,739 ------14.0 4,418 3,477 2,928 2,463
Mammoth ---1,913 1,612 -------3.4 4,095 3,223 2,714 2,283
Oracle 1,056 1,445 6.4 3,671 2,889 2,433 2,046
Ray 1,468 ------
San Manuel ---4,524 3,237 ---8,224 6,473 5,450 4,585
Sonora 1,821 1,244 ------
Superior ---4,875 5,300 12,386 9,749 8,209 6,905
*Compounded Annua I Average Increase
(Arizona Average Annual Increase
1950-60 5.7 Percent)
SOURCE:
Pinal County 1985 Development Plan.
Ken R.White Company,1967.
POPULATION CHANGE IN PINAL COUNTY'S URBAN AREAS
Casa Grande
Apache Junction
F lorence
Sonora
1940 1950 19 1960 1965
12 Source:U.S.Census of Population :1960,Final Report PC(1) -4A and Special
Census of Pinal County,December 3,1965 (unpublished).
SOURCE:Pinal County 1985 Development Plan
Ken R.White Company,1967.•
POPULATION Apache Junction has shown remarkable population growth since its quiet crossroads stat
in 1950.While lack of well-defined political boundaries has hindered the U.S.Cens
and other organizations in their estimation efforts,the Arizona Department of Econorr
Security has estimated Apache Junction's population at 8,500 at mid -year 1976.T t
estimate,it should be noted,extends t o the west beyond the Maricopa-Pinal county k
taking in built-up portions of Maricopa County and should reflect the best possible estima
currently available. This estimate also reflects an average population,i.e. somewhat great
than the actual permanent year-round figure although considerably below the tempora
. peak experienced in February and March with the influx of winter visitors.A t the tin
of writing,Apache Junction had 6 3 mobile home and R.V.parks which regularly achie•
full occupancy during the December -April season but often less than one-third occupant
during the summer.According t o figures generated for the Central Arizona Associatic
of Governments .(CAAG),about 61 percent of the Apache Junction area population residt
there a minimum of 330 days per year. CAAG found that about one -fifth of the populatic
resided in the area less than half of the year.
TABLE 6
POPULATION
%Annual Increase
1960 1970 1977 1970-1977
.Apache Junctionl N/A 2,390 8.500 +36.5%•
Apache Junction Tovvnship 2 N/A 4,400 12,003 +24.7
Maricopa County 663.510 ,971,228 1,287.800 +4.7
Final County 62,673 68,600 89.703 +4 4
Arizona 1.302.161 1,775,399 2.351,000 4 4.6
1 Apache Junction includes developed area along U.S.6 0 between Junction and County Line.
2 Apache Junction Township includes 36 souare miles in T.1N.•R.8E.
Sources:Arizona Department of Economic Security •
Bureau of the Census.U.S.Department of Commerce
(Apache Junction Township estimate b y Arizona Office of Economic Planning and ,
Development)
TABLE 7
POPULATION BY AGE GROUP
(Apache Junction Area)
Age Male Female Total
6 & Under 13.4%12.0%12.7%
7-14 17.2 16.9 17.1
15-19 9.5 .9.2 9.4
20-24 5.4 6.7 6.1
25-34 10.7 10.6 10.7
35-44 10.7 11.2 10.9
45-54 10.5 10.9 10.7
55-64 10.9 10.5
65-74 8.8 8.2 8.5
75 &Over 3.6 3.2 3.4
Total 100.0 100.0 100.0
Median Age N/A N/A N/A
Source:Arizona Department of Economic
Security
SOURCE:
Community ProspectusArizonaOfficeofEconomic Planning and Development
Community Affairs,1978.
TABLE 5
APACHE JUNCTION ECONOMIC INDICATORS
(Apache Junction Township)
1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977
Retail Sales 10000 1 2.381 2.959 3,861 5,096 6,646 7,730 14.810 26.100
Residential Bldg.Permits 2 130 (35 130 116 9 6 9 5 89 177
Bank Deposits 10005)3 10.337 12.405 15.708 20.0417 22.757 27250 36.312 44.545
Postal Receipts 4 112,341 133.495 167.350 194515 213292 252.735 296.054 340.000
School Enrollment 5 801 1,015 '1,149 1.351 1,445 1,508 .1.642 1,762
Net Assessed Valuation 1000s16 5.572 7,951 8.460 9.860 11,417 12.409 12,758 14.375
Note.This data is generared at si.month inte-vals and current information can be obtained from the Apache Junction Chamber
of Commerce.
Sources:l Estimaies by OEPAD
2 Pinal County Planning and Zoning Commission •
3 Estimates by OEPAD
4 Apache Junction Post Office,U.S.Postal Service
5 Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction
6 Arizona Ta,Research Association
SOURCE:
Community Prospectus
Arizona Office o f Economic Planning and Development
Community Affairs,1978.
NOTE:
School enrollment figure i s based upon average daily attendance,actual
enrollment i s approximately 10%higher.
SCHOOL ENROLLMENTS:
1977 -78
1782
1578-79
1914
1979 -80
2072
SOURCE:
School District Superintendent
BANK DEPOSITS (000's)
1978
41,871
POSTAL RECEIPTS:
1977
350,473
1978
390,152
1979
54,038
1979
472,830
1980-81
2205
1980
518,187
SOURCE:
U.S.Postal Service,Postmaster,L.Kraus
(1955 Projection)
12,636
Retail sales,bank deposits,postal receipts and school enrollments make
pretty good statistical information i n carrying out population estimates,
trends and projects.I f a reasonable data base can be established,every
effort should be made by the City t o maintain and enhance this data base
for future use.
.PROJECTIONS
The following chart indicates estimates and trends o f resident population
between 1970 and 1980,with projections t o the year 2000 for the State
o f Arizona,Maricopa County,Mesa,Tempe and Apache Junction.These
estimates and projections were prepared by the Arizona Department o f
Economic Security which i s the official demographic agency for the State
o f Arizona.This chart indicates the general growth trend lines for each
area.All areas,with the exception o f Tempe,showed substantial increases
i n growth between 1978 and 1980.The chart indicates a flattening i n the
projections after 1980,except for the State.We believe that the Maricopa
County and Apache Junction rate may be slightly steeper than what i s
indicated.I t i s this offices'feeling that the recent incorporation -of
the City will add amenities t o the Apache Junction area which will attract
a higher percent o f persons coming t o the State t o settle i n Apache Junction.
The extension o f the Superstition Freeway closer t o Apache Junction will
also tend t o increase the desirability t o live i n Apache Junction.
Consequently,we feel that the actual growth trend line for Apache Junction
during the next decade should be increased t o approximately 16,300 persons
for the year 1990 with the trend line remaining approximately as indicated
for the second decade raising the estimated total for the year 2000 t o
approximately 21,600 persons.
PRC Toups
4.5
4.0.
3.5 -
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0 .
0.5
0
POPULATION PROJECTIONS
FOR
APACHE JUNCTION
(Source:Arizona Department o f Economic Security)
0
C71
O State o f Arizona (1,000,000s)
A Maricopa County (1,000,000s)
O Pinal County (100,0005)
Apache Junction (10,000s)
Percentage rates
T5.3%
0.83%
0.47%
0 LA 0 LA 0
CO CO CA C71 CD
0 1 a l a l a l 0-.---. --t-NI
- -
15%=Apache Junction's %o f Pinal County Population
. 74%=Apache Junction's Population Compared t o Maricopa County's Populati
▪=Apache Junction's %o f Arizona's Population
CHART 2
The following chart compares Apache Junction resident population growth
t o that o f the State,Pinal and Maricopa Counties.I t indicates a
growth rate line slightly lower than the State and Maricopa County but
considerably higher than Pinal County.The chart indicates that Apache
Junctions'share i n the State total would increase from 0.4%i n 1980
t o 0.47%for the year 2000.This appears t o be a reasonable growth
trend and on this basis,i n the year 2000 the State will have approximately
4,280,000 persons with Apache Junction having 20,111 as indicated i n the
previous chart.However,with the continuation o f people migrating from
the snow and frost belts t o the sun belts due t o higher energy costs and
more favorable living conditions,also,the completion o f the Central
Arizona Project which will assure Eastern and Midwestern industrial and
financial establishments that the State has an assured water supply;then
the State's total growth rate may increase substantially over that
indicated.Also,with increased growth t o the East and Southern portions
o f the Phoenix Metro Area.Apache Junctions'growth may increase t o more
than 0.5%o f the State total thereby raising the towns'resident population
projection t o well over 30,000 by the year 2000.
PRC Toups
5.0
4.5
4.0
3.5
3.0
2.5
--1
2.0
1.5
1.0tr"NA
:GROWTH RATES CHART
(Source:Arizona Department of Economic Security)
wx—
I
0
(.11 %.0 N .CO Crt
N .N .N .N..N .N .N.N .N .N .COcncr.rn cr,O i
4.=••••••••1 ••O....•••••
•••••••••
•
0—AD---0 ------20,111
...•••...--........•••.............4 ._
114,732_ ---.---------
-..-•••••1 1
,648
"1,506
r J -41,
u-,0 Lnco1:71 CrN
G I 0'1 Cf)-. -
0a
r:1 State (1,000,000s)
,a Marlcopa County (1,000,000s)
0 Mesa (100,000s)0 Apache Junction (10,000s)
*Tempe (100,000s)NA Not Available
9.5
9.0
8.5
8.0
7.5
7.0
6.5
6.0
5.5
5.0
4.5
APACHE.JUNCTION, ECONOMIC INDICATORS
r z
z
z
z r
/
0 /
4.03.5 /
/
41 000
er's si•
)1/0.--No
3.0 /Cid ?C s'
1 0 / 1 P•C i c "31,500
•.-
r
V AY ./
e r "
—0--
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0
171 Cr
N .
a l
):(/
,C11 1°
cr-1
N .
N.CO
Cr1
Retai 1 Sales (1,000,000s)
ARes.Bldg.Permits (100s)
0 Bank Deposits (1,000,000s)
__-o
z
z /
, A -
10,500
a l
N-.0:J
a l a l
0 -
119,000
7
57,000
J2)-
:43 611, 800
-6--y
ACTUAL POPULAT ON PROJECTION
1:,35o
13,350
LI 1,
CO
0 1
cr)cr.
Postal Receipts (100,000s)
0 School Enrollment (1,000s)
s.•Net Assessed Valuation (1,000,000s)
19,000
U1
C-'
4:17a
21,600
(NI
APACHE JUNCTION ECONOMIC INDICATORS AND POPULATION PROJECTION
Certain economic indicators and statistical data can be a reliable source
i n determining population estimates,trends and projections.Since Apache
Junction i s a new jurisdictional area,available economic data i s slight
and questionable due t o the statistical area being considered a t the time
o f the data collection.The chart shows some economic indicators for
data available but questionable.Retail sales,bank deposits,postal
receipts and school enrollments are good indicators for projecting future
growth.
Utility connections can also be used as a very good indicator for growth,
as well as provide reasonably good information on seasonal occupancy.
However,Apache Junctions'utility companies service connection data
cover different service areas and a t this time they are not suitable for
reliable projections.Every effort should be made t o have utility
service connections accounted i n a way which would be o f value i n making
and supporting future population estimates and projections.A review o f
the following chart indicates that retail sales,bank deposits,and postal
receipts have been rapidly increasing since 1973/74,while part o f this
i s due t o inflation,this office believes that i t more clearly reflects
a truer and faster growth rate for the Apache Junction area than has
actually been considered.A continued but declining growth rate for these
indicators i s projected on the following chart by this office.
Superimposed over this chart i s a population projection line following
a growth rate comparable with the other growth indicators.This line
starts with a 1980 population o f 10,500 x 3 and increases t o a population"
o f 60,300 3 =20,100 for a year 2000 population.This projection i s
close t o the 20,111 projected by the Arizona Department o f Economic
Security.
PRC Toups
SEASONAL OR WINTER RESIDENTS
Seasonal residents,which have not been included i n the previous comments
and projections,account for a large number o f Apache Junctions'total
population.Whether these residents are classified as permanent resi-
dents from a federal census definition i s questionable.For the most
part,Apache Junctions'seasonal residents live i n mobile home or travel
trailer parks;they consider some other location,where they usually own
property,as being their permanent place o f residency.
A survey that was carried out i n November o f 1980,indicates that there
were 73 separately owned mobile home or travel trailer parks located
within the corporate limits of the City and seven more parks lying ad-
jacent o r within the immediate service area o f the City.The 73 parks
contained 1719 mobile home spaces and 4305 travel trailer spaces.The
seven parks contained 761 mobile home spaces and 45 travel trailer spaces.
I t was indicated during the survey,that 90%o f these spaces are filled
during the peak o f the winter season.Another survey conducted for the
Central Arizona Association o f Governments i n 1975 and reported on i n
September 1976,indicated that only 61.4%o f the areas population re-
sided i n the area for more than 330 days o f the year and about 20%re-
sided i n the area for less than 180 days o f the year.Consequently,
i t appears that the seasonal resident population o f the City could be
as high as 9760 with another 1300 residing within the general service
area.This project i s based upon the assumption o f 90%occupancy of
all mobile home and travel trailer spaces and utilizing a 1.8 persons
per residency ratio.I t can also be assumed that over 2200 o f these
people reside i n the community for more than one half o f the year but
claim other places as their permanent place o f residency.
Nevertheless,the City o f Apache Junction must consider seasonal re-
sidents i n its'future planning and growth process for providing muni-
cipal and public services and functions.
The preliminary 1980 Federal Census indicates that the City o f Apache
Junction contained 6,960 housing units o f which 2,677 were vacant leav-
ing 4273 occupied units containing 9,967 persons for an average o f 2.33
persons per occupied unit.I f this average o r 2.0 were used for sea-
sonal occupancy then the projection would be increased by another 1000
persons.
The special census taken a t the time of incorporation i n March o f 1979
resulted i n a count •o f 10,128 persons.Considerable controversy i s be-
ing carried out regarding the population count by the 1980 Federal
Census i n regards t o the City o f Apache Junction as well as many other
cities o f the state and nation.I n our opinion,this controversy i s
PRC Toups
primarily caused by the mass movements o f persons primarily o f retire-
ment age who travel and reside i n multiple locations during the year.
Consequently,we feel i t i s important for the City o f Apache Junction
t o attempt t o count all o f the residents o f the community i n future
census'that reside i n the City for the most part o f the year as per-
manent residents and t o establish data collection techniques which will
support such a determination.
PRC Toups
CONCLUSION
For the purposes o f this study,which i s t o establish baseline projections
for future population growth t o determine future community facilities
and space needs.We believe that the following projections should be
considered.
These projections take into consideration permanent year round
residents as well as seasonal residents which should be considered
as permanent residents when determining future City needs,facilities
and services.
PRC Toups
POPULATION PROJECTIONS 1980 to 2000
CITY OF APACHE JUNCTION,ARIZONA
YEAR RESIDENT POPULATION IN CITY RESIDENT POPULATION IN TOTAL RESIDENT SEASONAL TOTAL
(1)SERVICE AREA POPULATION OF RESIDENTS POPULATION
(1)SERVICE AREA (2)
1980 10,500 2,200 12,700 3,990 16,690
1985 13,399 _2,806 16,205 '5,091 21,296
1990 ,17,720 3,579 21,299 6,733 28,032
1995 21,264 4,294 25,598 8,080 33,638
2000 24,453 4,938 29,391 9,292 38,683
(1)Growth is based upon a 52 annual growth between 1980 and 1990 then decreased to La for
1990 to 1995 and 3%for 1995 to the year 2000.
(2)Seasonal Population is based upon an average of 38%.This assumes that approximately
20% of the seasonal residents spend approximately six months time in the area and 90%
spend approximately three months time in the area.