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HomeMy WebLinkAboutRES 14-06RESOLUTION NO. 14-06 A RESOLUTION OF THE MAYOR AND CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF APACHE JUNCTION,ARIZONA,ADOPTING THE DEVELOPMENT FEE STUDY:LAND USE ASSUMPTIONS,INFRASTRUCTURE IMPROVEMENTS PLAN AND DEVELOPMENT FEES. WHEREAS,A.R.S.§ 9-463.05 requires a city to adopt, in conjunction with a development fee ordinance, a land use assumption and infrastructure improvements plan (the "study"); and WHEREAS,the Mayor and City Council,on January 3, 2014, gave staff direction to update the city's development fees to include the study; and WHEREAS,the city has hired the consultant firm of TischlerBise to draft and present the study; and WHEREAS,TischlerBise has completed a draft of the study; and WHEREAS,the Mayor and City Council,on January 21, 2014, held a public hearing on the study; and WHEREAS, the City has met all notice and public notice requirements set forth in A.R.S. § 9-463.05 on the study. NOW,THEREFORE,BE IT RESOLVED BY THE MAYOR AND CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF APACHE JUNCTION,ARIZONA,THAT THE STUDY:LAND USE ASSUMPTIONS,INFRASTRUCTURE IMPROVEMENTS PLAN AND DEVELOPMENT FEES,ATTACHED AS EXHIBIT A,BE APPROVED AND ADOPTED. PASSED AND ADOPTED BY THE MAYOR AND CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF APACHE JUNCTION,ARIZONA,THIS 4th DAY OF MARCH, 2014. SIGNED AND ATTESTED TO THIS DAY OF /14 , 2014. RESOLUTION NO. 14-06 PAGE 1 OF 2 ATTEST: KATHLEEN CONNELLY City Clerk APPROVED AS TO FORM: RICHARD JOELJOEL STERN City Attorney RESOLUTION NO. 14-06 PAGE 2 OF 2 EXHIBIT A • DRAFT - DEVELOPMENT FEE STUDY: LAND USE ASSUMPTIONS INF .FASTRUCTURE IMPROVEMENTS PLAN AND DEVELOPMENT FEES Prepared for: Citk of Apache Junction, Arizona March 4, 2014 lischlerBise Fiscal, Economic & Planning Consultants 4701 Sangamore Road, Suite 5240 Bethesda, MD 301.320.6900 www.tischlerbise.com DRAFT — Development Fee Study City of Apache Junction, Arizona [PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK] DRAFT — Development Fee Study City of Apache Junction, Arizona TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive Summary ............................................................................................................................................4 Arizona Development Fee Enabling Legislation .......................................................................................................4 Necessary Public Services .........................................................................................................................................5 Infrastructure Improvements Plan ...........................................................................................................................5 Qualified Professionals ..............................................................................................................................................6 Development Fees ..............................................................................................................................................7 Calculation Methodologies ........................................................................................................................................7 Reporting Results ...............................................................................................................................................7 Maximum Supportable Development Fees ...............................................................................................................8 Comparison to Current Development Fees ...............................................................................................................9 Library Facilities Infrastructure Improvements Plan ...................................................................................11 Overview .................................................................................................................................................................11 Service Area ............................................................................................................................................................11 Proportionate Share ................................................................................................................................................11 IIP for Library Facilities ..........................................................................................................................................12 Analysis of Capacity, Usage, and Costs of existing public services ........................................................................12 Level of Service .................................................................................................................................................12 Cost per Service unit ........................................................................................................................................13 Excluded Cost ...................................................................................................................................................14 Current Use and Available Capacity .............................................................................................................14 Ratio of Service unit to development unit ...............................................................................................................14 Projected Service Units and Infrastructure Demand ............................................................................................../4 Library Facilities Improvements Plan ...........................................................................................................15 Maximum Supportable Library Facilities Development Fees .................................................................................16 Library Facilities IIP and Development Fee Study ......................................................................................16 Revenue Credit .................................................................................................................................................16 Forecast of Revenues ...............................................................................................................................................18 Library Facilities Cash Flow ...........................................................................................................................18 Parks and Recreational Facilities Infrastructure Improvements Plan ........................................................19 Overview .................................................................................................................................................................19 Service Area ............................................................................................................................................................19 Proportionate Share ................................................................................................................................................20 IIP for Parks and Recreational Facilities .................................................................................................................20 Analysis of Capacity, Usage, and Costs of existing public services ........................................................................20 Parkland ............................................................................................................................................................21 Park Improvements .........................................................................................................................................22 Recreational Facilities ......................................................................................................................................23 Multi -Use Trails ................................................................................................................................................24 Excluded Costs .................................................................................................................................................24 Current Use and Available Capacity .............................................................................................................24 Ratio of Service unit to development unit ...............................................................................................................25 Projected Demand for Services And Costs ..............................................................................................................25 Parks and Recreational Facilities Improvements Plan ................................................................................27 Maximum Supportable Parks and Recreational Facilities Development Fees ........................................................28 lisch!efflisp,1 DRAFT — Development Fee Study City of Apache Junction, Arizona Parks and Recreational Facilities IIP and Development Fee Study ..........................................................28 Revenue Credit .................................................................................................................................................28 Forecast of Revenues ...............................................................................................................................................30 Parks and Recreational Facilities Cash Flow ................................................................................................30 Police Facilities Infrastructure Improvements Plan .....................................................................................31 Overview .................................................................................................................................................................31 Service Area ............................................................................................................................................................31 Proportionate Share ................................................................................................................................................31 Functional Population .....................................................................................................................................31 Service units ......................................................................................................................................................33 Police Calls for Service ....................................................................................................................................33 IIP For Police Facilities ...........................................................................................................................................34 Analysis of Capacity, Usage, and Costs of existing public services ........................................................................34 Vehicles ..............................................................................................................................................................35 Communications Equipment .........................................................................................................................36 Excluded Costs .................................................................................................................................................36 Current Use and Available Capacity .............................................................................................................36 Ratio of Service unit to development unit ...............................................................................................................37 Projected Demand for Services And Costs ..............................................................................................................38 Police Facilities Improvements Plan ..............................................................................................................40 Maximum Supportable Police Facilities Development Fees ...................................................................................41 Police Facilities IIP and Development Fee Study ........................................................................................41 Revenue Credit .................................................................................................................................................41 Forecast of Revenues ...............................................................................................................................................43 Police Facilities Cash Flow ..............................................................................................................................43 Street Facilities Infrastructure Improvements Plan ......................................................................................45 Overview .................................................................................................................................................................45 Service Area ............................................................................................................................................................45 Proportionate Share ................................................................................................................................................47 IIP For Street Facilities ...........................................................................................................................................47 Analysis of Capacity, Usage, and Costs of existing public services ........................................................................47 Current Inventory ............................................................................................................................................48 Trip Generation Rates ......................................................................................................................................49 Lane Capacity ...................................................................................................................................................52 Current Level of Service ..................................................................................................................................52 Cost per Lane Mile ...........................................................................................................................................56 Excluded Costs .................................................................................................................................................57 Current Use and Available Capacity .............................................................................................................57 Ratio of Service Unit to Land Use ..........................................................................................................................58 Projected Demand for Services And Costs ..............................................................................................................60 Minor Arterials .................................................................................................................................................60 Collectors ...........................................................................................................................................................61 Signalized Intersections ...................................................................................................................................63 Street Facilities Improvements Plan .......................................................................................................................65 Maximum Supportable Street Facilities Development Fees ....................................................................................65 Street Facilities IIP and Development Fee Study .........................................................................................65 Revenue Credit .................................................................................................................................................65 Forecast of Revenues ...............................................................................................................................................67 2 DRAFT — Development Fee Study City of Apache Junction, Arizona Street Facilities Cash Flow ..............................................................................................................................67 Appendix A — Cost of Professional Services .................................................................................................69 Appendix B — Forecast of Revenues Other Than Development Fees ........................................................70 Revenue Projections ................................................................................................................................................70 General Fund ....................................................................................................................................................71 Highway User Tax (HURF) ............................................................................................................................72 Appendix C - Land Use Assumptions ............................................................................................................73 Summary of Growth Indicators .....................................................................................................................73 Residential Development .........................................................................................................................................75 Recent Residential Construction ....................................................................................................................75 Persons Per Housing Unit ...............................................................................................................................76 Population Estimates and Projections ...........................................................................................................77 Population and Housing Unit Projections ....................................................................................................78 Nonresidential Development ...................................................................................................................................80 Employment Estimates and Projections .......................................................................................................80 Nonresidential Square Footage Development .............................................................................................81 Nonresidential Floor Area and Employment Projections ..........................................................................82 Average Daily Vehicle Trips ...................................................................................................................................84 Trip Rate Adjustments ....................................................................................................................................84 Estimated Vehicle Trips in Apache Junction ................................................................................................85 Demand Indicators by Size of Detached Housing .......................................................................................87 Land Use Assumptions Summary ..........................................................................................................................87 Ischlereise 3 DRAFT — Development Fee Study City of Apache Junction, Arizona EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The City of Apache Junction has engaged TischlerBise to update its development fees for necessary public services pursuant to Arizona Revised Statutes 9-463.05. Municipalities in Arizona may assess development fees to offset infrastructure costs to a municipality associated with providing necessary public services to a development.The development fees must be based on an Infrastructure Improvements Plan. Development fees cannot be used for, among other things: projects not included in the Infrastructure Improvements Plan, projects related to existing development, or costs related to operations and maintenance. This Infrastructure Improvements Plan and associated update to the City of Apache Junction development fees include the following necessary public services: •Library •Parks and Recreation •Police •Streets This plan also includes all necessary elements required to be in full compliance with SB 1525. ARIZONA DEVELOPMENT FEE ENABLING LEGISLATION Arizona Revised Statutes 9-463.05 (hereafter referred to as "development fee enabling legislation") governs how development fees are calculated for municipalities in Arizona. During the state legislative session of 2011,Senate Bill 1525 (SB 1525)was introduced which significantly amended the development fee enabling legislation. The changes included: •Amending existing development fee programs by January 1, 2012; •Abandoning existing development fee programs by August 1, 2014; •A new development fee program structure developed from a unified Land Use Assumptions document and Infrastructure Improvements Plan; •New adoption procedures for the Land Use Assumptions, Infrastructure Improvements Plan, and development fees; •New definitions, including "necessary public services" which defines what categories and types of infrastructure may be funded with development fees; •Time limitations in development fee collections and expenditures; and •New requirements for credits, "grandfathering" rules, and refunds. Governor Brewer signed SB 1525 into law on April 26, 2011. This update of the City's development fees will be in compliance with all of the new requirements of SB 1525. ENTURIE 4 DRAFT — Development Fee Study City of Apache Junction, Arizona NECESSARY PUBLIC SERVICES The City of Apache Junction currently collects development fees for the following infrastructure categories: •Library •Parks and Recreation •Police •Streets Under the new requirements of the development fee enabling legislation, development fees may be used only for construction, acquisition or expansion of public facilities that are necessary public services. "Necessary public service" means any of the following categories of facilities that have a life expectancy of three or more years and that are owned and operated on behalf of the municipality: •Water Facilities •Wastewater Facilities •Storm Water, Drainage, and Flood Control Facilities •Library Facilities •Streets Facilities •Fire and Police Facilities •Neighborhood Parks and Recreational Facilities •Any facility that was financed before June 1, 2011 and that meets the following requirements: 1.Development fees were pledged to repay debt service obligations related to the construction of the facility. 2.After August 1, 2014, any development fees collected are used solely for the payment of principal and interest on the portion of the bonds, notes, or other debt service obligations issued before June 1, 2011 to finance construction of the facility. INFRASTRUCTURE IMPROVEMENTS PLAN Development fees must be calculated pursuant to an Infrastructure Improvements Plan (hereafter referred to as the "IIP"). For each necessary public service that is the subject of a development fee, by law, the infrastructure improvements plan shall include the following seven elements: Element #1: A description of the existing necessary public services in the service area and the costs to upgrade,update,improve,expand,correct or replace those necessary public services to meet existing needs and usage and stricter safety, efficiency,environmental or regulatory standards,which shall be prepared by qualified professionals licensed in this state, as applicable. Element #2: An analysis of the total capacity,the level of current usage and commitments for usage of capacity of the existing necessary public services, which shall be prepared by qualified professionals licensed in this state, as applicable. Element #3: A description of all or the parts of the necessary public services or facility expansions and their costs necessitated by and attributable to development in the service area based on the approved land use assumptions, including a forecast of the costs of infrastructure,improvements,real property, financing,engineering and architectural services, which shall be prepared by qualified professionals licensed in this state, as applicable. listhlerilise 5 DRAFT — Development Fee Study City of Apache Junction, Arizona Element #4: A table establishing the specific level or quantity of use, consumption, generation or discharge of a service unit for each category of necessary public services or facility expansions and an equivalency or conversion table establishing the ratio of a service unit to various types of land uses,including residential, commercial and industrial. Element #5:The total number of projected service units necessitated by and attributable to new development in the service area based on the approved land use assumptions and calculated pursuant to generally accepted engineering and planning criteria. Element #6:The projected demand for necessary public services or facility expansions required by new service units for a period not to exceed ten years. Element #7: A forecast of revenues generated by new service units other than development fees,which shall include estimated state -shared revenue,highway users revenue, federal revenue, ad valorem property taxes, construction contracting or similar excise taxes and the capital recovery portion of utility fees attributable to development based on the approved land use assumptions, and a plan to include these contributions in determining the extent of the burden imposed by the development. QUALIFIED PROFESSIONALS The IIP must be developed by qualified professionals using generally accepted engineering and planning practices. A qualified professional is defined as "a professional engineer, surveyor, financial analyst or planner providing services within the scope of the person's license, education, or experience." TischlerBise is a fiscal, economic, and planning consulting firm specializing in the cost of growth services. Our services include development fees, fiscal impact analysis, infrastructure financing analyses, user fee/cost of service studies, capital improvement plans, and fiscal software. TischlerBise has prepared over 800 impact fee studies over the past 30 years for local governments across the United States. 6 DRAFT — Development Fee Study: Development Fee Report City of Apache Junction, Arizona DEVELOPMENT FEES CALCULATION METHODOLOGIES Development fees for the necessary public services generated by new development must be based on the same level of service provided to existing development in the service area. There are three basic methodologies used to calculate development fees. They examine the past, present, and future status of infrastructure. The objective of evaluating these different methodologies is to determine the best measure of the demand created by new development for additional infrastructure capacity. •Cost recovery (past) is used in instances when a community has oversized a facility or asset in anticipation of future development. This methodology is based on the rationale that new development is repaying the community for its share of the remaining unused capacity. •Incremental expansion method (present) documents the current level of service for each type of public facility. The intent is to use revenue collected to expand or provide additional facilities, as needed to accommodate new development, based on the current cost to provide capital improvements. •Plan -based method (future) utilizes a community's capital improvement plan and/or other adopted plans or engineering studies to guide capital improvements needed to serve new development. Figure 1 is a summary of methodologies, components and allocations used to calculate the IIP. Figure 1: Recommended Calculation Methodologies I ,Methodology Type of Public Facility , Cost Recovery (Past)' Incremental Expansion (Present) Plan Based (Future) Libraries , •Facilities Not Applicable Not Applicable •Developed Parkland •Park Improvements Parks and Recreation Not Applicable Not•Recreational Facilities Applicable •Multi -Use Trails Police Not Applicable •Vehicles Not Applicable•Communications Equipment Streets •Minor Arterial •City Collectors Not Applicable•Signalized Intersections Reporting Results Calculations throughout this IIP are based on analysis conducted using Excel software. Formulas and results are discussed herein using one -and two -digit place (in most cases), which represent rounded figures. However, the analysis itself uses figures carried to their ultimate decimal places; therefore the sums and products generated in the analysis may not equal the sum or product if the reader replicates the calculation with the factors shown in the memo (due to the rounding of figures shown, not in the analysis.) Tischl:a 7 DRAFT — Development Fee Study: Development Fee Report City of Apache Junction, Arizona MAXIMUM SUPPORTABLE DEVELOPMENT FEES Based on the data, assumptions, and calculation methodologies in the Land Use Assumptions document and Infrastructure Improvements Plan,the proposed development fees are listed in the figure below. The proposed Development Fee schedule includes six categories of land uses, three each for residential and nonresidential. "Single Unit" includes detached and attached units both modular and manufactured that are constructed on a single lot. The "Single Unit — Manufactured Homes" is for single unit dwellings in mobile home parks.The "2+ Unit" category is the development fee assessed per unit for a structure with multiple dwelling units. Previous nonresidential development fee schedules established fees for Commercial and Office land uses based on size thresholds, and others for more specialized land uses. The proposed schedule establishes a per square foot fee for three general land use categories, the City will use to define all new nonresidential development. Figure 2: Maximum Supportable City of Apache Junction Development Fees library Parks &I Total Recreation Police Streets Development Fee Residential iv. Single Unit Single Unit- Manufactured Homes 2+ Unit $9341 $1,466 1 $161 $6541_$1,0271_$113 $7481 $1,174 1 $129, $2,364 $1,856 $4,925 $3,689 $3,907 Nonresidential Per SqUare.FooroffIciorArea V t A Commercial so.30i $1.03' Office 1 $0.501 $1.71 Industrial $0.351 $1.19 $0.15i $5.04 $0.05i $2.18 $0.031 $1.36 $6.52 $4.44 $2.93 Source: TischlerBise 8 DRAFT — Development Fee Study: Development Fee Report City of Apache Junction, Arizona COMPARISON TO CURRENT DEVELOPMENT FEES The City of Apache Junction currently collects development fees for the following infrastructure categories: •Library •Parks and Recreation •Police •Streets The City's current development fee summary is shown below: Figure 3: City of Apache Junction Development Fees, Effective January 1, 2012 .,szo •rPorks & Recreation Current Development Fee Residential Nonre Per Housing Unit Single Unit Single Unit- Manufactured Homes 2+ Unit $721 $1,8011 $2941 $6,323 $5721 $1,4291 $2341 $3,297 $6221 $1,5551 $2541 $4,440 $9,139 $5,532 $6,871 ddential (11 I ------------Per Square Foot of Floor Area _ commercial L $o.*$0.00l $1.801 $13.64 $15.44 $0.Office 0011I -----+-$0.00 - - - -1 $5.68$0.681 $636 Industrial I $0.00,r -$0.001-$0.271 $2.26 $2.53 The changes between the proposed fees and those effective as of January 1, 2012 are shown in the figure below. Note: the red figures in parentheses represent decreases in fee amounts. Figure 4: Changes Between City of Apache Junction Proposed and Current Development Fees Resid ntial I -----------------------Per Housin. Unit - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Single Unit $213 ($335)1 ($133) l ($3,959)($4,214) Single Unit- Ma nufactured_Homes $82 ($402)!($121)_($1,402)($1,843) 2+ Unit $126 __ ($381)!($125)($2,584)($2,964) Nonresidential Per S. uare Foot o Floor Area commercial- - - - - Office Industrial $0.30 $0.50 $0.35 $1.71 I ($0.63)1 $1.19 1 ($0.24)1 ($8.60) ($3.50) ($0.90) ($8.92) ($1.92) $0.40 9 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona [PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK] 10 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona LIBRARY FACILITIES INFRASTRUCTURE IMPROVEMENTS PLAN OVERVIEW ARS 9-463.05 (T)(7)(f) defines the facilities and assets that can be included in the Library Facilities IIP as: "Library facilities of up to ten thousand square feet that provide a direct benefit to development, not including equipment, vehicles or appurtenances." The Library Facilities IIP includes facilities component, and the cost of preparing the Library Facilities IIP and Development Fee Study. Cost recovery is used to calculate the Library Facilities development fees. SERVICE AREA The City of Apache Junction plans to provide a uniform level of service and equal service for Library facilities throughout the City. As described in Apache Junction's 2010 General Plan Update, the City ensures, "that the library system...continues its role as a major cultural resource for the community." As a result, the service area for the Library Facilities IIP is citywide. Once development of Lost Dutchman Heights begins in earnest, it may become necessary to establish separate service areas for Library Facilities development fees. However, for the purposes of this five- year study window the City of Apache Junction is considered a single service area. PROPORTIONATE SHARE ARS 9-463.05 (B)(3) states that the development fee shall not exceed a proportionate share of the cost of necessary public services needed to provide necessary public services to the development. As shown below, TischlerBise recommends daytime population as a reasonable indicator of the potential demand for Library Facilities from both residential and nonresidential development. According to U.S. Census bureau data from the LEND OnTheMap utility, non-resident workers hold 86 percent (rounded)of jobs in Apache Junction. Therefore, of the 9,093 jobs in base year 2013, inflow commuters hold approximately 7,780. The proportionate share is based on cumulative impact days per year with the number of inflow commuters potentially impacting Library Facilities 250 days per year (5 days per week multiplied by 50 work weeks per year). The resulting proportionate share of demand is 87 percent from residential, and 13 percent from nonresidential users. Figure 5: Library Facilities Proportionate Sharel Demand KUM Days of Impact Cumulative Impact Days per Year Proportionate Share Residential 37,300 365 Nonresidential [1)7,780 250 13,614,500 1,945,048 87% 13% Total Impact 15,559,548 [1] Nonresidential assumes 86 percent of 2013 Jobs are held by Inflow Commuters, based on LEHD data. Source:U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Decennial Census; U.S. Census Bureau, OnTheMap 6.1.1 Application and LEHD Origin -Destination Employment Statistics The share of jobs held by inflow commuters is shown as a rounded figure. However, the analysis itself uses figures carried to their ultimate decimal places; therefore the sums and products generated in the analysis may not equal the sum or product if the reader replicates the calculation with the factors shown here (due to the rounding of figures shown, not in the analysis.) Ti memos 11 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona lip FOR LIBRARY FACILITIES For each necessary public service that is the subject of a development fee, ARS 9-463.05(E) requires the IIP to include seven elements. The sections below detail each of these elements. (A forecast of new revenues generated by sources other than development fees can be found in Appendix B — Forecast of Revenues Other Than Development Fees.) ANALYSIS OF CAPACITY, USAGE, AND COSTS OF EXISTING PUBLIC SERVICES ARS 9-463.05 (E)(1) requires: "A description of the existing necessary public services in the service area and the costs to upgrade, update, improve, expand, correct or replace those necessary public services to meet existing needs and usage and stricter safety,efficiency, environmental or regulatory standards,which shall be prepared by qualified professionals licensed in this state, as applicable." ARS 9-463.05 (E)(2) requires: "An analysis of the total capacity, the level of current usage and commitments for usage of capacity of the existing necessary public services, which shall be prepared by qualified professionals licensed in this state, as applicable." Level of Service The City completed an expansion of its Library facilities in 2008. The current inventory of Library facilities totals 31,444. The current inventory was built with excess capacity to serve future demand at the level of service established when the expansion began in 2006. The original facility was 20,949 square feet and served a combined total of 39,604 persons and jobs at a LOS of 0.529 square feet per service unit. The expanded facility is serving the 2013 base year population and jobs at an LOS of 0.678, demonstrating sufficient excess capacity to serve future growth. Figure 6: Level of Service — Library Facilities Step 1 - Level of Service WEI •Level of Service Square Feet Service Service Units Level of Service Units 2006 2013 2026 Square Feet per Service Unit 20,949 31,444 31,444 39,604 = 46,393 = 58,974 = 0.529 0.678 0.533 per Person and Job Debt was issued in 2007 to help fund the expansion of Library facilities. As new development utilizes its proportionate share of the available capacity of the Library facilities, the City plans to have new development pay a proportionate share of the remaining debt, to be retired in 2026. As shown above, if no new Library facilities are added and development occurs at the rate shown in the approved Land Use Assumptions,the LOS for Library facilities will change over the remaining life of the debt service. The level of service is projected to change from 0.678 square feet per service unit, to 0.533 over the remaining life of the General Obligation bond used to fund the Library facilities expansion. Ttsdd 12 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Because the projected 2026 level of service will be higher than the original planned level of service of 0.529 an LOS discount must be calculated to ensure new development does not pay for a higher level of service than promised to existing development. The calculation of a LOS discount is shown below. Figure 7: Level of Service Growth Share Step 2 - Level of Service Adjustment Level of Service ELM 11281EISEMENI 0.533 0.529 0.533 • • •0.79% Cost per Service unit Debt was issued in 2007 to help fund the expansion of Library facilities to the current square footage of 31,444. Since the original bond issuance, $390,871 of previously collected development fee revenue has been allocated to the debt obligation. The City plans to have new development pay for its share of the remaining obligation. The previously discussed level of service discount of 1 percent is applied to the remaining principal to calculate growth's share of the remaining obligation. As shown in Figure 8, after deducting the previously recouped portion, and the level of service discount, the growth share of remaining principal debt obligation on the Library facility is $5,068,624.2 Figure 8: City of Apache Junction 2007 Library Debt Service Step 3 - Growth Share of Remainirut Principal Debt Obligation Principal Pr rji i s Recouped by Fees Level of Service CIERREMEil C11812111110 $5,500,000 Step 3.5 $390,871 - Growth Share of Remaini Principal 0.79% Remaining Principal Level of Service Discount Growth Share of Obligation $5,109,129 $40,504 =$5,068,624 $40,504 TischlerBise projects the City of Apache Junction will add 8,244 net new residents and 4,337 new jobs between of 2013 and 2026 when the original bond obligation is retired. The share of the remaining principal is multiplied by the proportionate share factors discussed above and divided by the net increase in population and jobs, respectively, to calculate a cost per capita of $534.90 and cost per job of $151.93. Figure 9: Cost Recovery — Library Facilities Step 4- New Growth 2025 2013 Svrvrc P, ts Service Units Net Increase in Service 21418138 Miff 45,544 13,430 37,300 9,093 8,244 =4,337 Person Job Step 5 -Cost per Service Unit Library Fecilities Fee Component Growth Share of Obligation .1Proportionate I IShe in Net Increase in Service Units 35131 S se Urn Residential Nonresidential $5,068,624 X 87% X 13% 8,244 4,337 $534.90 $151.93 per per Person Job 2 The figures are shown as a rounded figure. However, the analysis itself uses figures carried to their ultimate decimal places; therefore the sums and products generated in the analysis may not equal the sum or product if the reader replicates the calculation with the factors shown here (due to the rounding of figures shown, not in the analysis.) Tischle OWE 13 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Excluded Cost Development fees in Apache Junction exclude costs to upgrade, update, improve, expand, correct or replace those necessary public services to meet existing needs and usage, and stricter safety, efficiency, environmental or regulator standards. Current Use and Available Capacity According to City staff, Library facilities have surplus capacity to serve growth; therefore, a cost recovery methodology was used to calculate the growth share of future principal payments. RATIO OF SERVICE UNIT TO DEVELOPMENT UNIT ARS 9-463.05 (E)(4) requires: "A table establishing the specific level or quantity of use, consumption, generation or discharge of a service unit for each category of necessary public services or facility expansions and an equivalency or conversion table establishing the ratio of a service unit to various types of land uses, including residential, commercial and industrial." The following table displays the residential and nonresidential factors used to establish a ratio of service unit to land uses. Figure 10: Library Facilities Ratio of Service Unit to Development Unit sumo: Residential Development Persons per Housing Unit [1] Single Unit 1.73 Single Unit- Manufactured 1.21 2+ Units 1.39 [1] Development Fee Land Use Assumptions Nonresiciential Development Jobs per Land ]Use 1,000 Squa re Feet 12]„ Commercial 2.00 Office/Institutional 3.32 Industrial/Flex 2.31 [2] Institute of Transportation Engineers. (2012). Trip Generation Manual 9th Edition PROJECTED SERVICE UNITS AND INFRASTRUCTURE DEMAND ARS 9-463.05(E)(3) requires: "A description of all or the parts of the necessary public services or facility expansions and their costs necessitated by and attributable to development in the service area based on the approved land use assumptions, including a forecast of the costs of infrastructure, improvements,real property, financing,engineering and architectural services, which shall be prepared by qualified professionals licensed in this state, as applicable." Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona ARS 9-463.05(E)(5) requires: "The total number of projected service units necessitated by and attributable to new development in the service area based on the approved land use assumptions and calculated pursuant to generally accepted engineering and planning criteria." ARS 9-463.05(E)(6) requires: "The projected demand for necessary public services or facility expansions required by new service units for a period not to exceed ten years." TischlerBise projects the City of Apache Junction will add an additional 8,244 persons and 4,337 jobs over the 13 -year course of the bond term. As existing and new development utilizes the available capacity of the Library facility at a level of service of 0.533 square feet per person, the available Library facilities will reach capacity in 2026. See Figure 11 for additional details. Figure 11: Projected Demand for Library Facilities Library Facilities =31,444 SF Base Yr 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017. 2018 2013 ,• 2021. 2020 2022 •;10•2023 '.,.•- 12 .,2025' Population 2026 Demand for Remaining 8‘._lobs Planned LOS Facility SF Capacity 46,393 0.533 47,045 0.533 47,749 0.533 48,503 0.533 49,311 0.533 50,172 0.533 51,092 0.533 52,070 0.533 53,110 0.533 54,214 0.533 55,384 0.533 56,813 0.533 57,883 0.533 58,974 0.533 24,736 6,708 25,084 6,360 25,459 5,985 25,861 5,583 26,292 5,152 26,751 4,693 27,241 4,203 27,763 3,681 28,317 3,127 28,906 2,538 29,530 1,914 30,292 1,152 30,862 582 31,444 0 Source: TischlerBise. (2013). Development Fee Land Use Assumptions Library Facilities Improvements Plan The City of Apache Junction does not plan to use Library development fee revenue collected in the next five years to pay for any new expansion of Library facilities. isch!emse 15 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona MAXIMUM SUPPORTABLE LIBRARY FACILITIES DEVELOPMENT FEES The proposed development fees for Library facilities are shown in Figure 12. The development fees are calculated by multiplying the Persons per Housing Unit factors by the net capital cost per person for residential development, and the Jobs per Square Foot factors by the net capital cost per job for nonresidential development. Library Facilities IIP and Development Fee Study Included in the Library Facilities per service unit cost is the cost to prepare the IIP and Development Fee Study. See Appendix A — Cost of Professional Services for the detailed calculations. Revenue Credit Included in the maximum supportable development fee is a Revenue Credit of 0 percent. The unadjusted Library Facilities development fees per development unit would not generate more revenue over the next ten years, based on the approved Land Use Assumptions,than the identified growth share of existing debt service of $3,912,982 (approximately 10 -years of growth share payments, plus the IIP and Development Fee Study cost). To ensure that no more fee revenue is collected than the City plans to spend, the potential gross cost per service unit is reduced by the revenue credit to calculate the net capital cost per service unit.Based on the gross capital costs per service unit,the projected development fee revenue would equal $3,261,712. See Figure 12 and Figure 13 for additional detail. Therefore, no revenue credit adjustment is necessary for the Library Facilities development fees. lischlease 16 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona NET CAPIE—"--7 —ALOIST.. Figure 12: Maximum Supportable Library Facilities Development Fees Library Facilities Level of Service and Infrastructure Costs Library Facilities IIP and Development Fee Study Cost IGROSSCAPITAL COST Revenue Credit 0% Per Person $534.90 $5.29 $5470.19 $0.00INETCAPITAL COST $54-7 -10.1.9 Library Facilities Development Fee Schedule Unit Type Persons per Housing Unit (1) Single Unit 1.73 Single Unit - Manufactured 1.21 2+ Units 1.39 [1] Development Fee Land Use Assumptions [2] Current Fee established in 2012 Library Facilities Level of Servke and Infrastructure Costs Library Facilities IIP and Development Fee Study Cost 'GROSSCAPITAL COST Revenue Credit 0% Cost per Person $540.19 $540.19 $540.19 Pala§ $151.93 $1.24 $153.271 $0.00 .$153.171 Library Facilities Nonresidential Development Fee Schedule Nonresidential Land Use Jobs 31 per 1,0-0 SF ' - Commercial 2.00 Office 3.32 Industrial 2.31 Cost per Job $153.17 l = $153.17 = X $153.17 = J3I Trio Generation,Institute of Transportation Engineers, 9th Edition (20 [4] City of Apache Junction does not currently assess Library Facilities development fees on nonresidential development. Development Fee per Housina Unit Development Fee Proposed Current (2] Increase (Decrease) $934 .$721 $213 $654 $572 $82 $748 $622 $126 Development Fee Proposed Current (4) Increase Decrease (Per Square Foot of Floor Area) $0.30 $0.00 $0.30 $0.50 $0.00 $0.50 $0.35 $0.00 $0.35 Isch!erElisp 17 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona FORECAST OF REVENUES Appendix B - Forecast of Revenues Other Than Development Fees contains a forecast of revenues other than development fees required by Arizona's enabling legislation. Library Facilities Cash Flow The cash flow shown in Figure 13 assumes implementation of the maximum supportable Library Facilities development fees and that development over the next ten years is consistent with the approved Land Use Assumptions described in Appendix C. To the extent the rate of development either accelerates or slows down, there will be a corresponding change in the development fee revenue. The deficit shown in the revenue projection below represents the portion of debt service that will not be recouped through Library Facilities development fee revenue. Figure 13: Library Facilities Cash Flow Summary 10 -Year Growth -Related Costs for library Facilities Debt Service [1]$3,898,942 IIP and Development Fee Study $14,040 TOTAL $3,912,982 [1) Reflects only growth share and 10 -years of total remaining debt obligation. Year Base 2013 Year 1 2014 Year 2 2015 Year 3 2016 Year 4 2017 Year 5 2018 Year 6 2019 Year 7 2020 Year 8 2021 Year 9 2022 Year 10 2023 per lHousing Single Unit [1] $821 ! Housing Units 21,199 Unit 2+ Units $748 Added 1,904 Per Square Commercial $0.30 Square 1,117 --IFoot of Floor Area 1 Office Industrial $0.50 $0.35 Feet Added (1,000) 1,823 348 21,402 1,922 1,148 1,881 357 21,628 1,942 1,180 1,941 367 21,875 1,965 1,213 2,003 377 22,148 1,989 1,247 2,067 386 22,444 2,016 1,282 2,132 397 22,766 2,045 1,318 2,200 408 23,115 2,076 1,355 2,270 419 23,492 2,110 1,393 2,342 429 23,897 2,146 1,432 2,417 441 24,333 2,185 1,472 2,494 453 Ten-Yr Increase 3,134 Projected Fees (Rounded) =>$2,573,014 Total Projected Revenues Cumulative Net Surplus/(Deficit) 281 $210,188 $3,261,712 ($651,270) 355 $106,500 [1] Fee for Single Units shown represents a weighted average of the Single Unit and Single Unit - Manufactured fees. 671 $335,311 105 $36,699 Tischleffte 18 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona PARKS AND RECREATIONAL FACILITIES INFRASTRUCTURE IMPROVEMENTS PLAN OVERVIEW ARS 9-463.05 (T)(7)(f) defines the facilities and assets that can be included in the Parks and Recreational Facilities IIP as: "Neighborhood parks and recreational facilities on real property up to thirty acres in area, or parks and recreational facilities larger than thirty acres if the facilities provide a direct benefit to the development. Parks and recreational facilities do not include vehicles, equipment or that portion of any facility that is used for amusement parks, aquariums, aquatic centers, auditoriums, arenas, arts and cultural facilities, bandstand and orchestra facilities, bathhouses, boathouses, clubhouses, community centers greater than three thousand square feet in floor area,environmental education centers, equestrian facilities, golf course facilities, greenhouses, lakes, museums, theme parks, water reclamation or riparian areas, wetlands, zoo facilities or similar recreational facilities, but may include swimming pools." The Parks and Recreational Facilities IIP includes components for developed parkland, improvements to parks,multi -use trails,recreational facilities, and the cost of preparing the Parks and Recreational Facilities IIP and Development Fee Study. The incremental expansion methodology is used to calculate the parkland, park improvements, multi -use trails, and recreational facilities components of the Parks and Recreational Facilities IIP. SERVICE AREA The City of Apache Junction plans to provide a uniform level of service for Parks and Recreational Facilities throughout the City. As described in Apache Junction's 2010 General Plan Update, the City is, "a place that emphasizes outdoor enjoyment, provides a variety of recreational activities, and connects different population groups and residential neighborhoods." As a result, the service area for the Parks and Recreational Facilities IIP is citywide. Once development of Lost Dutchman Heights begins in earnest, it may become necessary to establish separate service areas for Parks and Recreational Facilities development fees.However,for the purposes of this five-year study window the City of Apache Junction is considered a single service area. T hIe 19 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona PROPORTIONATE SHARE ARS 9-463.05 (B)(3) states that the development fee shall not exceed a proportionate share of the cost of necessary public services needed to provide necessary public services to the development. As shown below, TischlerBise recommends daytime population as a reasonable indicator of the potential demand for Parks and Recreational Facilities from both residential and nonresidential development. According to U.S. Census bureau data from the LEHD OnTheMap utility,non-resident workers hold 86 percent (rounded)of jobs in Apache Junction. Therefore, of the 9,093 jobs in base year 2013, inflow commuters hold approximately 7,780. The proportionate share is based on cumulative impact days per year with the number of inflow commuters potentially impacting Parks and Recreational Facilities 250 days per year (5 days per week multiplied by 50 work weeks per year). The resulting proportionate share of demand is 87 percent from residential, and 13 percent from nonresidential users. Figure 14: Parks and Recreational Facilities Proportionate Share3 Demand I Days of Impact Cumulative Impact Days per Year Proportionate Share Residential 37,300 365 13,614,500 87% Nonresidential [1]7,780 250 1,945,048 _13% Total Impact 15559,548 [1] Nonresidential assumes 86 percent of 2013 Jobs are held by Inflow Commuters, based on LEHD data. Source:U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Decennial Census; U.S. Census Bureau, OnTheMap 6.1.1 Application and LEHD Origin -Destination Employment Statistics IIP FOR PARKS AND RECREATIONAL FACILITIES For each necessary public service that is the subject of a development fee, ARS 9-463.05(E) requires the IIP to include seven elements. The sections below detail each of these elements. (A forecast of new revenues generated by sources other than development fees can be found in Appendix B — Forecast of Revenues Other Than Development Fees.) ANALYSIS OF CAPACITY, USAGE, AND COSTS OF EXISTING PUBLIC SERVICES ARS 9-463.05 (E)(1) requires: "A description of the existing necessary public services in the service area and the costs to upgrade, update, improve, expand, correct or replace those necessary public services to meet existing needs and usage and stricter safety,efficiency, environmental or regulatory standards,which shall be prepared by qualified professionals licensed in this state, as applicable." ARS 9-463.05 (E)(2) requires: "An analysis of the total capacity, the level of current usage and commitments for usage of capacity of the existing necessary public services, which shall be prepared by qualified professionals licensed in this state, as applicable." 3 The share of jobs held by inflow commuters is shown as a rounded figure. However, the analysis itself uses figures carried to their ultimate decimal places; therefore the sums and products generated in the analysis may not equal the sum or product if the reader replicates the calculation with the factors shown here (due to the rounding of figures shown, not in the analysis.) Ti 20 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona The existing public services included in the Parks and Recreational Facilities IIP are developed parkland, park improvements, multi -use trails, and recreational facilities. Parkland The City currently has 98 acres of developed parkland serving a demand base of 37,300 persons and 9,093 jobs. The City currently leases from the Bureau of Land Management 2,049 acres of undeveloped open space within its municipal boundary. The leases are used to preserve open space for eventual purchase by the City.To calculate the development fees for parkland, only land already developed is used so as not to inflate the level of service provided by the City to its residents. The City plans to maintain the level of service for developed parkland that it provides to existing development. Thus, the incremental expansion methodology is used to calculate this component of the Parks and Recreational Facilities IIP.Based on the proportionate share analysis discussed above, residential development creates 87 percent of the demand for developed parkland, with nonresidential development accounting for 13 percent of the demand. The calculation to determine level of service for residential development is as follows:(98 developed acres X 87%proportionate share) / 37,300 population = 0.0023 acres per capita. This calculation is repeated for nonresidential development resulting in a LOS of 0.0014 acres per job. According to the Parks and Recreation Department of the City, it costs approximately $260,000 in infrastructure costs to develop an acre of parkland. To calculate the cost of developed parkland per service unit the cost per unit of $260,000 is multiplied by the per service unit LOS resulting in a developed acres cost per capita of $594.31, and per job cost of $364.28. Figure 15: Incremental Expansion — Developed Parkland Step 1- Cost per Component Other Parkland swum Total Developed Costper Undeveloped Value [11 Acres Acre [ l]Acres [2] Prospector Park Superstition Shadows Park Veteran's Memorial Park Little League Facility Renaissance Point Retention Area Arroyo Verde Retention Area Focal Point City Hall Park City/County Retention Area Silly Mountain Park Sheep Drive Trail TOTALS $10,400,000 $5,980,000 $520,000 $780,000 $2,080,000 $2,860,000 $260,000 $780,000 $780,000 $1,040,000 $25,480,000 ÷ 40 23 2 3 8 11 1 3 3 4 98 = $260,000 $260,000 $260,000 $260,000 $260,000 $260,000 $260,000 $260,000 $260,000 $260,000 itCP L .OC1111,C Proportionate 2013 Level of Service Acres ,Share Service Units U60,000 225 196 1,628 2,049 SO N Unit Developed Parkland per Resident Developed Parkland perlob 98 87% 13% Step 3 - Cost per Service Unit 37,300 9,093 •0.0023 •0.0014 Cost ,c Acre Corvponvrt Cost Sn sri cc Unit Developed Parkland $260,000 X 0.0023 X 0.0014 $594.31 $364.28 Source: City of Apache Junction, Parks and Recreation Dept. [1] The total value for the City of Apache Junction developed parkland is calculated based on the Cost per Acre of $260,000 provided by the City of Apache Junction, Parks and Recreation Dept. [2] Undeveloped acres are U.S. Bureau of Land Management lands within the City per per Person Job per per Person Job Tischleiff.„-4 21 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Park Improvements The City of Apache Junction provides active and passive park improvements for use by the current population. Park improvements provided by the City include amenities for passive (ramadas) and active recreation (sports fields), playgrounds, equestrian fields, and restrooms. The City plans to maintain the level of service for park improvements that it provides to existing development. Thus, the incremental expansion methodology is used to calculate this component of the Parks and Recreational Facilities IIP.Based on the proportionate share analysis discussed above, residential development creates 87 percent of the demand for park improvements, with nonresidential development accounting for 13 percent of the demand. The calculation to determine level of service for residential development is as follows: (99 units X 87% proportionate share) / 37,300 population = 0.0023 units per capita. This calculation is repeated for nonresidential development resulting in a LOS of 0.0014 units per job. It costs the City approximately $88,485 per park improvement.To calculate the cost of park improvements per service unit the cost per unit is multiplied by the per service unit LOS resulting in a cost per capita of $204.32, and per job cost of $125.24. Figure 16: Incremental Expansion - Park Improvements Step 1 - Cost per Component rota Value Cost per Units Unit Ramadas (single) Ra ma das (small group) Ra ma das (large group) Shuffleboard Courts Horseshoe Pits Playgrounds Ball Fields Concession/Restrooms Tennis Courts Racquetball Courts Basketball Courts Volleyball Courts Soccer/Football Fields Skate Park Security Fencing Pool TOTALS $37,500 $35o,000 $245,000 $60,0001 $12,500 $600,000 $1,120,000 $1,200,000 $675,000 3-360,000 $210,000 $32,000 $480,000 $500,000 $660,000 $-2,218,000 5-8,760,000 + Source: City of Apache Junction, Parks and Recreation Dept. 3 14 7 3 5 4 7 6 9 4 3 4 3 1 25 1 99 = $12,500 $25,000 $35,000 $20,000 $2,500 $150,000 $160,000 $200,000 $75,000 $00 $70,000 $8,000 $160,000 $500,000 $26,400 $2,218,000 Step 2 - Level of Service Pr'oportionate 2013 Level of Service Units ;;Share Service Units $88,485 Service Un t Park Improvements per Resident Park Improvements per Job 99 87%37,300 0.0023 13%9,093 =0.0014 Step 3 - Cost per Service Unit Cost per Urn ' LeLl of; Service Corni pond ti Cost Service Unrt Park Improvements $88,485 X 0.0023 X 0.0014 •$204.32 •$125.24 per per Person Job per per Person Job 11 22 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Recreational Facilities The City plans to maintain the level of service (LOS) for recreational facilities that it provides to existing development. Thus, the incremental expansion methodology is used to calculate this component. The City currently maintains 42,834 square feet of recreational facilities to serve a current population of 37,300, and 9,093 jobs. For recreational facilities that are greater than 3,000 square feet in size, the development fee enabling legislation dictates that only 3,000 square feet of each facility can be used to calculate a level of service (for new development)and cost per service unit for the Parks and Recreational Facilities IIP and development fees. Based on the proportionate share analysis discussed above,residential development creates 87 percent of the demand for recreational facilities, with nonresidential development accounting for 13 percent of the demand. The calculation to determine level of service for residential development is as follows: (8,375 eligible square feet X 87% proportionate share) / 37,300 current population = 0.1953 square feet per capita. This calculation is repeated for nonresidential development resulting in a LOS of 0.1197 square feet per job. The cost per service unit is the product of LOS and the average cost per square foot $206 (rounded), resulting in a Recreational Facilities cost per capita of $40.24, and cost per job of $24.67. Figure 17: Incremental Expansion — Recreational Facilities MIME Step 1 - Cost per Corn Total Valuei Park Ranger Office & City Conference Center Multi -Generational Building Superstition Shadows Aquatics Center TOTALS Eligible Square Footage [1] $229,613 $8,385,861 $221,848 8,837,322 + -Square Feet 2,375 36,850 3,609 42,834 8,375 Step 2 - Level of Service Proportionate Share Cost per Square Foot $97 $228 $61 06 111171171=112111 Eligible Square Feet 2013 Service Units 1.111111W1111111111 Service Unit Square Feet per Resident Square Feet perJob X8,375 X 87% 13% Step 3 - Cost per Service Unit Cost per Component 11118111 111=111113111111 111 X 0.1953 =$40.24 per Person 37,300 0.1953 9,093 =0.1197 Fee Component 1 1 1 = S e rvi cc Unit Recreational Facilities $206 X 0.1197 =$24.67 per Job Source: City of Apache Junction, Parks and Recreation Dept. [1] ARS 9-463.05 (T)(7)(f), "Parks and recreational facilities do not include...community centers greater than three thousand square feet in floor area..." per Person per Job Tisch *23 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Multi -Use Trails The City of Apache Junction measures its inventory of multi -use trails in acres to adjust for trails of varying widths. As of 2013, the City maintains 17 acres of Multi -use trails. The inventory is sufficient to meet current demand; therefore, an incremental expansion methodology is used to calculate level of service. Based on the proportionate share analysis discussed above, residential development creates 87 percent of the demand for multi -use trails, with nonresidential development accounting for 13 percent of the demand. The calculation to determine level of service for residential development is as follows: (17 acres X 87% proportionate share) / 37,300 current population = 0.0004 square feet per capita. This calculation is repeated for nonresidential development resulting in a LOS of 0.0002 square feet per job. To calculate the cost of multi -use trails per service unit the cost to develop an acre of trails ($5,000) is multiplied by the level of service resulting in a per capita cost of $1.98, and per job cost of $1.22. Figure 18: Incremental Expansion — Multi -Use Trails ZMIII1112111fflifilill Step 1 - Cost per Component Total Value 11] Silly Mountain Park Sheep Drive Trail System Arroyo Verde Open Space Area Renaissance Point Open Space TOTALS $10,000 $65,000 $5,000 $5,000 El5,000 ÷ IMES 2 13 1 1 17 Step 2- Level of Service MIMI= Level of Service Acres Share Cost per Acre $5,000 $5,000 $5,000 $5,000 ,000 2013 Service Units Level of Service Servic e Unit Multi -Use Trails per Resident Multi -Use Trails per Job 17 87% 13% Step 3 - Cost per Service Unit Cost pe Component Service Acre ,Level of Service Cost Unit 37,300 0.0004 9,093 =0.0002 1 = i r Multi -Use Trails $5,000 X 0.0004 X 0.0002 $1.98 $1.22 per per Person Job Source: City of Apache Junction, Parks and Recreation Dept. [1] The total value for the City of Apache Junction multi -use trails is calculated based on the Cost per Acre of $5,000 provided by the City of Apache Junction, Parks and Recreation Dept. [2] The City of Apache Junction measures its inventory of multi -use trails in acres to adjust for trails of varying widths. Excluded Costs per Person per Job Development fees in Apache Junction exclude costs to upgrade, update, improve, expand, correct or replace those necessary public services to meet existing needs and usage, and stricter safety, efficiency, environmental or regulatory standards. Current Use and Available Capacity The current Parks and Recreational Facilities discussed above are fully utilized and there is no available capacity for future development. Tisditerike 24 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona RATIO OF SERVICE UNIT TO DEVELOPMENT UNIT ARS 9-463.05 (E)(4) requires: "A table establishing the specific level or quantity of use, consumption, generation or discharge of a service unit for each category of necessary public services or facility expansions and an equivalency or conversion table establishing the ratio of a service unit to various types of land uses, including residential, commercial and industrial." The following table displays the residential and nonresidential factors used to establish a ratio of service unit to land uses. Figure 19: Parks and Recreational Facilities Ratio of Service Unit to Development Unit F M = Residential Development I Persons per Housing Unit [1] Single Unit 1.73 Single Unit - Manufactured 1.21 2+ Units 1.39 [1] Development Fee Land Use Assumptions Nonresidential Development Landl Use Commercial Jobs per 1,000 Square Feet 121 2.00 Office/Institutional 3.32 Industrial/Flex 2.31 [2] Institute of Transportation Engineers. (2012). Trip Generation Manual 9th Edition PROJECTED DEMAND FOR SERVICES AND COSTS ARS 9-463.05(E)(3) requires: "A description of all or the parts of the necessary public services or facility expansions and their costs necessitated by and attributable to development in the service area based on the approved land use assumptions, including a forecast of the costs of infrastructure, improvements, real property, financing, engineering and architectural services, which shall be prepared by qualified professionals licensed in this state, as applicable." ARS 9-463.05(E)(5) requires: "The total number of projected service units necessitated by and attributable to new development in the service area based on the approved land use assumptions and calculated pursuant to generally accepted engineering and planning criteria." 25 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona ARS 9-463.05(E)(6) requires: "The projected demand for necessary public services or facility expansions required by new service units for a period not to exceed ten years." Growth projections for the City of Apache Junction suggest the City will add 5,811 new residents, and 3,180 new jobs, in the next ten years. In order to maintain current levels of service for developed parkland, park improvements, recreational facilities, and multi -use trails the City will need to make incremental investments. Shown in Figure 20 below are the acres and units needed to maintain current levels of service,and the total investment necessary for each Parks and Recreational Facilities component. Figure 20: Projected Demand for Parks and Recreational Facilities4 Res LOS Nonres LOS Base 2013 1 2014 2 2015 3 2016 4 2017 5 2018 6 2019 7 2020 8 2021 9 2022 10 2023 = L I M N Person Job Average Cost per Component Projected Service Units Persons Jobs Parks Improvements Rec. Facilities Multi -Use (acres)(units)(sq. ft.)Trails (acres) 0.0023 0.0014 0.0023 0.0014 0.1953 0.1197 0.0004 0.0002 $260,000 I $88,485 I $206 I $5,000 Projected Demand (Rounded) Parks Improvements I Rec. Facilities I Multi -Use (acres)(units)(sq. ft.)Trails (acres) 37,300 37,676 38,094 38,554 39,059 39,609 40,206 40,853 41,552 42,303 43,111 9,093 9,369 9,655 9,949 10,252 10,563 10,886 11,217 11,558 11,911 12,273 98 99 101 102 104 105 107 109 111 113 116 99 100 102 103 105 106 108 110 112 115 117 8,375 8,481 8,597 8,722 8,857 9,002 9,157 9,323 9,501 9,690 9,891 17 17 17 18 18 18 19 19 19 20 20 Ten Yr Total 5,811 3,180 18 18 1,516 3 Cost of Parkland $4,611,921 Cost of Park Improvements $1,592,727 Cost of Recreational Facilities $312,273 Cost of Multi -Use Trails $15,385 "The projected demand results are shown as rounded figures. However, the analysis itself uses figures carried to their ultimate decimal places; therefore the sums and products generated in the analysis may not equal the sum or product if the reader replicates the calculation with the factors shown here (due to the rounding of figures shown, not in the analysis.) 26 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Parks and Recreational Facilities Improvements Plan Lastly,identified below is an incremental plan for necessary Parks and Recreational Facilities improvements and expansions identified by City of Apache Junction as qualified for development fee revenue.As demand is generated for identified Parks and Recreational Facilities improvements, investments from this list will be made. Figure 21: Necessary Parks and Recreational Facilities Expansions Park and Facilities Improvements Prospector Park Planned Investments $3,935,000 Parkland Demolition and Site Preparation Landscape Pavement, Curbs Pavement, Curbs, Gutters, Walks Improvements Restroom Building $200,000 Site Amenities - Improvements $1,610,000 $1,000,000 $33,000 $300,000 $792,000 Sheep Drive Trail $883,750 Parkland Pavement, Curbs Improvements Site Amenities - Improvements Multi -Use Trails Mulit-Use Trails $450,000 $400,000 $33,750 Silly Mountain Park $5,755,594 Parkland Irrigation Demolition and Site Preparation Electrical Electrical Systems Landscape Pavement, Curbs Pavement, Curbs, Gutters, Walks Utilities Improvements Restroom Building Site Amenities - Improvements $228,800 $724,277 $175,000 $597,500 $206,707 $712,075 $554,535 $567,600 $600,000 $1,389,100 Superstition ShadoWs $441,000 Parkland Pavement, Curbs Improvements Site Amenities - Improvements $55,000 $386,000 Rec Swim Center $2,468,000 Improvements Site Amenities - Improvements Recreational Facility Facility $2,218,000 $250,000 Source: City of Apache Junction, Parks and Recreation Department lisddetess 27 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona MAXIMUM SUPPORTABLE PARKS AND RECREATIONAL FACILITIES DEVELOPMENT FEES The proposed development fees for Parks and Recreational Facilities are shown in Figure 22. The development fees are calculated by multiplying the Persons per Housing Unit factors by the net capital cost per person for residential development, and the Jobs per Square Foot factors by the net capital cost per job for nonresidential development. Parks and Recreational Facilities IIP and Development Fee Study Included in the Parks and Recreational Facilities per service unit cost is the cost to prepare the IIP and Development Fee Study. See Appendix A — Cost of Professional Services for the detailed calculations. Revenue Credit Included in the maximum supportable development fee is a Revenue Credit of 0 percent. The unadjusted Parks and Recreational Facilities development fees per development unit would not generate more revenue over the next ten years, based on the approved Land Use Assumptions,than the identified growth -related necessary expenditures of $6,551,630 (necessary incremental expansions, plus the IIP and Development Fee Study cost). To ensure that no more fee revenue is collected than the City plans to spend, the potential gross cost per service unit is reduced by the revenue credit to calculate the net capital cost per service unit.Based on the gross capital costs per service unit,the projected development fee revenue would equal $6,006,812. See Figure 22 and Figure 23 for additional detail. Therefore,no revenue credit adjustment is necessary for the Parks and Recreational Facilities development fees. lisch*Bisc 28 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Figure 22: Maximum Supportable Parks and Recreational Facilities Development Fees Parks and Recreational Facilities Level Of Service and Infrastructure Costs Parkland Cost Park Improvements Cost Recreation Facility Cost Multi -Use Trails Cost HP and Development Fee Study Cost: 1GROSS CAPITAL COST Revenue Credit Developed Parks Developed Parks 0% Per Person $594.31 $204.32 $40.24 $1.98 $7.28 $848.13 $0.00 NET CAPITAL COST $84813 Parks and Recreational Facilities Development Fee Schedule Unit Type Persons per Housina Unit (11 Single Unit /.73 Single Unit- Manufactured 1.21 2+ Unit 1.39 [1] Development Fee Land Use Assumptions [2] Current Fee established in 2012 Cost per Person $848.13 $848.13 $848.13 Parks and Recreational Facilities Level Of Service and Infrastructure Costs Parkland Cost Park Improvements Cost Recreation Facility Cost Multi -Use Trails Cost IIP and Development Fee Study Cost: Developed Parks Developed Parks Development Fee per Housing Unit Development Fee Proposed Current 121 Increase (Decrease) %At $1,801 ($335) $1,027 $1,429 ($402) $1,174 $1,555 ($381) Per Job $364.28 $125.24 $24.67 $1.22 $1.71 IGROSS CAPffAL COST Revenue Credit 0% $517.12 $0.00 NET CAPITAL COST $517.12 Parks and Recreational Facilities Development Fee Schedule Nonresidential Land Use Jobs MI pe-r;T:646-S-F- Commercial 2.00 Office 3.32 Industrial 2.31 Cost per Job $517.12 XX X $517.12 I $517.12 $517.12 J31 Trio Generation,Institute of Transportation Engineers, 9th Edition (2012). [4] City of Apache Junction does not currently assess Parks and Recreational Facilities development fees on nonresidential development. $517.12 $517.12 Development Fee Proposed Current (4) Increase (Decrease)_ i (Per Square Foot of Floor Area)---1 $1.03 $0.00 $1.03 $1.71 $0.00 $1.71 $1.19 $0.00 $1.19 T o d * "29 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona FORECAST OF REVENUES Appendix B - Forecast of Revenues Other Than Development Fees contains a forecast of revenues other than development fees required by Arizona's enabling legislation. Parks and Recreational Facilities Cash Flow The cash flow shown in Figure 23 assumes implementation of the maximum supportable Parks and Recreational Facilities development fees and that development over the next ten years is consistent with the approved Land Use Assumptions described in Appendix C.To the extent the rate of development either accelerates or slows down,there will be a corresponding change in the development fee revenue. Figure 23: Parks and Recreational Facilities Cash Flow Summary Ten -Year Growth -Related Costs for Parks and Recreational Facilities Parkland Park Improvements Recreation Facility Multi -Use Trails II P and Development Fee StudyCost TOTAL $4,611,921 $1,592,727 $312,273 $15,385 $19,324 $6,551,630 Base Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Projected Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Ten-Yr Increase Fees (Rounded) => per-Housing Unit Single Unit [1] $1,289 Housing Units Added 21,199 21,402 21,628 21,875 22,148 22,444 22,766 23,115 23,492 23,897 24,333 2+Units $1,174 1,904 1,922 1,942 1,965 1,989 2,016 2,045 2,076 2,110 2,146 2,185 Per Square Foot of Floor Area Commercial $1.03 Industrial $1.19 Square Feet Added (1,000) 1,117 1,148 1,180 1,213 1,247 1,282 1,318 1,355 1,393 1,432 1,472 Office 1,823 1,881 1,941 2,003 2,067 2,132 2,200 2,270 2,342 2,417 2,494 348 357 367 377 386 397 408 419 429 441 453 3,134 281 355 671 105 $4,039,726 $329,894 $365,650 $1,146,764 $124,778 Total Projected Revenues $6,006,812 Cumulative Net Surplus/(Deficit)($544,818) [1] Fee shown for Single Units represents a weighted average of the Single Unit and Single Unit- Manufactured fees Ti 30 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona POLICE FACILITIES INFRASTRUCTURE IMPROVEMENTS PLAN OVERVIEW ARS 9-463.05 (T)(7)(f) defines the facilities and assets that can be included in the Police Facilities IIP as: "Fire and police facilities, including all appurtenances, equipment and vehicles. Fire and police facilities do not include a facility or portion of a facility that is used to replace services that were once provided elsewhere in the municipality, vehicles and equipment used to provide administrative services, helicopters or airplanes or a facility that is used for training police and firefighters from more than one station or substation." The Police Facilities IIP includes components for vehicles, communications equipment, and the cost of preparing the Police Facilities IIP and Development Fee Study. Incremental expansion is used to calculate the vehicles, and communications equipment elements of the Police Facilities IIP. SERVICE AREA The City of Apache Junction plans to provide a uniform level of service and equal service for Police Facilities throughout the City. As described in Apache Junction's 2010 General Plan Update, "the Apache Junction Police Department (AJPD) is a full service public safety agency, primarily carrying out police services within the jurisdiction of the City of Apache Junction." As a result, the service area for the Police IIP is citywide. Once development of Lost Dutchman Heights begins in earnest, it may become necessary to establish separate service areas for Police Facilities development fees. However, for the purposes of this five-year study window the City of Apache Junction is considered a single service area. PROPORTIONATE SHARE Functional Population ARS 9-463.05 (B)(3) states that the development fee shall not exceed a proportionate share of the cost of necessary public services needed to provide necessary public services to the development. The Police IIP and development fees use a functional population concept to calculate a proportionate share in order to allocate the demand between residential and nonresidential development. Functional population is calculated based on characteristics of the residential population and workers in the City of Apache Junction. Place of residence and place of work data were analyzed to determine demand by type of land use using "person -hours." See Figure 24 below for the calculations.For residential development, the proportionate share factor is based on estimated person hours of non- working residents plus the non -working hours of resident workers.The portion of the population not working is estimated at 23,809 in 2010. (This is calculated by subtracting the Longitudinal Employer- Household Dynamics (LEHD) web -based application OnTheMap estimate of employed residents of the City (12,031) from the 2010 decennial census population in 2010 (35,840)). For these residents, the full day (or 24 hours) is allocated to residential demand. According to the 2010 Census, workers who live in Apache Junction total 12,031. (Of the 12,031 employed residents, the U.S. Census estimates that 1,236 work in Apache Junction and 10,795 work outside the City.) For workers living in the City, two-thirds of the day (or 16 hours) is allocated to residential demand. Time spent at work (8 hours) is allocated to nonresidential development. i schierei 31 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona For nonresidential development, 8 hours per person is estimated for each worker.For the 1,236 estimated City residents working in Apache Junction and the 7,325 non-resident workers (estimated based on the number of jobs in the City minus resident workers), 8 hours of demand per day is allocated.Based on estimated person hours,the cost allocation is 92 percent for residential development (763,912 person hours of residential demand out of a total 832,400 person hours) and 8 percent for nonresidential development (68,488 person hours of nonresidential demand out of a total 832,400 person hours). Shown in Figure 24 is the functional population calculation to assign demand hours per day by type of resident and worker in City of Apache Junction. Figure 24: Police Functional Population Proportionate Share Land Use Residential Demand Units in 2010 Demand Person Proportionate Hours/Day Hours Share Estimated Residents 35,840 Residents Not Working L,23,8091 Workers Living in City 12,031 City Residents Working in Apache Junction 1,236 16 1 .19,477B1 City Residents Working outside of City 10,7951 16 172,720i 24 5,71;416j Residential Subtotal 763,912 Jobs Located in City City Residents Working in City Non -Resident Workers 8,561 7'.1,2361 8 I.;T:.1 '8081 8 F.,:.....,58;6601 Nonresidential Subtotal L:.....;68,48ä TOTAL r.832,400'' Source:U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Decennial Census; U.S. Census Bureau, OnTheMap 6.1.1 Application and LEHD Origin -Destination Employment Statistics lisclilerBisc 32 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Service units The Police Facilities costs are allocated to both residential and nonresidential development based on an analysis of incident by land use data (calls for service). For residential development, Police Facilities development fees are calculated on a per capita basis, and then converted to an appropriate amount by type of housing unit, based on persons per housing unit factors. For nonresidential development fees, TischlerBise recommends using nonresidential vehicle trips as the best demand indicator for Police Facilities.Trip generation rates are used for nonresidential development because vehicle trips are highest for commercial developments, such as shopping centers, and lowest for industrial/flex development. Office and institutional trip rates fall between the other two categories. This ranking of trip rates is consistent with the relative demand for Police services from nonresidential development. Other possible nonresidential demand indicators, such as employment or floor area, will not accurately reflect the demand for service. For example, if employees per thousand square feet were used as the demand indicator,police impact fees would be too high for office and institutional development because offices typically have more employees per 1,000 square feet than retail uses. If floor area were used as the demand indicator Police development fees would be too high for industrial development. For more information regarding the calculation of nonresidential vehicle trips see the Ratio of Service Unit to Development Unit section of this chapter. Police Calls for Service The proportionate share factors described above were applied to the 40,067 calls for service answered by the AJPD in calendar year 2012 to derive CFS per capita and CFS per nonresidential vehicle trip. See Figure 25 for more detail. Figure 25: Police Calls for Service by Land Use Step 1- Calls for Service 11112M1131 Residential Nonresidential IProportioInate,Share ! 92% 8% Land Use Calls for Service (1] 40,067 Step 2 - Level of Service 1111111111M1 Land Use Calls per Land Use 36,862 3,205 NINECINEIZINE 2013 Service Units Service Unit Calls per Resident 36,862 ÷ 37,300 =0.9882 per Person Calls per Nonresidential Vehicle Trip [2]3,205 ÷ 27,000 =0.1187 per Vehide Trip [1] City of Apache Junction Police Department; Calls for service for calendar year 2012 (21 Nonresidential Vehicle Trips shown in rounded numbers °k a t f 33 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona 11113 FOR POLICE FACILITIES For each necessary public service that is the subject of a development fee, ARS 9-463.05(E) requires the IIP to include seven elements. The sections below detail each of these elements. (A forecast of new revenues generated by sources other than development fees can be found in Appendix B — Forecast of Revenues Other Than Development Fees.) ANALYSIS OF CAPACITY, USAGE, AND COSTS OF EXISTING PUBLIC SERVICES ARS 9-463.05 (E)(1) requires: "A description of the existing necessary public services in the service area and the costs to upgrade, update, improve, expand, correct or replace those necessary public services to meet existing needs and usage and stricter safety,efficiency, environmental or regulatory standards,which shall be prepared by qualified professionals licensed in this state, as applicable." ARS 9-463.05 (E)(2) requires: "An analysis of the total capacity, the level of current usage and commitments for usage of capacity of the existing necessary public services, which shall be prepared by qualified professionals licensed in this state, as applicable." The necessary public services included in the Police Facilities IIP are vehicles, and communications equipment. Tisch 34 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Vehicles The City plans to maintain the current LOS for Police vehicles;thus the incremental expansion methodology is used to calculate this component of the Police IIP. The City currently has 50 vehicles serving 37,300 persons and 27,000 nonresidential vehicle trips (rounded).Based on the current inventory, the proportionate share factors, and existing development, the steps to calculate the cost of Police vehicles per residential and nonresidential service units are shown in Figure 26. Figure 26: Incremental Expansion — Vehicles Step 1- Cost per Component e rit TOta I ,Cost per Value Ell Units Unit Marked Patrol Vehicles Unmarked Patrol Vehicles Detention Vans Vans (Victims Svc &Comm) Motorcycles Mobile Command Van SWAT Van TOTALS $1,040,349 $531,532 $92,262 $70,632 $128,734 $319,882 $373,196 22 18 2 2 4 1 1 $47,289 $29,530 $46,131 $35,316 $32,184 $319,882 $373,196 $2,556,587 +50 =$51,132 Step 2 - Level of Service 311Y51111=111111 Proportionate. Share 2013 Service Units 1111871111VE171181 Service Unit Vehicles per Resident 50 92%37,300 =0.0012 per Person Vehicles per Nonresidential Vehicle Trip [2]50 X 8%27,000 =0.0001 per Vehicle Trip Step 3- Cost per Service Unit 1 = 1 1 Co t per Unit '1 Level of Service Component Cost Service Unit Police Vehicles - Residential $51,132 X 0.0012 =$63.06 Der Person Police Vehicles - Nonresidential $51,132 X 0.0001 $7.58 Der Vehicle Trio Source: City of Apache Junction [1] Total Value in 2007, provided by The City of Apache Junction Police adjusted for inflation using 2007 and Feb 2013 Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI Index (2) Nonresidential Vehicle Trips shown in rounded numbers maim 35 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Communications Equipment The City plans to maintain the current LOS for Police communications equipment; thus the incremental expansion methodology is used to calculate this component of the Police IIP. The City currently has 170 units of Police communications equipment serving 37,300 persons and 27,000 nonresidential vehicle trips (rounded).Based on the current inventory,the proportionate share factors,and existing development, the steps to calculate the cost of Police communications equipment per residential and nonresidential service units are shown in Figure 27. Figure 27: Incremental Expansion — Communications Equipment Step 1- Cost per Component Portable Radios Mobile Radios Dispatch Consoles TOTALS Source: City of Apache Junction Total Value $572,000 $335,296 $60,000 $967,296 + 104 62 4 170 Cost per Unit $5,500 $5,408 $15,000 Step 2- Level of Service $5,690 Level of Service Eilig P'roportionate Share 2013 Service Units Level of Service Service LI lit Comm. Equipment per Resident 170 X 92%37,300 =0.0042 per Person Comm. Equip. per Nonres. Vehicle Trip [1]170 X 8%27,000 =0.0005 per Vehicle Trip Step 3 - Cost per Service Unit Cost Per Component Cost Service Unit Police Comm. Equip.- Residential $5,690 X 0.0042 =$23.86 De r Person Police Comm. Equip.- Nonresidential $5,690 X 0.0005 $2.87 per Vehicle Trip [1] Nonresidential Vehicle Trips shown in rounded numbers Excluded Costs Development fees in Apache Junction exclude costs to upgrade, update, improve, expand, correct or replace those necessary public services to meet existing needs and usage, and stricter safety, efficiency, environmental or regulator standards. Current Use and Available Capacity The current Police Facilities discussed above are fully utilized and there is no available capacity for future development. Ti NUM 36 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona RATIO OF SERVICE UNIT TO DEVELOPMENT UNIT ARS 9-463.05 (E)(4) requires: "A table establishing the specific level or quantity of use, consumption, generation or discharge of a service unit for each category of necessary public services or facility expansions and an equivalency or conversion table establishing the ratio of a service unit to various types of land uses, including residential, commercial and industrial." Figure 28 displays the ratio of a service unit to various types of land uses for residential and nonresidential development. The residential development table displays the persons per housing unit factors for single unit structures and multi -unit structures. For nonresidential development fees, TischlerBise recommends using nonresidential vehicle trips as the best demand indicator for Police Facilities.Trip generation rates are used for nonresidential development because vehicle trips are highest for commercial developments, such as shopping centers, and lowest for industrial/flex development. Office and institutional trip rates fall between the other two categories. This ranking of trip rates is consistent with the relative demand for Police services from nonresidential development. Other possible nonresidential demand indicators, such as employment or floor area, will not accurately reflect the demand for service. For example, if employees per thousand square feet were used as the demand indicator, police impact fees would be too high for office and institutional development because offices typically have more employees per 1,000 square feet than retail uses. If floor area were used as the demand indicator Police development fees would be too high for industrial development. Vehicle trips are estimated using average weekday vehicle trip ends from the reference book Trip Generation published by the Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE 9th Edition, 2012). A Vehicle Trip End represents a vehicle either entering or exiting a development (as if a traffic counter were placed across a driveway). To calculate development fees, trip generation rates require an adjustment factor to avoid double counting each trip at both the origin and destination points. Therefore, the basic trip adjustment factor is 50 percent. For commercial development, the trip adjustment factor is less than 50 percent because retail development and some services attract vehicles as they pass by on arterial and collector roads. For example, when someone stops at a convenience store on the way home from work, the convenience store is not the primary destination. For the average shopping center, the ITE data indicate that 34 percent of the vehicles that enter are passing by on their way to some other primary destination. Because attraction trips are half of all trips, the trip adjustment factor is 66 percent multiplied by 50 percent, for a commercial trip adjustment factor of 33 percent. These factors are shown to derive inbound vehicle trips for each type of nonresidential land use. T I S d i t e l e i 37 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Figure 28: Police Facilities Ratio of Service Units to Land Use Land Use Residential Development Persons per Housing Unit [1] Single Unit 1.73 Single Unit- Manufactured 1.21 2+ Units 1.39 [1] Development Fee Land Use Assumptions Nonresidential Development 11A/e+day Trip Trip Enci.[2]Adjustment [3] !I (a:)(b) Commercial 42.70 33% Vehicle Trips (a X b) 14.09 Office/Institutional 11.03 50%5.52 Industrial/Flex 6.97 50%3.49 [1] Development Fee Land Use Assumptions [2] Institute of Transportation Engineers. (2012). Trip Generation Manual 9th Edition [3] On an average weekday, half of all trip ends are inbound.Commercial (including Retail) include a 34% pass -by adjustment to reflect 66% of trips are PROJECTED DEMAND FOR SERVICES AND COSTS ARS 9-463.05(E)(3) requires: "A description of all or the parts of the necessary public services or facility expansions and their costs necessitated by and attributable to development in the service area based on the approved land use assumptions, including a forecast of the costs of infrastructure,improvements, real property, financing,engineering and architectural services, which shall be prepared by qualified professionals licensed in this state, as applicable." ARS 9-463.05(E)(5) requires: "The total number of projected service units necessitated by and attributable to new development in the service area based on the approved land use assumptions and calculated pursuant to generally accepted engineering and planning criteria." ARS 9-463.05(E)(6) requires: "The projected demand for necessary public services or facility expansions required by new service units for a period not to exceed ten years." T h 38 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Growth projections, discussed in the Development Fee Land Use Assumptions,for the City of Apache Junction suggest the City will add 5,811 residents in the next ten years. Growth is projected to generate an additional 9,066 nonresidential vehicle trips. In order to maintain current levels of service for the Police Facilities the AJPD will need to add 9 vehicles and 29 units of communications equipment. These demands have an estimated cost of $625,198. See Figure 29 below for additional details. Figure 29: Projected Demand for Police Facilities Res LOS Nonres LOS SerVice Unit Person Nonresidential Vehicle Trips Vehicles (units) 0.0012 0.0001 Comm. Equip. (units) 0.0042 0.0005 Base 2013 1 2014 2 2015 3 2016 4 2017 5 2018 6 2019 7 2020 8 2021 9 2022 10 2023 Average Cost per Unit Projected Service Units Persons Nonres. Vehicle $51,132 $5,690 Projected Demand (Rounded) Vehicles (units) Comm. Equip. (units) 37,300 37,676 38,094 38,554 39,059 39,609 40,206 40,853 41,552 42,303 43,111 27,000 27,789 28,610 29,450 30,316 31,200 32,120 33,073 34,036 35,038 3,066 50 51 51 52 53 53 54 55 56 57 59 170 172 174 176 179 182 185 188 191 195 199 (Ten Yr Total 5,811 9,066 9 29 Cost of Police Vehicles $460,188 Cost of Communications Equipment $165,010 lisdded0 39 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Police Facilities Improvements Plan Lastly, identified below is the 10 -year plan for necessary Police Facilities improvements and expansions identified by City of Apache Junction as qualified for development fee revenue. As demand is generated for identified Police Facilities improvements, investments identified below will be made. Figure 30: Necessary Police Facilities Expansions Necessary Public Service i Division Vehicles 'Units Total Patrol 3 $116,000 Crime Scene Investigations 1 $51,000 Incremental Expansion 5 $268,107 Mobile Communications Equipment Patrol 10 $68,000 Telecommunications 8 $52,000 Stationary Communications System Patrol 2 $1,500 Telecommunications 2 $40,000 Crime Scene Investigations 1 $85,000 Dispatch Console Telecommunications 1 $115,000 TOTAL Source: City of Apache Junction Police Department $796,607 40 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona MAXIMUM SUPPORTABLE POLICE FACILITIES DEVELOPMENT FEES The proposed development fees for Police Facilities are shown in Figure 31. The development fees are calculated by multiplying the Persons per Housing Unit factors by the net capital cost per person for residential development, and the Vehicle Trips per Square Foot factors by the net capital cost per nonresidential vehicle trip for nonresidential development. Police Facilities IIP and Development Fee Study Included in the Police Facilities per service unit cost is the cost to prepare the IIP and Development Fee Study. See Appendix A — Cost of Professional Services for the detailed calculations. Revenue Credit Included in the maximum supportable development fee is a Revenue Credit of 0 percent. The unadjusted Police Facilities development fees per development unit would not generate more revenue over the next ten years,based on the approved Land Use Assumptions,than the identified growth -related necessary expenditures of $641,352 (necessary incremental expansions, plus the IIP and Development Fee Study cost). To ensure that no more fee revenue is collected than the City plans to spend, the potential gross cost per service unit is reduced by the revenue credit to calculate the net capital cost per service unit. Based on the gross capital costs per service unit, the projected development fee revenue would equal $570,268. See Figure 31 and Figure 32 for additional detail. Therefore, no revenue credit adjustment is necessary for the Police Facilities development fees. Ttscl*B*41 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Figure 31: Maximum Supportable Police Facilities Development Fees Police Facilities Residential Level Of Service and Capital Costs Vehicle Costs Communications Equipment Costs IIP and Development Fee Study Cost 1GROSS CAPITAL COST Revenue Credit 0% Per erfspn $63.06 $23.86 $6.44 —73:761 $0.00 NET CAPITAL COST $93.36 Police Facilities Residential Development Fee Schedule Unit Type Persons per Housing Unit (.1.1 Single Unit 1.73 Single Unit- Manufactured 1.21 2+ Unit 1.39 Police Facilities Nonresidential Level Of Service and Capital Casts Vehicle Costs Communications Equipment Costs IIP and Development Fee Study Cost IGROSS CAPITAL COST Revenue Credit Cost per Person $93.36 $93.36 $93.36 0% Development Fee per Housing Unit Development Fee Increase----. Pr.opose.d Current (2.1 (Decrease)1111 = M E M $294 ($133) MIIIIFSIM31 $234 ($121) 111.4111M $254 ($125) Per Nonres Trip $7.58 $2.87 $0.31 $10.761 $0.00 NET CAPITAL COST $1(1.76 Police Facilities Nonresidential Development Fee Schedule Nonresidential Land Use Vehicle Tri s 1 per 1,000SF Commercial 14.09 Office 5.52 Industrial 3.49 [1] Development Fee Land Use Assumptions [2] Current Fee established in 2012 Cost per Nonres Trip $10.76 $10.76 $10.76 Development Fee per Housing Unit Development Fee Ifro ed Current 2 Increase Decrease (Per Square Foot of Floor Area I naTI I $1.80 ($1.65) [Ma I $0.68 ($0.63) _,..1 $0.27 ($0.24) Tischle e 42 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona FORECAST OF REVENUES Appendix B - Forecast of Revenues Other Than Development Fees contains a forecast of revenues other than development fees required by Arizona's enabling legislation. Police Facilities Cash Flow The cash flow shown in Figure 32 assumes implementation of the maximum supportable Police Facilities development fees and that development over the next ten years is consistent with the approved Land Use Assumptions described in Appendix C. To the extent the rate of development either accelerates or slows down, there will be a corresponding change in the development fee revenue. Figure 32: Police Facilities Cash Flow Summary Ten -Year Growth -Related Costs for Police Facilities Vehicles $ Communications Equipment $ IIP and Development Fee Study Cost $ TOTAL $ 460,188 165,010 16,154 641,352 Base Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Ten-Yr Increase Projected Fees (Rounded) => per Housing Unit Single Unit [1] $142 2+ Units $129 Housing Units Added, 21,199 21,402 21,628 21,875 22,148 22,444 22,766 23,115 23,492 23,897 24,333 1,904 1,922 1,942 1,965 1,989 2,016 2,045 2,076 2,110 2,146 2,185 Per Square Foot of Floor Area Commercial $0.15 Office $0.05 Industrial $0.03 Square Feet Added (1,000) 1,117 1,148 1,180 1,213 1,247 1,282 1,318 1,355 1,393 1,432 1,472 1,823 1,881 1,941 2,003 2,067 2,132 2,200 2,270 2,342 2,417 2,494 348 357 367 377 386 397 408 419 429 441 453 3,134 281 355 671 105 $444,092 $36,249 $53,250 Total Projected Revenues $570,268 Cumulative Net Surplus/(Deficit)($71,084) [1] Fee for Single Units shown represents a weighted average of the Single Unit and Single Unit - Manufactured fees. $33,531 $3,146 Ti NEMO 43 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona [PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK] 44 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona STREET FACILITIES INFRASTRUCTURE IMPROVEMENTS PLAN OVERVIEW ARS 9-463.05 (T)(7)(f) defines the facilities and assets that can be included in the Street Facilities IIP as: "Street facilities located in the service area, including arterial or collector streets or roads that have been designated on an officially adopted plan of the municipality, traffic signals and rights -of -way and improvements thereon." The Street Facilities IIP includes components for street improvements and the cost of preparing the Street Facilities IIP and development fees. The cost recovery/buy- in methodology is used to calculate the minor arterial component; and an incremental expansion methodology is used to calculate the collectors and signalized intersections components of the Street Facilities IIP. SERVICE AREA ARS 9-463.05(T)(9) defines "service area" as follows: "any specified area within the boundaries of a municipality in which development will be served by necessary public services or facility expansions and within which a substantial nexus exists between the necessary public services or facility expansions and the development being served as prescribed in the infrastructure improvements plan." The City of Apache Junction plans to provide a uniform level of service for Street facilities throughout the City. As described in Apache Junction's 2010 General Plan Update, the City of Apache Junction ensures, "vital transportation and circulation infrastructure will be available to support easy access to jobs,schools,recreation,and regional travel."A May 2012 Apache Junction Comprehensive Transportation Study conducted by Jacobs cataloged existing streets in Apache Junction, and found City of Apache Junction roadways operate at a level of service (LOS) at or above LOS C (except for a section of Apache Trail on which there exist intentional traffic calming design features). The current inventory of City of Apache Junction roadways has capacity to absorb additional vehicle miles traveled. In the next five years, the City expects development of the southern portion of the City, between Baseline Avenue and the incorporated municipal boundary, to develop as part of a master planned development: Lost Dutchman Heights. It will be necessary for City of Apache Junction to improve the City roadways to maintain circulation within the City. Once development of Lost Dutchman Heights begins in earnest, it may become necessary to establish separate service areas for Street Facilities development fees.However, for the purposes of this five-year study window the City of Apache Junction is considered a single service area, shown as within the "Study Area" indicated in Figure 33 below. Ti 45 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Figure 33: Street Facilities Service Area Map FIGURE 2.19: AVERAGE DAILY LEVEL OF SERVICE CONDITIONS 1• •• •••••ri j Lost DutchmanBent I Lost Dutchman Bent Tee. Sutter.• ••IWO .• •e ...•i Nohi •Ave a .103. keel Nolo 9 Stooderey Ave a UM keel Southern A. -LEGEND .44.4Syys.LOS 0 LOS C I AsKflat SI ••• e•j PO 200 MPD: Portalis ...N... LOS A Local Roadway Study Ana Ctty Boundary County Island Source: Jacob. (2012) Apache Junction Comprehensive Transportation Study. 44 JACOBS otocr! lischtereise 46 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona PROPORTIONATE SHARE ARS 9-463.05 (B)(3) states that the development fee shall not exceed a proportionate share of the cost of necessary public services needed to provide necessary public services to the development. Trip generation rates and trip adjustment factors are used to determine the proportionate impact of residential, commercial, office, and industrial land uses on the City's roadways. IIP FOR STREET FACILITIES For each necessary public service that is the subject of a development fee, ARS 9-463.05(E) requires the IIP to include seven elements. The sections below detail each of these seven elements for the Street Facilities IIP. (A forecast of new revenues generated by sources other than development fees can be found in Appendix B — Forecast of Revenues Other Than Development Fees.) ANALYSIS OF CAPACITY, USAGE, AND COSTS OF EXISTING PUBLIC SERVICES ARS 9-463.05 (E)(1) requires: "A description of the existing necessary public services in the service area and the costs to upgrade, update, improve, expand, correct or replace those necessary public services to meet existing needs and usage and stricter safety,efficiency, environmental or regulatory standards,which shall be prepared by qualified professionals licensed in this state, as applicable." ARS 9-463.05 (E)(2) requires: "An analysis of the total capacity, the level of current usage and commitments for usage of capacity of the existing necessary public services, which shall be prepared by qualified professionals licensed in this state, as applicable." Tisc i de r e i s e 47 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Current Inventory The City of Apache Junction has a total Street facilities inventory of 143.79 miles, made up of 106.49 miles of minor arterial streets and 37.30 miles of collector streets, all of which operate with a level of service at or above C, as reported by the 2012 Apache Junction Comprehensive Transportation Study. There are 18 signalized intersections maintained by the City of Apache Junction Department of Public Works. Figure 34: City -Maintained Street Facilities Inventory Road Lost Dutchman Blvd Minor Arterials Miles 4.00 Lanes 2 1 ,Lane Miles 8.00 Superstition Blvd 5.60 2-4 15.40 Broa dway Ave 4.50 2-3 13.00 Southern Ave 3.08 2-4 9.54 Baseline Ave 4.20 2-3 8.60 Meridian Dr 3.00 2-4 6.75 Ironwood Dr 5.90 2-4 21.60 Idaho Rd 1.80 2-4 4.50 Tomahawk Rd 4.00 2-4 9.30 Goldfield Rd 4.00 2-4 9.80 Mountain View Rd 3.40 2 6.80 TOTAL 106.49 Signalized Intersections City Maintained Nimm 18 Source: City of Apache Junction; Dept. of Public Works Road Meridian Dr. Collectors Miles 2.10 Lanes 2 Lane Miles 4.20 Delaware Dr 2.50 2-4 5.90 McKellips Blvd 3.50 2 7.00 Ironwood Dr 1.00 2 2.00 Idaho Rd 1.10 2 2.20 Tomahawk Rd 0.60 2 1.20 16th Ave 2.50 2-4 8.60 San Marcos Dr.1.00 4 4.00 Phelps Dr.0.50 2-3 1.20 Royal Palm Rd.1.00 1 1.00 TOTAL 37.30 Source: Jacob. (2012) Apache Junction Comprehensive Transportation Study. The steps to calculate a current level of service for the City of Apache Junction Street facilities involve calibrating existing development to the arterial and collector street networks. To do so, development units by type are multiplied by adjusted vehicle trip ends per development unit. The factors used to calculate the current levels of service, expressed in Vehicle Miles of Travel (a measurement unit equal to one vehicle traveling one mile), are discussed below, and shown in the Current Level of Service section after the discussion. Tadderilise 48 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Trip Generation Rates Street Facilities development fees are based on average weekday vehicle trip ends,adjusted for commuting patterns and pass -by trips and weighted by trip length. Trip generation rates are from the reference book Trip Generation published by the Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE 9th Edition, 2012). A Vehicle Trip End represents a vehicle either entering or exiting a development (as if a traffic counter were placed across a driveway). To calculate Street Facilities development fees, trip generation rates require an adjustment factor to avoid double counting each trip at both the origin and destination points. Therefore, the basic trip adjustment factor is 50 percent. As discussed further below, the development fee methodology includes additional adjustments to make the fees proportionate to the infrastructure demand for particular types of development. Residential Vehicle Trip Ends As an alternative to simply using the national average trip generation rate for residential development, the Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) publishes regression curve formulas that may be used to derive custom trip generation rates using local demographic data. Key independent variables needed for the analysis (i.e., vehicles available, housing units, households, and persons) are available from the 2011 ACS Estimates for Apache Junction. These data were used to derive custom average weekday vehicle trip ends by type of housing. As shown in Figure 35, custom residential trip ends per housing unit in Apache Junction are 5.60 for single residential units, and 4.40 for multifamily units, each of which are lower than the national average of 9.52 and 6.65 respectively. (Note: Housing unit estimates from the ACS will not equal decennial census counts of units, nor the land use assumptions. These data are used to derive the custom average trip ends by type of housing unit, as shown below.) Figure 35: Average Weekday Vehicle Trip Ends by Housing Type , City of Apache Junction, Az .Households [21 Vehicles per I Vehicles Units Household 1i Available [1]Single Family Multifamily Total by Tenure A B C 0=134C E=A/D , Owner -occupied 18,863 11,363 156 11,519 1.64 Renter -occupied 3,666 1,957 1,042 2,999 1.22 TOTAL 22,529 13,320 1,198 14,518 1.55 Housing Units [3] => Persons per Housing Unit => [1] Vehicles available by tenure from Table 825046, American CommunitySurvey, 2011. [2] Households bytenure and units in structure from Table 1325032, American Community Survey, 2011. [31 Housing units from Table 825024, American CommunitySurvey, 2011. 18,248 1,597 19,845 1.73 1.39 .Persons In Trip Vehicles by Trip Households Ends Type of Housing Ends FODwner(B*0+ ... 141 151 Renter(VE)[6] Single Family Units 31,558 81,723 21,000 121,320 Multifamily Units 2,212 7,611 1,529 6,319 TOTAL 33,770 89,334 22,529 127,638 Average Trip Ends G= Avg of 151161 101,521 6,965 108,486 Trip Ends per Housing Unit H= GM] 5.60 4.40 5.50 ITE Trip Ends per Unit 171 9.52 6.65 • Difference From ITE -3.92 -2.25 (4) Total population in households from Tab1e25033, American CommunitySurvey, 2011. [5] Vehicle trips ends based on persons using formulas from Trip Generation (ITE 2012).For single family housing (ITE 210), the fitted curve equation is EXP(0.91*LN(persons)+1.52). To approximate the average population of the ITE studies, persons were divided by 57 and the equation result multiplied by 57.For multifamily housing (ITE 220), the fitted curve equation is (3.47*persons)-64.48. [6]Vehicle trip ends based on vehicles available using formulas from Trip Generation (ITE 2012).For single family housing (ITE 210), the fitted curve equation is EXP(0.99*LN(vehicles)+1.81). To approximate the average number of vehicles in the ITE studies, vehicles available were divided by 77 and the equation result multiplied by 77.For multifamily housing (ITE 220), the fitted curve equation is (3.94*vehicles)+293.58. RI Trio Generation,Institute of Transportation Engineers, 9th Edition (2012). Tactile:di*49 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Nonresidential Vehicle Trip Ends Vehicle trip ends for nonresidential development are from the reference book Trip Generation published by the Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE 9th Edition, 2012). The shaded categories in Figure 36 represent the proxy categories used to determine existing and projected trips from nonresidential development in the City of Apache Junction. Figure 36: The Institute of Transportation ITE Land Use/Size Demand Code Unit commercial! Shopping Center 1810 .L000.SqFt General Office Engineers, Nonresidential Trip Ends, 2012 Weekday Trip Ends per Emp Per Sq Ft Demand Unit*Employee*Dmd Unit**Per Emp 42:70 '2.500 710 lAirerage-:,. Other Nonresidential 11,000 $q Ftr:. 770 Business Park***1,000 Sq Ft 12.44 4.04 3.08 325 . 760 Research & Dev Center 1,000 Sq Ft 8.11 2.77 2.93 342 610 Hospital 1,000 Sq Ft 13.22 4.50 2.94 340 565 Day Care student 4.38 26.73 0.16 na 550 University/College student 1.71 8.96 0.19 na 530 High School student 1.71 19.74 0.09 na 520 Elementary School student 1.29 15.71 0.08 na 520 Elementary School 1,000 Sq Ft 15.43 15.71 0.98 1,018 320 Lodging room 5.63 12.81 0.44 na 254 Assisted Living bed 2.66 3.93 0.68 na 151 Mini -Warehouse 1,000 Sq Ft 2.50 61.90 0.04 24,760 150 Warehousing 1,000 Sq Ft 356 3.89 0.92 1,093 140 Manufacturing 1,000 Sq Ft 3.82 2.13 1.79 558 110,Light industrial 1,000 Sq Ft ' 0.07,1'3.02 , -,. -233,1.,..'1 *Trio Generation,Institute of Transportation Engineers, 9th Edition (2012). ** Employees per demand unit calculated from trip rates, except for Shopping Center data, which are derived from Development Handbook and Dollars and Cents of Shopping Centers, published by the Urban Land Institute. lischleithse 50 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Adjustment for Journey -To -Work Commuting Residential development in the City of Apache Junction has a trip adjustment factor of 64 percent to account for commuters leaving Apache Junction for work. According to the National Household Travel Survey (2011), home -based work trips are typically 31 percent of "production" trips, in other words, out- bound trips (which are 50 percent of all trip ends). The LED OnTheMap data from 2010 indicates that 90 percent of Apache Junction's employed residents travel outside the City for work. In combination, these factors (0.31 x 0.50 x 0.90 = 0.14) account for 14 percent of additional production trips. The total adjustment factor for residential includes attraction trips (50% of trip ends) plus the journey -to -work commuting adjustment (14% of production trips) for a total of 64 percent. Figure 37: Adjustment for Journey -to -Work Commuting Trip Adjustment Factor for Commuters 11] Employed Residents Residents Working in City Residents Commuting Outside City for Work Percent Commuting out of the City Additional Production Trips [2] Residential Trip Adjustment Factor 12,031 1,236 10,795 90% 14% 64% [1) U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 OnTheMap Application (version 6.1.1) and LEHD Origin -Destination Employment Statistics [2] Outbound trip statistics from National Household Travel Survey, 2009: Table 30 Adjustment for Pass -By Trips For commercial development,the trip adjustment factor is less than 50 percent because retail development and some services attract vehicles as they pass by on arterial and collector roads. For example, when someone stops at a convenience store on the way home from work, the convenience store is not the primary destination. For the average shopping center, the ITE data indicate that 34 percent of the vehicles that enter are passing by on their way to some other primary destination. Because attraction trips are half of all trips, the trip adjustment factor is 66 percent multiplied by 50 percent, or approximately 33 percent of the trip ends (see the Current Level of Service section). These factors are shown to derive inbound vehicle trips for each type of nonresidential land use. Trip Length Weighting Factor by Type of Land Use The Street Facilities calculation methodology includes a percentage adjustment, or weighting factor, to account for trip length variation by type of land use. As documented in Table 6 of the 2009 National Household Travel Survey, vehicle trips from residential development are approximately 121 percent of the average trip length. The residential trip length adjustment factor includes data on home -base work trips,social,and recreational purposes.Conversely,shopping trips associated with commercial development are roughly 66 percent of the average trip length while other nonresidential development typically accounts for trips that are 73 percent of the average for all trips. Tischkxthse 51 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Lane Capacity In August 2006, Pinal County released the Pinal County Small Area Transportation Study Final Report. Recommendations made in the report sought to prepare the County's roadways for the forecasted population growth of an additional 250,000 over the course of 20 years. The study examined roadways within the County and established daily per -lane capacities for each classification of roadway. Daily per- lane capacities of roadways in Pinal County were established to be 8,700 for minor arterials and 7,500 for collectors. This equates to a weighted average capacity for the Apache Junction Street facilities of 8,400. Figure 38: Daily Per -Lane Capacity Classification Minor Arterial Existing Lane Daily Per -Lane Miles [1]Capacity [2]* 106.49 8,700 Collector 37.30 7,500 Minor Arterial &Collector 143.79 8,400 [1] City of Apache Junction, Dept. of Public Works [2] Pinal County Transportation Plan, 2000 Update Weighted Average Formula 106.49 143.79 X 8,700 1+ Current Level of Service 37.30- X 7500 I=8,400 143.79 Rounded Shown below are a series of figures demonstrating the calibration of existing development to the current inventory of City minor arterials, collectors, and signalized intersections.It is necessary to calculate each separately in order to then calculate the cost per service unit for each component. 52 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Minor Arterial Figure 39 shows the calibration of existing development to the current City minor arterial street network. Knowing the current lane mile inventory of 106.49, and the daily per -lane capacity (8,700) of the street network, TischlerBise, using a series of spreadsheet iterations, determined the common factor necessary to evenly distribute the vehicle miles of travel on the existing minor arterial network to be a weighted -average trip length of 7.92 miles (rounded).As shown in Figure 39 below,existing development within Apache Junction attracted an estimated 926,463 Vehicle Miles of Travel (VMT) to minor arterials in 2013, based on the trip generation, trip adjustment, trip length factor and other assumptions shown. A VMT is a measurement unit equal to one vehicle traveling one mile. In the aggregate, VMT is the product of vehicle trips multiplied by the average trip lengths. Therefore, the current infrastructure standard is 1.15 lane miles per 10,000 VMT (i.e., 106.49 lane miles divided by 926,463 VMT expressed in ten -thousands). Figure 39: Existing Level of Service - City Minor Arterials Step 1- Vehicle Trips Generate from Existing Development Avg Wkdy Ve Development Dev.Trip Ends per Type III Unit Des. Unit 121 RESIDENTIAL Top Adjustment Vehicle Factors 1.31 Tops Single Unit 21,1991X MU NONRESIDENTIAL Commercial ICSF . 1,904 1,117 Office KSF 1,823 Industrial KSF 348 X 5.60 IX 4.40 X4.40 42.70 11.03 6.97 64% 33% 50% 50% Step 2- Vehicle Miles of Travel from Existing Development 75,977 5,362 15,733 10,055 1,213 Development Vehicle Avg Trip Top Length Vehicle Miles Type Trips Length [raj Weighting Factor 151 of Travel RESIDENTIAL Single Unit Multi -Unit ZL1E111 11 Commercial KSF 75,9771XL 5,362 15,733 Office KSF 10,055 Industrial KSF 1,213 7.92 IX 7.92 7.92 7.92 7.92 X 1/X 12 X ILIX1 TOTAL Vehicle Miles of Travel 121%1 = 121% 66% 73% Step 4 - Level of Service 727,788 51,360 82,202 58,106 7,007 926,463 = 1171111EINtliffill U111 Vehicle Miles of Travel Level of Sc cvi cc Lane Miles per 10,000 WW1 106.49 92.6463 =1.15 (11 Single Unit = SFD, SFA, and Mobile Homes; KSF = square feet of floor area in thousands. (2) Development Fee Land Use Assumptions (3] Residential Development Fee Draft Land Use Assumptions Nonresidential:Trip Generation,Institute of Transportation Engineers, 2012. (4) Avg. Trip Length (Rounded), expressed in miles, is the single factor that equates to the even distribution of vehicle miles of travel on the existing system [5] On on average weekday, half of all trip ends are inbound. Retail and institutional include 34% pass -by adjustment (i.e. 66% are primary trips). The residential adjustment factor accounts for 90% of employed residents commuting to jobs outside the City [6] City of Apache Junction, Dept. of Public Works (7] Final County Transportation Plan, 2000 Update Step 3 • Even Distribution of VMT on Existing Arterial Network Existing Daily Per- Lane Miles [hi Lane Ca pacify 171 106.49 8,700 Typical VMT calculations for development -specific traffic studies, along with most transportation models of an entire urban area, are derived from traffic counts on particular road segments multiplied by the length of that road segment.For the purpose of development fees, VMT calculations are based on attraction (inbound) trips to development located in the service area, with the trip lengths calibrated to the road network considered to be system improvements. This refinement eliminates pass -through or external trips, and travel on roads that are not system improvements (e.g. interstate highways). 53 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Collector Figure 40 shows the calibration of existing development to the current City collector street network. Knowing the current lane mile inventory of 37.30, and the daily per -lane capacity (7,500) of the street network, TischlerBise, using a series of spreadsheet iterations, determined the common factor necessary to evenly distribute the vehicle miles of travel on the existing collector network to be a weighted- average trip length of 2.39 miles (rounded).As shown in Figure 40 below, existing development within Apache Junction attracted an estimated 279,757 Vehicle Miles of Travel (VMT) to collectors in 2013, based on the trip generation, trip adjustment, trip length factor and other assumptions shown. A VMT is a measurement unit equal to one vehicle traveling one mile. In the aggregate, VMT is the product of vehicle trips multiplied by the average trip length. Therefore, the current infrastructure standard is 1.33 lane miles per 10,000 VMT (i.e., 37.30 lane miles divided by 279,757 VMT expressed in ten -thousands). Figure 40: Existing Level of Service - City Collectors Step 1 - Vehicle Trim Generate from Existing Development Avg WkdY Ve Development Dev.Trip Ends per, Type [1]Unit Dev. Unit [2] RESIDENTIAL Trip Adjustment Vehicle Factors [3]Trips Single Unit Multi -Unit ILJEM911111111111 Commercial KSF 21,1991X 1.9041 X1,904 1,117 Office KSF 1,823 Industrial KSF 348 5.60 IX 4.40 42.70 11.03 6.97 64%1 = 64% 33% 50% 50% Step 2 - Vehicle Miles of Travel from Existing Development 75,977 5,362 15,733 10,055 1,213 Development Vehicle Avg Trip Trip Length Vehicle Miles Type Trips Length [4]Weighting Factor [5]of Travel,.IRESIDENTIAL Single Unit ulti-UnimmmmNONRESIDENTIAL 75,977 5,362 Commercial KSF Office 1(5F Industrial KSF 15,733 10,055 1,213 X X 2.39 2.39 2.39 2.39 2.39 X X X 121% 121% 66% 73% 73% 219,764 15,509 24,822 17,546 2,116 TOTAL Vehicle Miles of Travel 279,757 Step 4- Level of Service Vehicle Miles of Travel Level of Semi cc Lane Miles per 10,000 VMT 37.30 ÷ 27.9757 1.33 (1) Single Unit = SED, 5FA, and Mobile Homes; KW = square feet of floor area in thousands. (21 Development Fee Land Use Assumptions (31 Residential Development Fee Draft Land Use Assumptions Nonresidential:Trio Generation,Institute of Transportation Engineers, 2012. (4) Avg. Trip Length (Rounded), expressed in miles, is the single factor that equates to the even distribution of vehicle miles of travel on the existing system (5) On an average weekday, half of all trip ends are inbound. Retail and institutional include 34% pass -by adjustment (i.e. 66% are primary trips). The residential adjustment factor accounts for 90% of employed residents commuting to jobs outside the City (61 City of Apache Junction, Dept. of Public Works VI Pinot County Transportation Plan, 2000 Update Step 3 - Even Distribution of VIVIT on Existing Arterial Network Existing Daily Per- 1 = 1 1 1 = I I Tisch!54 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Signalized Intersections Figure 41 shows the calibration of existing development to the current Street facilities network, which includes 18 signalized intersections. Knowing the current lane mile inventory of 143.79, and the daily per -lane capacity (8,400) of the street network, TischlerBise, using a series of spreadsheet iterations, determined the common factor necessary to evenly distribute the vehicle miles of travel on the existing street network to be a weighted -average trip length of 10.32 miles (rounded).As shown in Figure 41 below, existing development within Apache Junction attracted an estimated 1,207,836 Vehicle Miles of Travel (VMT) in 2013, based on the trip generation, trip adjustment, trip length factor and other assumptions shown. A VMT is a measurement unit equal to one vehicle traveling one mile. In the aggregate, VMT is the product of vehicle trips multiplied by the average trip length. Therefore, the current infrastructure standard is 1.19 lane miles, and 0.15 signalized intersections per 10,000 VMT (i.e., 18 units divided by 1,207,836 VMT expressed in ten -thousands). Figure 41: Existing Level of Service — Signalized Intersections Step 1 - Vehicle Trips Generate from Existing Development Avg Wkdy1Veh Trip Development Dev.Trip Ends, per Adjustment Vehicle Type [1]Unit Dev. Unit [21 Factors [31 Trips 1RESIDENTIAL Single Unit 21,1991X Multi -Unit 21SEMINIII55M11 Commercial KSF 1,904 1,117 Office KSF 1,823 Industrial KSF 348 5.60 X 4.40 X 2.70 X 1.03 X 6.97 X 4.40 42.70 11.03 6.97 64% 33% 50% 50% Step 2 - Vehicle Miles of Travel from Existing Development Development Vehicle Avg Trip •Trip Length Vehicle Miles Type Trips Length [4]Weighting Factor [5]of Travel RESIDENTIAL 1 • 75,977 5,362 15,733 10,055 1,213 Single Unit Multi -Unit NONRESIDENTIAL Commercial KSF Office KSF Industrial KSF 75,9771X 5,3621X 3X 10,055 X 1,2131 X 10.32 10.32 10.32 10.32 10.32 121% 121% 66% 73% 73% 948,822 66,958 107,167 75,754 9,135 TOTAL Vehicle Miles of Travel 1,207,836 Step 4-Level of Service MIP12111X2111111 Vehicle Miles Units:of Travel Level of Service Lane Miles per 10,000 VMT 143.79 120.7836 1.19 Signalized Intersections per 10,000 VMT 18.00 120.7836 0.15 (1) Single Unit = SFD, SFA, and Mobile Homes; KSF = square feet of floor area in thousands. RI Development Fee Land Use Assumptions (3) Residential Development Fee Draft Land Use Assumptions Nonresidential:Trio Generation,Institute of Transportation Engineers, 2012. 141 Avg. Trip Length, expressed in miles, is the single factor that equates to the even distribution of vehicle miles of travel on the existing system (.5) On an average weekday, half of all trip ends are inbound. Retail and institutional include 34% pass -by adjustment (i.e. 66% are primary trips). The residential adjustment factor accounts for 90% of employed residents commuting to jobs outside the City (6) City of Apache Junction, Dept. of Public Works Pinal County Transportation Plan, 2000 Update Step 3 - Even Distribution of VMT on Existing Arterial Network Existing Daily Pet- Lane Miles [6]Lane Capacity [7] 143.79 8,400 Tisch!55 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Cost per Lane Mile Minor Arterials In 2006, the City of Apache Junction executed an intergovernmental agreement between the City and Pinal County concerning shared costs for the reconstruction and redesign of Ironwood Drive within the City limits of Apache Junction. The agreement defined the responsibilities and financial obligations of the City for its proportionate share of the project costs to improve and expand a 2.2 -mile segment of the minor arterial Ironwood Drive, between Elliott Avenue and U.S. 60. The complete project involved improvements to the 4.4 miles of existing roadway including new payment, curb and gutters, drainage facilities, sidewalks, street lighting, and a center median, and increasing capacity by adding 4.4 miles. The nominal value of the City's proportionate share was calculated to be $10,685,714. This equates to a cost per lane mile of $1,214,286. Figure 42: Cost per Lane Mile for Minor Arterial Roadways Cost per Lane Mile AIRRIREIRMMI Minor Arterial Project Ironwood Dr (Elliott Ave. to U.S. 60) Total Project Cost $10,685,714 Miles improved I 8.8 1= Cost per Lane Mile $1,214,286 Source: City of Apache Junction, Finance Department Collectors Included in the 2012 Apache Junction Comprehensive Transportation Study were Street facilities improvements to collectors that would be necessary based on short/medium/long term development projections. A sample of short-term improvements identified in the Study was used to calculate an average cost per lane mile for Collectors. Shown below are four Street facilities improvements. In total, there are 3.76 lane miles of collector improvements with an estimated cost of $2,774,871 in 2013 dollars (i.e, not inflated over time). This equates to an average cost per lane mile of $737,998 per collector. Figure 43: Cost per Lane Mile for Collector Roadways PrOject[l] Idaho Road (Roundup to Foothill) 16th Ave (Delaware to Cedar) 16th Ave (Cedar to Meridian) 16th Ave (Idaho to Winchester) Planned Projects Total Lane Miles Added Total Project Cost [1] $1,108,269 $835,400 $277,067 $554,135 $2,774,871 3.76 Cost per Lane Mile $737,998 [1] City of Apache Junction, Public Works Dept.; Jacobs. (May 2012). Apache Junction Comprehensive Transportation Study. Todd 56 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Signalized Intersections The City of Apache Junction's Department of Public Works provided a $350,000 estimate for the City's share of project costs for an average signalized intersection. Excluded Costs Development fees in Apache Junction exclude costs to upgrade, update, improve, expand, correct or replace those necessary public services to meet existing needs and usage, and stricter safety, efficiency, environmental or regulator standards. Current Use and Available Capacity According to City staff, the Minor Arterial discussed above has surplus capacity to serve growth; therefore, a cost recovery methodology was used to calculate the growth share of future debt service. Collectors and signalized intersections are utilized based on documented levels of service; therefore, an incremental expansion was used. lisch!erthse 57 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona RATIO OF SERVICE UNIT TO LAND USE ARS 9-463.05 (E)(4) requires: "A table establishing the specific level or quantity of use, consumption, generation or discharge of a service unit for each category of necessary public services or facility expansions and an equivalency or conversion table establishing the ratio of a service unit to various types of land uses, including residential, commercial and industrial." Figure 44, Figure 45, and Figure 46 display the ratios of a service unit to various types of land uses for residential and nonresidential development. As discussed previously, Street Facilities development fees are based on average weekday vehicle trip ends, adjusted for commuting patterns and pass -by trips and weighted by trip length. Trip generation rates are from the reference book Trip Generation published by the Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE 96 Edition, 2012). A Vehicle Trip End represents a vehicle either entering or exiting a development (as if a traffic counter were placed across a driveway). To calculate Street Facilities development fees, trip generation rates require an adjustment factor to avoid double counting each trip at both the origin and destination points. Therefore, the basic trip adjustment factor is 50 percent. As discussed in the previous section, the development fee methodology includes additional adjustments to make the fees proportionate to the demand for different types of Street facilities by particular types of development. Shown below are the Ratios for Minor Arterial roadways,Collector roadways,and Signalized Intersections. Figure 44: Ratio of Service Unit to Land Use - Minor Arterial Roadways Step 1- Vehide Trips Generate from Net New Development Avg \ /V kdy Ve h Trip Development DevelopmentlUnits [11 Trip Ends per Adjustment Type 111 2013 2023 ' Net New Den. Unit 121 Factors [31 RESIDE%I AL Single Unit Multi -Unit NONRESIDENTIAL Commercial KSF 21,199 1,904 1,117 24,3331 3,134IX 2,1851 281 X2,1851 281 1,4721 355 Office KSF 1,823 2,4941 671 Industrial KSF 3,18 4531 105 Development Type RESIDENTIAL Single Unit Multi -Unit NOEIRESIDENTI AL 5.60 IX 4.40 42.70 11.03 6.97 64%1 = 64% 33%1 50% 50% Step 2 - Vehicle Miles of Travel from Net New Development NEM larie 11,232 791 5,002 3,698 365 I Vehicle .Avg Trip Trip Length Vehicle Miles Trips I Length [41 Weighting Factor [51 of Travel 1 11,232 791 7.92 7.92 121% 121% Commercial KSF 5,002 X 7.92 66%1 = Office KSF 3,698 X 7.92 X 73%= Industrial KSF 365 X 7.92 X 73%= Net New Vehicle Miles of Travel (I] Single Unit = SFD, SPA, and Mobile Homes; KSF = square feet of floor area in thousands. Development Fee Land Use Assumptions (2] Development Fee Land Use Assumptions 13) Residential Development Fee Draft Land Use Assumptions Nonresidential:Trip Generation,Institute of Transportation 14) Avg. Trip Length, expressed in miles, is the single factor that equates to the even distribution of vehicle miles of travel on the existing system [5] On an average weekday, half of all trip ends are inbound. Retail and institutional include 34% pass -by adjustment (i.e. 66% are primary trips). The residential adjustment factor accounts for 90% of employed residents commuting to jobs outside the City 107.594 7,580 26,137 21,374 2.112 164,796 Ti IteZ 58 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Figure 45: Ratio of Service Unit to Land Use - Collector Roadways Step 1- Vehide Trips Generate from Net New Development Development Type [11 RESIDENTIAL Single Unit Multi -Unit NONRESIDENTIAL Commercial KSF Development Units Ill 2013 2023.Net New 21,199 24,333 3,134 1,9041 2,1851 2811X 1,1171 1,472 3551X Office KSF 1,8231 2,4941 6711X Industrial KSF 3481 4531 1051X Avg Wk.dy Ve h Trip Trip Ends per Adjustment Vehicle Dew Unit [2]Factors DI Trips 5.60 IX 4.40 IX4.40 42.70 11.03 6.97 64%1 = 64% 33% 50% 50% Step 2- Vehide Miles of Travel from Net New Development 11,232 791 5,002 3,698 365 Development Type RESIDENTIAL Veti.cle Avg Trip 'Trips Length [4] Trip Length Weighting factor IS] Vehicle Miles of Travel Single Unit Multi -Unit NONRESIDENTIAL Commercial KSF Office KSF 11,232 791 5,002 3,698 Industrial KSF X X X X 2.39 2.39 2.39 2.39 X X X X 121% 121% 66% 73% X1 2.39 IXI 73%1 = Net New Vehicle Miles of Travel (1) Single Unit = SFD, SFA, and Mobile Homes; KSF = square feet of floor area in thousands. Development Fee Land Use Assumptions (2) Development Fee Land Use Assumptions (3) Residential Development Fee Draft Land Use Assumptions Nonresidential:Trip Generation,Institute of Transportation (4) Avg. Trip Length, expressed in miles, is the single factor that equates to the even distribution of vehicle miles of travel on the existing system PI On an average weekday, half of all trip ends are inbound.Retail and institutional include 34% pass -by adjustment (i.e. 66% are primary trips). The residential adjustment factor accounts for 90% of employed residents commuting to jobs outside the City Figure 46: Ratio of Service Unit to Land Use - Signalized Intersections Step 1-Vehlde Trips Generate from Net New Development Avg Wkdy yeh Development Development Units Ii)INN) Ends per -Tope IN 2013 2023'Net New .De, Unit 121 111131=1111111 Single Unit ' 21,1991 24,333 3,134 Multi -Unit Commercial KSF 1,904 1,117 2,1851 2811X 1,472 355 IX Office KSF 1,823 2,4941 6711X Industrial KSF 348 4531 1051X DeVelopment lYP't RESIDENTIAL Single Unit Multi -Unit IMEMEMIE 5.60 4.40 42.70 11.03 6.97 Fri p Ac ju rime n F cramsl 13j 64%1 = 64% 33% 50% 50% Step 2- Vehlde Mlles of Travel from Net New Development MEM= 1211112 11,2321X 7911X Avg lop Le,,g:Ir I 10.32 10.32 X I,,,, Length Weighting Factor IS] 121% 121% Commercial KSF 5,002 X 10.32 IX 66%1 = Office KSF 3,698 X 10.32 X 73%= Industrial KSF 365 X 10.32 X 73%= Net New Vehicle Miles of Travel (.11 Single Unit = SFD, SFA, and Mobile Homes; KSF = square feet of floor area in thousands. Development Fee Land Use Assumptions 11,1 Development Fee Land Use Assumptions PI Residential Development Fee Draft Land Use Assumptions Nonresidential:Trio Generation,Institute of Transportation (4) Avg. Trip Length, expressed in miles, is the single factor that equates to the even distribution al vehicle miles of travel on the existing system (S) On an average weekday, half of all trip ends are inbound. Retail and institutional include 34% pass -by adjustment (i.e. 66% are primary trips). The residential adjustment factor accounts for 90% of employed residents commuting to jobs outside the City 32,489 2,289 7,892 6,454 638 49,762 WM= MEE 11,232 791 5,002 3,698 365 Vehicle N,Iiles of Travel 140,271 9,882 34,075 27,865 2,753 214,846 Tisch!59 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona PROJECTED DEMAND FOR SERVICES AND COSTS ARS 9-463.05(E)(3) requires: "A description of all or the parts of the necessary public services of facility expansions and their costs necessitated by and attributable to development in the service area based on the approved land use assumptions, including a forecast of the costs of infrastructure,improvements, real property, financing,engineering and architectural services, which shall be prepared by qualified professionals licensed in this state, as applicable." ARS 9-463.05(E)(5) requires: "The total number of projected service units necessitated by and attributable to new development in the service area based on the approved land use assumptions and calculated pursuant to generally accepted engineering and planning criteria." ARS 9-463.05(E)(6) requires: "The projected demand for necessary public services or facility expansions required by new service units for a period not to exceed ten years." The projected need for additional lane miles and signalized intersections is a function of the ten-year development forecast (see City of Apache Junction Land Use Assumptions)and the existing infrastructure standards discussed above. As shown in the figures above, trip generation rates and trip adjustment factors convert projected development into average weekday vehicle trips. A typical vehicle trip, such as a person leaving a home and traveling to work, generally begins on a local street that connects to a collector street, which connects to an arterial road and eventually to a state or interstate highway. For the purpose of development fees, this progression of travel up and down the functional classification chain narrows the average trip length determination to the following question, "what is the average vehicle trip length of the streets development fee system improvements (i.e., the same type of streets used to document current infrastructure standards)?" Minor Arterials In 2006, the City of Apache Junction executed an intergovernmental agreement between the City and Pinal County concerning shared costs for the reconstruction and redesign of Ironwood Drive within the City limits of Apache Junction. The agreement defined the responsibilities and financial obligations of the City for its proportionate share of the project costs to expand capacity by 4.4 lane miles of the minor arterial Ironwood Drive,between Elliott Avenue and U.S.60.The complete project involved improvements to the existing roadway including new payment, curb and gutters, drainage facilities, sidewalks, street lighting, and a center median, and increasing capacity by adding two new lanes. Only a portion of the total project included capacity improvements; additionally, the capacity improvements were designed with excess capacity to absorb growth into the future. Ti 60 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona As new development occurs in the City of Apache Junction over the next ten years it will buy into its share of the Ironwood Dr. expansion by paying a growth share of the total project cost. The steps taken to calculate the portion of the total project cost that funded the 4.4 lane miles of capacity improvements, the projected net new VMT in the next ten years, the cost per net new service unit, and the cost per development unit are shown below. Figure 47: Cost Recovery — Minor Arterials Step 1- Cost of Capacity Improvements Cost per Lane Mile $1,214,286 Added Lane Miles [11 4.40 Cost of Capacity $5,342,858 Step 2- 10 -Year Projected Growth in VMT on Arterials VMT in 2023 1,091,259 Cost of Capacity Improvements $5,342,858 A IIfiWLO 926,463 211111111MMIll 164,796 Step 3- Cost per Service Unit Net New VMT 164,796 Step 4 - Cost per Development Unit Component Cost $32.42 per Streets Level Of Service and Capital Costs Minor Arterial Cost per Vehicle Mile Traveled $32.42 Arterial Street Facilities - Residential Development Fee Schedule (AI (C)(DI VMT = (A.1 x x x (DJ Unit Type Weekday Vehicle Trip Ends . Trip Rate Adjustment Factors. Avg Miles per Veh. Trip on System • Trip Length Weighting Factors •vita ..(Per Housin•Unit) Single Unit 5.60 64%7.92 121%34.33 Single Unit - Manufactured 4.49 64%7.92 121%27.54 2+ Unit 4.40 64%7.92 121%26.97 Arterial Street Facilities - Nonresidential Development Fee Schedule Weekday Vehicle Trip Ends• Commercial Office Industrial Trip Rate Adjustment Factors" Avg Miles per Veh. Trip on System. Trip Length Weighting Factors* (r ,000 sq. ft.) * See Figure 39: Existing Level of Service - City Minor Arterials Collectors II Cost Per VIVIT $32.42 $32.42 $32.42 Cost Per VMT[F] $32.42 $32.42 $32.42 Service Unit VMT 'Aiterici•CiimPorkirt Proposed Development i ..;•Erle..-... • .- L____(Per Housing Unit)_ 731411. ...:?:$:80:1,-:::. Aiteriakcarnprinerit - -..,:.• ::. ProPoSed,DeVelopniorit:Tee, ..,:jfitYlfrOgifiri -. (per Square Foot of froor Area) 1,-.03;- As discussed above, existing development in Apache Junction generated 279,757 vehicle miles of travel on the existing 37.30 lane miles of collectors, which equates to a level of service of 1.33 lane miles per 10,000 VMT. The demand model below shows that if the current level of service is maintained, and new development between 2013 and 2023 occurs as projected (see the Land Use Assumptions),vehicle miles of travel on collector roadways will increase by 49,762. This net increase will generate demand for an additional 6.63 lane miles to maintain the current level of service. Isdilease 61 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Figure 48: Incremental Expansion - Collectors Year ->r Base Yr ,4-71 1 -E.-.2013 _2014 _2015 DEMAND DATA [1] 5 -year increment --> 4 ;:>":'5 10 20V 2018 2023 SINGLE UNIT RES 21,199 21,402 21,628 21,875 22,148 22,444 24,333 MULT1-UNIT RES 1,904 1,922 1,942 1,965 1,989 2,016 2,185 COMMERCIAL KSF 1,117 1,148 1,180 1,213 1,247 1,282 1,472 OFFICE KSF 1,823 1,881 1,941 2,003 2,067 2,132 2,494 INDUSTRIAL KSF 348 357 367 377 386 397 453 SINGLE UNIT TRIPS 75,977 76,705 77,515 78,400 79,378 80,439 87,209 MULTI -UNIT TRIPS 5,362 5,412 5,469 5,533 5,601 5,677 6,153,...,. RES TRIPS ._ __ __81,339 82,117 82,983 83,933 84,979 .86 116 93,362 COMMERCIAL-TRIPS 15,733 16,169 16,627 17,092 17,571 18,058 20,735 OFFICE TRIPS 10,055 10,375 10,705 11,046 11,398 11,759 13,753 INDUSTRIAL TRIPS 1,213 1,244 1,277 1,312 1,347 _1,383 1,578 NMIRES TRIPS ,...27,000.27,789 28,610 29,450 '30,316 ''31,200 36,066 TOTAL TRIPS TOTAL VNIT [21 Lane Miles 131 108,339 109,906 111,594 113,384 115,295 117,317 129,428 279,757 37.30 Annual Lane Mile Increase 3,555 283,311 37.77 0.47 7,417 287,174 38.29 052 11,553 291,310 38.84 055 16,010 20,760 49,762 295,766 39.44 0.59 300,517 40.07 0.63 ?29,519 I 43.94 0.87 I011130 11 MLR KIM Annual Capacity Cost (millions 1 = 3 $0.35 $0.38 $0.41 50.5 !50.73 51.11 $0.44 $0.47 RIME $0.64 REKIE 10 -Year"•' Increase_, 3,134 281 355 671 105 12,024 9,066 21,090 49,762 Coat pet' Net 88888se , 98.40 Source: TischlerBise [1] Development Fee Land Use Assumptions [2] See Figure 40: Existing Level of Service - City Collectors [3] See Figure 34: City -Maintained Street Facilities Inventory The projected demand for 6.63 lane miles equates to a total investment of $4.90 million, based on a cost per lane mile of $737,998 (see Figure 43). The formula to calculate a cost per net increase in VMT for the collectors component is calculated as follows: (6.63 lane miles X $737,998 cost per collector lane mile) / 49,762 net new VMT = $98.40 per VMT. The steps to calculate the collector fee component per type of development unit based on a cost per VMT of $98.40 are shown below.6 Figure 49: Cost per Development Unit - Collectors Streets Level Of Service and Capital Costs Collector Costs per Vehicle Mile Traveled $98.40 GROSS CAPITAL COST $98.40 Collector Street Facilities - Residential Development Fee Schedule (4)[B] VMT = ID)141 x [8]x(ci x(D) Weekday Trip Rate Avg Miles Trip Length Vehicle Adjustment per Veh. Trip Weighting Trip Ends'Fachsrs•on System=Factors=VMT Unit Type 5.60 64% (Per Housin. 2.39 Unit) 121% , 10.37Single Unit Single Unit- Manufactured 4.49 64%2.39 121%8.32 24- Unit 4.40 64%2.39 121%8.15 Cost Per VMT $98.413 $98.40 $98.40 111 Current Fee established in 2012 was for Single Familyand Manufactured Home. The average of both is entered here. Collector Street Facilities - Nonresidential Development Fee Schedule Weekday Vehicle Td Ends= Trip Rate Adjustment Factors= Avg Miles per Veh. Trip on S stem= Trip Length Weighting Factors=VMT E 42.70 33% (Per 1,000sq. 2.39 ft.) 66%22.23Commercial Office Industrial 11.03 50%2.39 73%9.62 6.97 50%2.39 73%6.08 * See Figure 40: Existing Level of Service - City Collectors Cost Per VMT [F1 $98.40 $98.40 $98.40 18118=MIEMIllisIrcoRgaszmi WAVIESES;g_TIVINEni rt •Mf$801 r cillector Component i_71 Proposed DevelopmentlFee' ...,J1ElifINLISAL,C (Per Square Foot of Floor Area) IraffEri-MMEZD 6 The figures are shown as a rounded figure. However, the analysis itself uses figures carried to their ultimate decimal places; therefore the sums and products generated in the analysis may not equal the sum or product if the reader replicates the calculation with the factors shown here (due to the rounding of figures shown, not in the analysis.) lischkOlise 62 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Signalized Intersections As discussed above, existing development in Apache Junction generated 1,207,836 vehicle miles of travel on the existing 143.79 lane miles of street facilities, which equates to a level of service of 0.15 signalized intersections per 10,000 VMT. The demand model below shows that if the current level of service is maintained, and new development between 2013 and 2023 occurs as projected (see the Land Use Assumptions),vehicle miles of travel on the full Street facilities network will increase by 214,846. This net increase will generate demand for an additional three signalized intersections to maintain the current level of service. Figure 50: Incremental Expansion - Signalized Intersections 5 -year increment--> Yea r ->17 11 -a ?Yi.'1 .2 7 -3 '7 '5 10 2013 -2014 2015 2016 2017 2018':2023 DEMAND DATA [1] SINGLE UNIT RES 21,199 21,402 21,628 21,875 22,148 22,444 24,333 MULTI -UNIT RES COMMERCIAL KSF 1,904 1,117 1,922 1,148 1,942 1,180 1,965 1,213 1,989 1,247 2,0161 1,282 2,185 1,472 OFFICE KSF INDUSTRIAL KSF 1,823 348 1,881 357 1,941 367 2,003 377 2,067 386 2,132 397 2,494 453 SINGLE UNIT TRIPS MULTI -UNIT TRIPS RES TRIPS COMMERCIAL TRIPS OFFICE TRIPS IN TRIPS NONRES TRIPS TOTAL TRIPS 75,977 76,705 77,515 78,400 79,378 80,439 87,209 5,362 5,412 5,469 5,533 5,601 5,677 6,153 81,339 82,117 82,983 83,933 84,979 86,116 93,362 15,733 16,169 16,627 17,092 17,571 18,058 20,735 10,055 10,375 10,705 11,046 11,398 11,759 13,753 1,213 1,244 1,277 1,312 1,347 1,383 1,578 27,000 27,789 28,610 29,450 30,316 31,200 36,6 108,339 109,906 111,594 113,384 115,295 117,317 129,428 TOTAL VMT 121 1,207,836 Signalized Intersections 18 Annual Intersection Increase 15,347 32,024 49,881 69,121 89,630 214,846 1,223,183 18 0.2 1,239,860 19 0.3 1,257,717 19 0.2 1,276,957 1,297,465 1A22482 19 19 21 0.3 0.3 0.4 3 Annual Intersection Cost (millions $0.00 $0.35 SO 00 1 !S d.3 S Source: TischlerBise [1] Development Fee Land Use Assumptions [2] See Figure 41: Existing Level of Service - Signalized Intersections $0.00 $0.00 Et111 11111111 $0.00 $0.00 KIEW 132 10-Yiat IncreaSe • 3,134 281 355 671 105 12,024 9,066 21,090 214,846 Cost per ,. Net Increase In OW! 4.89 Tesdilereise 63 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona According to the City of Apache Junction Department of Public Works, the average cost to construct a signalized intersection is $350,000. Based on the demand model the City will need to construct three new signalized intersections in the next ten years. This equates to a total investment of $1,050,000. The cost per net increase in VMT for signalized intersections is calculated as follows: (3 intersections X $350,000) / 214,846 VMT = $4.89 per VMT. The steps to calculate the signalized intersection fee component per type of development unit based on a cost per VMT of $4.89 are shown below. Figure 51: Cost per Development Unit — Signalized Intersections Streets Level Of Service and Capital Costs Signalized intersection Costs Per Vehicle Mile Traveled $4.89 GROSS CAPITAL COST Signalized Intersection Street Facilities - Residential Development Fee Schedule (A)IBI ICI VMT = (Aix x ICI x ID] Unit Type Weekday Vehicle Trip Ends* Trip Rate Adjustment Factors* Avg Miles per Veh. Trip on System • Trip Length Weighting Factors*VMT 5.60 (Per Housing Unit) Single Unit 64%10.32 121%44.76 Single Unit- Manufactured 4.49 64%10.32 121%35.91 2+ Unit 4.40 64%10.32 121%35.17 Cost Per VMT $4.89 $4.89 $4.89 [1] Current Fee established In 2012 was for Single Family and Manufactured Home. The average of both is entered here. Signalized Intersection Street Facilities -Nonresidential Development Fee Schedule Weekday Vehicle Trip Ends* Trip Rate Adjustment Factors* Avg Miles per Veh. Trip on S stem* Trip Length Weighting Factors*M T (E) (Per 1,660,sq.r. Commercial Office Industrial 42.70 33%10.32 66%95.98 11.03 50%10.32 73%41.55 6.97 50%10.32 73%26.26 * See Figure 41: Existing Level of Service — Signalized Intersections Cost Per VMT (F1 $4.89 $4.89 $4.89 r -(Per Housing Unit)-- [$5 (Per(Per Souare Foot of Floor Area) rsp-TA lisch0r13*64 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona STREET FACILITIES IMPROVEMENTS PLAN The May 2012 Final Report for the Apache Junction Comprehensive Transportation Study identified and prioritized capacity improvements that will be necessary as development occurs in the Development Fee Study service area.The report prioritized the first set of possible improvements (short-term improvements) necessary to accommodate a population of 60,000 people. Shown below is a list of Collector and Signalized Intersection capacity improvements identified as necessary to accommodate the projected growth in the City of Apache Junction over the next ten years. Estimated project costs were provided by the City of Apache Junction, and taken from the 2012 Study. As demand is generated for identified Street Facilities improvements, investments from this list will be made. For the effective period of this Development Fee Study, the City of Apache Junction does not plan to use development fee revenue on capacity improvements to new minor arterial roadways. Figure 52: Necessary Streets Expansions Infrastructure Improvements Plans pliormEggz Projects 16th Ave (Delaware to Cedar) 16th Ave (Idaho to Winchester) Winchester Road (16th to Southern) 16th Ave (Cedar to Meridian) Idaho Road (Roundup to Foothill) Meridian Drive (Southern to Baseline) Intersection (Meridian Dr at Southern Ave) Total Added Capadty 1.1 Lane Miles 0.8 Lane Miles 1.5 Lane Miles 0.4 Lane Miles 1.5 Lane Miles 2.0 Lane Miles Intersection Year : 'Total $835,400 $554,135 $1,108,269 $277,067 $1,108,269 $2,800,000 $2,710,000 $9,393,140 Source: City of Apache Junction; Apache Junction Comprehensive Transportation Study Final Report May 2012. MAXIMUM SUPPORTABLE STREET FACILITIES DEVELOPMENT FEES The proposed development fees for Street Facilities are shown in Figure 53. Street Facilities IIP and Development Fee Study Included in the Street Facilities per service unit cost is the cost to prepare the IIP and Development Fee Study. See Appendix A — Cost of Professional Services for the detailed calculations. Revenue Credit Included in the maximum supportable development fee is a Revenue Credit of 0 percent. The unadjusted Street Facilities development fees per development unit would not generate more revenue over the next ten years,based on the approved Land Use Assumptions,than the identified growth -related necessary expenditures of $11,316,169 (necessary incremental expansions,plus the IIP and Development Fee Study cost). To ensure that no more fee revenue is collected than the City plans to spend, the potential gross cost per service unit is reduced by the revenue credit to calculate the net capital cost per service unit.Based on the gross capital costs per service unit,the projected development fee revenue would equal $10,733,114. See Figure 53 and Figure 54 for additional detail. Therefore,no revenue credit adjustment is necessary for the Street Facilities development fees. Ischlereisc 65 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvements Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Figure 53: Maximum Supportable Street Facilities Development Fees Street Facilities Residential Development Fee Schedule (AI [B][DI _[A] + [ET+ [C] + [D] Unit Type Single Unit Minor Arterials Fee Component Signalized Intersections:torsIntersectionsCollectors $1,113 $1,020 Dev. Fee Study (Per Housing Unit) $218 $13 Gross Development Fee per Unit $2,364 Single Unit-Manufactured $892 $818 $175 $10 $1,895 2+ Unit $874 $801 $171 $10 $1,856 Street Facilities Nonresidential Development Fee Schedule Commercial Office Industrial Fee Component Minor I I Signalized I Dev. Fee Arterials I Collectors I Intersections I St $2.38 (Per Square Foot of Floor Area) $2.18 $0.46 $0.02 Gross Development Fee Per Unit $5.04 $1.03 $0.94 $0.20 $0.01 $2.18 $0.65 $0.59 $0.12 $0.00 $1.36 Required Revenue Credit 0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 Required Revenue Credit 0% $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 Development Fee per Housing Unit Development Fee ,...iffropPsed Current al Increase Decrease) (Per Housing Unit) $6,323 ($3,959) -PdA___Ig.i..'d $3,297 ($1,402) ______$4A40 ($2,584) Development Fee per Square Foot of Floor Area Development Fee 4.;.Increase Proposed Current (1)(Decrease) L - - - - - - -Per Square Foot of Floor $5 04 $13.64 Area)] ($8.60) $5.68 ($3.50) '31M2 $2.26 ($0.90) [1] Current Fee established in 2012 included categories for Commercial, and Office land uses based on square footage, the average is entered here. "fisch*B*66 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvement Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona FORECAST OF REVENUES Appendix B - Forecast of Revenues Other Than Development Fees contains a forecast of revenues other than development fees required by Arizona's enabling legislation. Street Facilities Cash Flow The cash flow shown in Figure 54 assumes implementation of the maximum supportable Street Facilities development fees and that development over the next ten years is consistent with the approved Land Use Assumptions described in Appendix C. To the extent the rate of development either accelerates or slows down, there will be a corresponding change in the development fee revenue. Figure 54: Street Facilities Cash Flow Summary Ten -Year Growth -Related Costs for Street Facilities Minor Arterial Capacity Improvements Collectors Signalized Intersections IIP and Development Fee Study Cost TOTAL $5,342,858 $4,896,589 $1,050,000 $26,722 $11,316,169 Base Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Ten-Yr Increase Projected Fees => per Housing Unit 1 Single Unit $2,175 KINERRI $1,856 Housing Units Added! 21,199 21,402 21,628 21,875 22,148 22,444 22,766 23,115 23,492 23,897 24,333 1,904 1,922 1,942 1,965 1,989 2,016 2,045 2,076 2,110 2,146 2,185 Per Square Foot of Floor Area Commercial $5.04 Office $2.18 Industrial $1.36 Square Feet Added (1,000) 1,117 1,148 1,180 1,213 1,247 1,282 1,318 1,355 1,393 1,432 1,472 1,823 1,881 1,941 2,003 2,067 2,132 2,200 2,270 2,342 2,417 2,494 348 357 367 377 386 397 408 419 429 441 453 3,134 $6,817,819 281 355 $521,536 $1,789,200 Total Projected Revenues $10,733,114 Cumulative Net Surplus/(Deficit)($583,055) [1] Fee for Single Units shown represents a weighted average of the Single Unit and Single Unit - Manufactured fees 671 105 $1,461,956 $142,603 ToxiOrBise 67 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvement Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona [PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK] Appendix A - 68 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvement Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona APPENDIX A - COST OF PROFESSIONAL SERVICES The figure below displays each section of the IIP and Development Fee Study. Each necessary public service is assigned a cost,followed by the proportion that is assessed against residential and nonresidential. Then, it displays the increase in service units, between 2013 and 2018, and finally the cost per service unit to be assessed. (Because development fees are updated at least every five years, the cost is assessed against the service units for only 5 years.) Figure A55: IIP and Development Fee Report Parks and Recreation Development Fee Report Proportionate Share Residential Nonresidential 87%RAM Police Consultant Fee = M E E Increase in Service Units Cost per Service Unit $19,324 2013-2018 $16,812 Person 2,309 $7.28 $2,512 DTI 1,470 $1.71 Libtane.Demeloomeatieellepact Proportionate Share Residential Nonresidential 87% Police Consultant Fee kr1711=IIIII Increase in Service Units Cost per Service Unit $14,040 2013-2018 $12,215 Person 2,309 $5.29 $1,825 1,470 $1.24 Police Development Fee Report Proportionate Share Residential Nonresidential 92%8% Police Consultant Fee PINIMIE110 Increase in Service Units $16,154 2013-2018 $14,862 Person 2,309 $1,292 WIJIBLIMIE 4,200 Cost per Service Unit $6.44 $0.31 Streets Development Fee Report Proportionate Share Residential & Nonresidential 100% Consultant Fee RIMMIEZIR Increase in Service Units Cost per Service Unit $26,722 2013-2018 $26,722 Vehicle Mile of Travel 89,630 $0.30 Source: TischlerBise; Land Use Assumptions Tisch!If1:1 Appendix A - 69 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvement Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona APPENDIX B - FORECAST OF REVENUES OTHER THAN DEVELOPMENT FEES ARS 9-463.05(E)(7) requires: "A forecast of revenues generated by new service units other than development fees, which shall include estimated state -shared revenue, highway users revenue, federal revenue, ad valorem property taxes, construction contracting or similar excise taxes and the capital recovery portion of utility fees attributable to development based on the approved land use assumptions, and a plan to include these contributions in determining the extent of the burden imposed by the development as required in subsection B, paragraph 12 of this section." ARS 9-463.05(B)(12) states, "The municipality shall forecast the contribution to be made in the future in cash or by taxes, fees, assessments or other sources of revenue derived from the property owner towards the capital costs of the necessary public service covered by the development fee and shall include these contributions in determining the extent of the burden imposed by the development. Beginning August 1, 2014, for purposes of calculating the required offset to development fees pursuant to this subsection, if a municipality imposes a construction contracting or similar excise tax rate in excess of the percentage amount of the transaction privilege tax rate imposed on the majority of other transaction privilege tax classifications, the entire excess portion of the construction contracting or similar excise tax shall be treated as a contribution to the capital costs of necessary public services provided to development for which development fees are assessed, unless the excess portion was already taken into account for such purpose pursuant to this subsection." REVENUE PROJECTIONS Apache Junction does not have a higher than normal construction excise tax rate; therefore, the required offset described above is not applicable. The required forecast of non -development fee revenue that might be used for growth -related capital costs is shown below. General Fund revenues are highlighted in light purple. Highway User Taxes are highlighted in light blue. The forecast of revenues was provided by the City of Apache Junction Finance Department. Historical revenue data, obtained from the City's Comprehensive Annual Fiscal Reports, and discussions with staff, were correlated to the growth in population and jobs (as reported in the approved Land Use Assumptions.)Projected population plus jobs is the independent variable that drives each revenue forecast. Figure B56: Five -Year Revenue Projections 2013-14 2014-15 Fiscal Year 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 Sales Taxes $11,370,000 $11,503,119 $11,760,391 $12,036,089 $12,329,870 State shared vehicle license taxes $1,571,320 $1,836,791 $1,953,060 $2,001,458 $2,130,952 Unrestricted State Shared Sales Taxes $3,096,845 $3,121,409 $3,287,081 $3,421,119 $3,426;947 Unrestricted State Shared Income Taxes $3,998,490 $4,338,654 $4,421,000 $4,635,108 $4,916,459 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 Highway User Taxes $2,329,805 "$2,320,320 $2,407,003 $2,363,544 $2,447,819 County Shared Sales Taxes dedicated to Road Use in HURF $1,325,000 $1,488,890 $1,583,136 $1,622,368 $1,727,335 Source: City of Apache Junction, Finance Department lischleathse Appendix B - 70 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvement Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona General Fund The "General Fund Revenue in Nominal Dollars" chart shown in Figure B57 gives the impression that General Fund revenues available for capital investments are expected to remain flat or increase slightly over the next five years. When nominal dollars are converted to constant 2013 dollars (as shown in the "General Fund Revenue per Person and Job in 2013 Dollars" chart), to account for inflation, and then divided by persons plus jobs in Apache Junction, to "normalize" the amounts for population and job growth,the projected revenue is shown to remain flat or decrease.The revenue projections demonstrate there is no General Fund fiscal surplus available for growth -related capital improvements. An increase in operating, maintenance, and replacement capital costs will offset any projected increase in General Fund revenue available for capital improvements. Figure E157: General Fund Revenues by Source 0 $14 § $12 E $10 $8 $6 $4 $2 $0 General Fund Revenue in Nominal Dollars am:Sales Taxes li(Unrestricted State Shared Income Taxes c -L ----Unrestricted State Shared Sales Taxes (12050State shared vehicle license taxes1,fp 19 19 ,19N• Fiscal Year $350 $300 $250 $200 $150 $100 $50 $0 General Fund Revenue per Person and Job in 2013 Dollars A11,7_AI N [ZtaUg' .6°4'4)e •css`e p Fiscal Year ai4m.Sales Taxes m14..Unrestricted State Shared Income Taxes simanState shared vehicle license taxes c lInrestricted State Shared Sales Taxes Source: City of Apache Junction, Finance Department; TischlerBise TischleiBise Appendix B - 71 Development Fee Study: Infrastructure Improvement Plan City of Apache Junction, Arizona Highway User Tax (HURF) The City of Apache Junction accounts for Highway User Tax revenue in two categories,HURF and County Shared Sales Taxes dedicated to Road Use in HURF.The methodology described above was applied to each of these HURF revenue sources, with the results displayed in Figure B58. The "gas tax" funding pattern in Apache Junction has shown a gradual decline. Essentially, Apache Junction has increasing traffic, but decreasing dollars that are used for maintenance of existing Street Facilities. The projected HURF revenue will be offset by an increase in operating, maintenance, and replacement capital costs. Therefore,the City is not projecting a surplus of HURF revenue available for growth -related improvements. Figure B58: Highway User Tax Revenues Highway User Taxes in Nominal Dollars $4 $3 $2 $1 $0 4,0*sip 4>4>N,t"4?çjc cP1.rt. Fiscal Year ,—Highway User Taxes dEEORDCounty Shared Sales Taxes dedicated to Road Use in HURF $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 $0 Highway User Taxes per Person and Job in 2013 Dollars sI, Fiscal Year imimpHighway User Taxes aCsoCounty Shared Sales Taxes dedicated to Road Use in HURF Source: City of Apache Junction, Finance Department; TischlerBise lischtertlise Appendix B - 72 Development Fee Study: Land Use Assumptions City of Apache Junction, Arizona APPENDIX C - LAND USE ASSUMPTIONS Arizona Revised Statutes (ARS) 9-463.05 (T)(6) requires the preparation of a Land Use Assumptions document, which shows: "projections of changes in land uses,densities, intensities and population for a specified service area over a period of at least ten years and pursuant to the General Plan of the municipality." TischlerBise prepared current demographic estimates and future development projections for both residential and nonresidential development that will be used in the Infrastructure Improvement Plan (IIP) and calculation of the development fees. Current demographic data estimates for 2013 are used in calculating levels -of -service (LOS) provided to existing development in the City of Apache Junction. Although long-range projections are necessary for planning infrastructure systems, a shorter time frame of five to ten years is critical for the development fee analysis. Arizona's Development Fee Act requires fees to be updated at least every five years and limits the IIP to a maximum of ten years. Therefore, the use of a very long-range "build -out" analysis is no longer acceptable for deriving development fees in Arizona municipalities. Summary of Growth Indicators Development projections and growth rates are summarized in Figure C59. These projections will be used to estimate development fee revenue and to indicate the anticipated need for growth -related infrastructure. However, development fee methodologies are designed to reduce sensitivity to accurate development projections in the determination of the proportionate share fee amounts.If actual development is slower than projected, development fee revenues will also decline, but so will the need for growth -related infrastructure. In contrast, if development is faster than anticipated, the City will receive an increase in development fee revenue, but will also need to accelerate capital improvements to keep pace with development. Development projections are calculated through a three -step process. First, TischlerBise used historic population, housing, and employment data from the U.S. Census Bureau, State of Arizona, and City of Apache Junction, to calculate base year 2013 estimates. Second, TischlerBise developed projected annual growth rates through discussions with staff,and examination of regional studies.Finally, TischlerBise calculated 20 -year projections for population, housing units, jobs, and nonresidential square footage for each year beyond the base year 2013. See Figure C59 below for a summary of the base year estimates and 20 -year development projections. Appendix C - 73Tr Development Fee Study: Land Use Assumptions City of Apache Junction, Arizona Figure C59 - Summary of Development Projections and Growth Rates L.2013.013,l joilt AE510041143 DEVELOPMENT Housing Units Unit MIA Single Family 92%,21,199;21,402 21.628 21,875 22.148 22,444 22.766 23,115 23,492 23,897 24,333 26,411 28,432.;Multifamily 8%1,904 1,922 1,942 1,965 1,989 2,016 2,045 2,076 2,110 2,146 2,185 2,372 2,554 MTAL ;.23,103 23,324 23,570 23,840 24,137 24,460 24,811 25,191 25,602 26,043 26,518 28,783 30,986 NONRESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT Growth !" Noma Floor Area (1,000 SF). Commercla I (1,000 SF)500 1,117!1.148 1,180 1.213 1,247 1,282 1,318 1,355 1,393 1,432 1,472 1,689 1,939 Office/Instli (1,000 SF)301 1,823 1,881 1.941 2,003 2.067 2,132 2,200 2,270 2,342 2,417 2,494 2,917 3,412 Industrial/Flex (1,000 SF)433 3411.357 367 377 386 397 408 419 429 441 453 516 589 TOTAL ,.3,288.3,386 3,488 3,592 3,700 3,811 3,926 4,044 4,164 4,290 4,418 5,122 5,940 ANNUAL INCREASES (ay WNW 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20 20-21 21-22 22-23 27-28 32-33 Housing Units Nonres Floor Area (1,000 SF) Source: City of 00a che Janet' on, 0 sch( oral se 221 246 270 297 323 351 380 411 441 475 421 454 98 102 105 108 111 115 118 120 125 128 149 174 Five -Tear Incroments 202.2•20"F 203403 7,233 650 zxt4 823 1,589 241 ,.2013-1033 ALMWANNI: 394 133 AMPMe*plp.-2033 362 32 394 41 79 12 133 Growth Projections 2013-2033 City of Apache Junction,AZ 35,000 ....) " ,•)".,..-, 0., 30,000 25,000 • 20,000 15,060 • 10,000 S,000....*----)K-----)0E- - -X ----W o 2013 2014 2015 . 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 ...IFHousing Units -1E- Nonres Sq. Ft. (1,000s) Appendix C - 74lisddedlise Development Fee Study: Land Use Assumptions City of Apache Junction, Arizona RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT Current estimates and future projections of residential development are detailed in this section, including population and housing units by type. Recent Residential Construction Development fees require an analysis of current levels of service. For residential development, current levels of service are determined using estimates of population and housing units. To estimate current housing units in the City of Apache Junction, TischlerBise obtained building permit information from the City. This information is then used to determine a base year estimate of housing units. Figure C60 shows residential building permit trends by number and type of housing units for the City of Apache Junction. Figure C60 — Residential Building Permits in the City of Apache Junction, 2007-2012 200 175 150 125 100 75 50 25 0 .—.Single Family —*--Mobile Home 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Single Family 137 37 36 104 57 183 Mobile Home 112 86 39 27 17 63 Multifamily 8 0 0 0 0 88 Source: City of Apache Junction, Feb13, Building Permit Totals by Year Residential housing units, and building permit trends, by type are shown in Figure C61 below. To calculate total housing units, the distribution of 92 percent single family and 8 percent multifamily units was calculated from the 2011 U.S. Census American Community Survey (ACS), 5 -Year Estimates for Units in Structure.This distribution was applied to the total number of units reported by the 2010 decennial census (22,564) to get 20,748 single family units (including mobile homes), and 1,816 multifamily units in the City of Apache Junction in 2010. Appendix C - 75 TschierBis' e Development Fee Study: Land Use Assumptions City of Apache Junction, Arizona Figure C61 — Residential Building Permits (1) Single Family [2] Multifamily [3] Total Housing Units (4) Single Family Multifamily Total Housing Units in the City of Apache Junction 2010 Distribution [5] , 2010*2011*2012*Total *Issued during calendar year Base Year I 2010 2011 2012 TEN 20,748 20,879 20,953 1,816 1,816 1,816 Average ,150 29. 2013 Distribution" 21,199 •9296] 89411,904 22,564 22,695 22,769 23,103 "Reflects the addition of issued permits [1] City of Apache Junction, (Feb13) Building Permits by Permit Type [2] Single Family includes detached, attached, and manufactured homes [3] Multifamily includes structures with 2 or more units [4] U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 Decennial Census: DP1 [5] U.S. Census Bureau, 2011 American Community Survey 5 -Year Estimates: Table B25024 To estimate 2011, 2012, and 2013 housing units, the building permits issued each year were added to the housing units, starting with the 2010 census count. TischlerBise estimates the City of Apache Junction had 23,103 housing units at the start of base year 2013. The 2013 distribution of housing units by type of structure remains unchanged from the 2010 distribution. Persons Per Housing Unit According to the U.S. Census Bureau, a household is a housing unit that is occupied by year-round residents. Development fees often use per capita standards and persons per housing unit (PPHU) or persons per household (PPH) to derive proportionate share fee amounts. When PPHU is used in the fee calculations, infrastructure standards are derived using year-round population. When PPH is used in the fee calculations, the development fee methodology assumes a higher percentage of housing units will be occupied, thus requiring seasonal or peak population to be used when deriving infrastructure standards. TischlerBise recommends that development fees for residential development in the City of Apache Junction be imposed according to the number of year-round residents per housing unit. This methodology assumes some portion of the housing stock will be vacant during the course of a year. According to the U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey, the City of Apache Junction had a 2011 vacancy rate of 27 percent. Persons per housing unit (PPHU) requires data on population in occupied units and the types of units by structure and bedroom count. The 2010 census did not obtain detailed information using a "long -form" questionnaire. Instead, the U.S. Census Bureau switched to a continuous monthly mailing of surveys, known as the American Community Survey (ACS), which has limitations due to sample -size constraints. For example, data on detached housing units are now combined with attached single units (commonly known as townhouses). For development fees in Apache Junction, there are two categories of "single- family" residential units. The first includes detached stick -built units and attached units (commonly known as townhouses, which share a common sidewall, but are constructed on an individual parcel of land). The second category is for single detached manufactured units (formerly known as mobile homes). The third residential category includes duplexes and all other structures with two or more units on an individual parcel of land. (Note: housing unit estimates from ACS will not equal decennial census counts of units. These data are used only to derive the custom PPHU factors for each type of unit). TischlerBise Appendix C - 76 Development Fee Study: Land Use Assumptions City of Apache Junction, Arizona Figure C62 below shows the ACS 2011 5 -Year Estimates for the City of Apache Junction. To calculate the PPHU, persons (33,770) is divided by housing units (19,845). Dwellings with a single unit per structure (detached, attached, and mobile homes) averaged 1.73 persons per housing unit. Dwellings in structures with multiple units averaged 1.39 persons per housing unit. The 2011 City of Apache Junction total persons per housing unit factor was 1.70. Figure C62 — Persons per Housing Unity by Type of Housing Units in Structure Renter & Owner Housing Units Persons Per Hsg Unit Vacancy RatePersonsHouseholds •Single Unit 18,870 6,600 7,776 2.43 15% Mobile Homes 12,688 6,720 10,472 1.21 36% 2+ Units i'-' . `.2,21Z-; ,, _1,198 s ' _ 1,597 '.1...39-:2596_, Totalj 33,770 14,518 19,845 2011 Summary by House-Housing Housing Type of Housing Persons holds Units PPHU Mix Single Unit [1]31,558 13,320 18,248 1.73 92% 2+ Unit [21 -. 2,212 .', 1;198 ,c -,e,1;597 . .. ,139 8%, Subtotal 33,770 14,518 19,845 1.70 Vacancy 139Group Quarters Population Rate TOTAL*33,909 14,518 19,845 27% Source:U.S. Census Bureau, 2011 American Community Survey 5 -Year Estimates [1] Single Family includes detached, attached, and manufactured homes [2] Multifamily includes duplex and all other units with 2 or more units per structure *Totals exclude units counted as "Boat, RV, van, etc." Population Estimates and Projections TischlerBise analyzed recent growth trends, reviewed the City of Apache Junction 2010 General Plan, and had discussions with staff. To calculate a 2013 year-round population, TischlerBise used annual Arizona Department of Administration Interim Intercensal July Population Estimates for 2009, 2010, 2011, and 2012 to establish a recent growth trend of 1 percent. Based on these growth patterns and analysis conducted for the 2010 General Plan, the City of Apache Junction assumes there will be annual population growth. However, due to the continual effects of a slow economic recovery annual growth is expected to be low, and to grow slowly over the next decade. Figure C63 presents a summary of the population estimates and projections for the City of Apache Junction. Figure C63 — Population Estimates and Projections for City of Apache Junction City of Apache Junction Annual July Population Estimates [1] 2009 35,833 2010 1 35,828 2011 36,539 KEMIN 36,928 Population Estimate Klink 37,300 Population Projections [2] 2040 56,472 [1] Arizona Department of Administration, Interim I ntercensai Population Estimates [2] 2040 population projection from Arizona Department of Administration Pi na I and Ma ricopa County 2012-2050 Population Projections Low Series Year 2030 Projection used to assume similar growth rate of recent years. Exponential Growth Rates 2009-12 2013-40 1.01%'1.55%' Appendix C - 77 Tischleithse Development Fee Study: Land Use Assumptions City of Apache Junction, Arizona In December of 2012,the Arizona Department of Administration released County Population Projections, which assumed a low growth scenario for each County between 2012 and 2050. The City's sub -county share of Pinal and Maricopa County populations in 2012 were applied to the 2030 population projections for each county to estimate a 2030 City of Apache Junction population of 56,472. To add over 19,000 people between 2013 and 2030 would require annual residential building activity to double recent annual activity.Based on discussions with City staff, it was determined the 2030 population projection more accurately reflects a 30 -year growth projection. To reflect the longer -term projections, and slow growth in the short term, TischlerBise applied a progressive annual growth rate beginning in 2014 with a rate of 1.01 percent. Each year the growth rate is increased by 0.05 percent until a 1.55 percent plateau is reached in 2024. See Figure C64 for more detail. Population and Housing Unit Projections TischlerBise used a two-step process to project housing units for each year past base year 2013. First, to calculate units added each year, the annual net population increase was divided by the PPHU factor (1.70). The total units estimate was then distributed by type of structure using the 2013 unit mix from Figure C61 above (92 percent single family and 8 percent multifamily). See Figure C64 below for a summary of population and housing unit projections. According to the 2010 General Plan, the City can absorb approximately 38,700 net new units using average/mid-range land use densities. At an average annual increase of 394 housing units, build -out of current City acreage will be met roughly in year 2048.The projected growth assumes that the estimated 2013 distribution between single family and multifamily units is held constant. Population and housing unit projections are used to illustrate the possible future pace of service demands, revenues, and expenditures. As these factors will vary to the extent that future development varies, there will be virtually no effect on the actual amount of the development fee. ischleiBise Appendix C - 78 Development Fee Study: Land Use Assumptions City of Apache Junction, Arizona Figure C64 - Population and Housing Unit Projections for the City of Apache Junction, 2013-2033 Persons Per Housing Unit 1.70 Population Projected Rate 1.01%1.06%1.11%1.16%1.21%1.26%1.31%1.36%1.41%1.46%1.55% rBas ,'', 5 "'__i 9 L2013 ; -1014 .2015 : 2016.2017.2018 .2819 ,2020 2021 '- 2022 "- 2823 -2024 2093 - SUMMARY OF DEMAND PROJECTIONS (City Limits) TOTAL YEAR-ROUND POPULATION !37,300:37,676 38,094 38,554 39,059 39,609 40,206 40,853 41,552 42,303 43,111 44,166 50,715 TOTAL HOUSING UNITS 23,103 23,324 23,570 23,840 24,137 24,460 24,811 25,191 25,602 26,043 26,518 27,138 30,986 RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT Housing Units Unit Mix ; Single Family 92%21,199 21,402 21,628 21,875 22,148 22,444 22,766 23,115 23,492 23,897 24,333 24,901 28,432 Multifamily 8%t 1,904;1,922 1,942 1,965 1,989 2,016 2,045 2,076 2,110 2,146 2,185 2,237 2,554 TOTAL 23,103:23,324 23,570 23,840 24,137 24,460 24,811 25,191 25,602 26,043 26,518 27,138 30,986 ANNUAL INCREASES (City Limits) Housing Units Source: City of Apache Junction, Ti schl erBi se Cumulative •inaease 20134633' 13,415 7,883 7,233 650 7,883 Arn;`, *seise .201372033' 671 394 362 32 394 12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20 20-21 21-22 22-23 23-24 32-33 221 246 270 297 323 351 20134033' : Avg Ainiiat 380 411 441 475 620 454 394 liscl*Bise Appendix C - 79 Development Fee Study: Land Use Assumptions City of Apache Junction, Arizona NONRESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT Employment Estimates and Projections In addition to data on residential development, the calculation of development fees requires data on nonresidential square footage and employment (number of jobs) in the City of Apache Junction. TischlerBise analyzed recent employment trends,reviewed data provided by the City of Apache Junction, and had discussions with staff. According to an analysis conducted for the Apache Junction 2010 General Plan, the City expects to increases the jobs to population ratio from a 1:4 ratio in 2010 to a 1:3 ratio by 2030. TischlerBise used a six -step process to calculate a base year job estimate and projections for each year past the base. First, historic job estimates produced by the U.S. Census Bureau LEND Program for City of Apache Junction were used to calculate a recent job growth rate of 2.03 percent. Second, the growth rate was used to estimate employment for 2011-2013. TischlerBise estimates the City of Apache Junction had 9,093 jobs for the base year of 2013. The 2030 job projection presented in the 2010 General Plan was discussed with staff to determine it more accurately reflects a 30 -year projection. Third, to calculate jobs projections for each year past the base, the City of Apache 2010 General Plan data was used to calculate the projected jobs to population ratio of 1:3. Fourth, the ratio was applied to the 2040 population projection of 56,472 to calculate a 2040 job projection of 20,453. Fifth, the 2013 employment estimate was used in conjunction with the 2040 employment projection to calculate a long-term growth rate of 3.05 percent. Lastly, 3.05 percent was applied to each projection year past the base. Figure C65 — Employment Trends in City of Apache Junction City of Apache Juncti on City of Apache Junction Estimates 111.1 2004 7,589 2008 8,709 2010 8,561 Employment Estimates KUM 8,735 8,912 9,093 Employment Projections (2) 2040 20,453 (1) U.S. Census Bureau LEHD web -based application OnTheMap, "all jobs" 2004-2010 (2] 2010 Apache Junction General Plan, 2030 job to population ratio (0.36) applied to 2040 population projection; Apache Junction Market Area adjusted to remove Gold Canyon Exponential Growth Rates 2004-10 2013-40 2.03%;3.05%' Employment by Industry Type In addition to projecting total employment, as part of the City of Apache Junction 2010 General Plan Update process, the City analyzed employment trends and set economic development priorities for the future. City staff made three assumptions to project employment distribution.First, there will be employment growth. Second, the City will actively recruit a diverse set of target industries. Third, office/institutional jobs will grow at a faster rate (3.18%) than commercial/retail jobs (2.80%) and industrial/flex jobs (2.67%). Between 2013 and 2033, the City of Apache Junction expects to add over 7,479 jobs. Figure C66 shows the incremental shift in employment distribution to increase the share of office/institutional jobs to the projected total employment for City of Apache Junction. lischledke Appendix C -80 Development Fee Study: Land Use Assumptions City of Apache Junction, Arizona Figure C66 - Employment Distribution by Industry Type City of Apache Junction Estimates [1] WEE 2010 Share Employment Estimates MEE 2013 Share City of Apache Junction Projections [2] Growth Rate Commercial/Retail 2,102 Office/Institutional 5,703 Industrial/Flex 756 25% 67% 9%i. 2,233 . 6,057 ,803 25% 67% 9% 3,878 11,334 1,360 2.80% 3.18% 2.67% TOTAL 8,561 100%9,093 I 100%16,572 3.05% [1] U.S. Census Bureau LEND web -based application OnTheMap, "all jobs" 2010. [2] City of Apache Junction, 2010 General Plan adjusted for 30 -year projections Nonresidential Square Footage Development Job estimates are used to estimate nonresidential square footage based on nationally recognized average square feet per employee data published by The Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE), and shown in Figure C67 below. Figure C67 - The Institute of Transportation Engineers, Employee and Building Area Ratios, 2012 ITE Land Use/Size Demand Weekday Trip Ends per Emp Per Unit Demand Unit*Employee*Dmd Unit**Code Commercial! Shopping Center 182-0 1Ayerage General Office limasq Ft Sq Ft Per Emp 2.00 I :SOO 716 -4Average -]1,000 Ft 11.03 3.32 -•332 -_ 301 Other Nonresidential 770 Business Park***1,000 Sq Ft 12.44 4.04 3.08 325 760 Research & Dev Center 1,000 Sq Ft 8.11 2.77 2.93 342 610 Hospital 1,000 Sq Ft 13.22 4.50 2.94 340 565 Day Care student 4.38 26.73 0.16 na 550 University/College student 1.71 8.96 0.19 na 530 High School student 1.71 19.74 0.09 na 520 Elementary School student 1.29 15.71 0.08 na 520 Elementary School 1,000 Sq Ft 15.43 15.71 0.98 1,018 320 Lodging MOM 5.63 12.81 0.44 na 254 Assisted Living bed 2.66 3.93 0.68 na 151 Mini -Warehouse 1,000 Sq Ft 2.50 61.90 0.04 24,760 150 Warehousing 1,000 Sq Ft 3.56 3.89 0.92 1,093 140 Manufacturing 1,000 Sq Ft 3.82 2.13 1.79 558 110:Light Industrial 1;000 Sq Ft 6.97 3.02 2.31 ' 433 *Trio Generation,Institute of Transportation Engineers, 9th Edition (2012). ** Employees per demand unit calculated from trip rates, except for Shopping Center data, which are derived from Development Handbook and Dollars and Cents of Shopping Centers, published by the Urban Land Institute. TischlerBise used 2012 data from the ITE to calculate the total nonresidential floor areas for three categories of development used in the calculation of development fees.To estimate current nonresidential floor area, 2013 job estimates by category were multiplied by ITE square feet per employee factors.It is estimated the City of Apache Junction has over 3 million square feet of Appendix C - 81lisdikaise Development Fee Study: Land Use Assumptions City of Apache Junction, Arizona nonresidential space in active use. Figure C68 shows the estimated square footage in 2013 for each major category of nonresidential development. Figure C68 — Estimated Employment and Nonresidential Floor Area in City of Apache Junction, 2013 2010 City of Apache Junction (1]Square Feet 2013 Nonresidential Pct of Nonres Total Jobs Per Employee (2)Estd Jobs Floor Area Floor Area Commercial/Retail 2,102 Office/Institutional 5,703 Industrial/Flex 756 TOTAL 8,561 25% 67% 9% 100% 500 301 433 362 2,233 6,057 803 9,093 1,116,500 1 1,823,141 347,928 3,287,569 100% 34% 55% 11% [11 U.S. Census Bureau LEND web -based application OnTheMap, "all jobs" [2) Trip Generation Manual, Institute of Transportation Engineers, 9th Edition (2012). Nonresidential Floor Area and Employment Projections Future employment growth and nonresidential development in the City of Apache Junction are projected based on information provided by City staff, and analysis of past trends in the City. To project employment for the City of Apache Junction, TischlerBise applied an annual growth rate of 3.05 percent for each year beyond the base year 2013 estimate of 9,093 jobs. The projected increase in employment was then used to project growth in nonresidential square footage using the Square Footage per Employee factors previously discussed. Results are shown in Figure C69. The City expects to add on average 374 jobs a year for the next twenty years. To keep pace with employment growth,the City should expect to add roughly 133,000 square feet of active nonresidential development each year. Appendix C - 82 Development Fee Study: Land Use Assumptions City of Apache Junction, Arizona Figure C69 - Nonresidential Floor Area and Employment Projections in City of Apache Junction, 2013-2033 Employment Projections 305%Five -Year Increments ..---,-). ' ' 6.-': :. ,,,:7 -'- ,<8 .7 :-e 7 ''-iii:T7:7if'777:Zli:,- 2013 • - 2.014 • - 2015 -2016 .. • ,.,2017 r 20 18 .2019 ,;' 8020 ,--,2021 ..'. 2022,,,,2023.;',-:-,,2028 ,.-2033 - SUMMARY OF DEMAND PROJECTIONS (City Limits), TOTAL JOBS 1 9,093 1 9,369 9,655 9,949 10,252 10,563 10,886 11,217 11,558 11,911 12,273 14,261 16,572 NONRESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT Growth Employment By Type Rate Commercial/Retail 2.8%:2,233 '2,295 2,360 2,426 2,494 2,563 2,635 2,709 2,785 2,863 2,943 3,378 3,878 Office/Institutional 3.2%I 6,057,6,250 6,449 6,654 6,866 7,084 7,310 7,542 7,782 8,030 8,285 9,691 11,334 Industrial/Flex 2.7%I 803:824 846 869 892 916 941 966 991 1,018 1,045 1,192 1,360 TOTAL 9,093:9,369 9,655 9,949 10,252 10,563 10,886 11,217 11,558 11,911 12,273 14,261 16,572 Nonres Floor Area (1,000 SF) Commercial (1,000 SF)500 .1,117 1,148 1,180 1,213 1,247 1,282 1,318 1,355 1,393 1,432 1,472 1,689 1,939 Offi ten nsti t (1,000 SF)301 •1,823 1,881 1,941 2,003 2,067 2,132 2,200 2,270 2,342 2,417 2,494 2,917 3,412 Industrial/Flex (1,000 SF)433 ‘348!357 367 377 386 397 408 419 429 441 453 516 589 TOTAL :3,288 i 3,386 3,488 3,592 3,700 3,811 3,926 4,044 4,164 4,290 4,418 5,122 5,940 ANNUAL INCREASES (City Limits)12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20 20-21 21-22 22-23 27-28 32-33 Jobs Nonres Floor Area (1,000 SF) 276 286 294 303 311 323 331 341 353 362 422 491 98 102 105 108 111 115 118 120 125 128 149 174 ramtulatIve b e 2013-2033- 7,475 1,645 5,277 557 7.478 823 1,589 241 2,652 20132033 'Ave 374 133 Source: City of Apache Junction, Tisc hl erBi se .Avg.Anii 2013:2033, 374 82 264 28 374 41 79 12 133 isth Appendix C - 83 Development Fee Study: Land Use Assumptions City of Apache Junction, Arizona AVERAGE DAILY VEHICLE TRIPS Average Daily Vehicle Trips are used for the Streets development fee category as a measure of demand by land use. Vehicle trips are estimated using average weekday vehicle trip ends from the reference book,Trip Generation, 9th Edition,published by the Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) in 2012. A vehicle trip end represents a vehicle either entering or exiting a development (as if a traffic counter were placed across a driveway). Trip Rate Adjustments Trip generation rates are adjusted to avoid double counting each trip at both the origin and destination points.Therefore, the basic trip adjustment factor is 50 percent.As discussed below,additional adjustments are made to ensure the fees are proportionate to the infrastructure demand for particular types of development. Adjustment for Journey -To -Work Commuting Residential development in the City of Apache Junction has a larger trip adjustment factor of 64 percent to account for commuters leaving Apache Junction for work. According to the National Household Travel Survey (2009), home -based work trips are typically 31 percent of "production" trips, in other words, out- bound trips (which are 50 percent of all trip ends). Data from the LEHD for 2010 indicate that 90 percent of Apache Junction's employed residents travel outside the City for work. In combination, these factors (0.31 x 0.50 x 0.90 = 0.14) account for 14 percent of additional production trips. The total adjustment factor for residential includes attraction trips (50% of trip ends) plus the journey -to -work commuting adjustment for a total of 64 percent. Figure C70 — Adjustment for Journey -To -Work Commuting Trip Adjustment Factor for Commuters (1) Employed Residents Residents Working in City Residents commuting Outside City for Work Percent Commuting out of the City Additional Production Trips [2] Residential Trip Adjustment Factor 12,031 1,236 10,795 90% 14% 64% [1] U.S. Census Bureau, 2010 OnTheMap Application (version 6.1.1) and LEND Origin -Destination Employment Statistics [2)National Household Travel Survey, 2009: Table 30 Adjustment for Pass -By Trips The basic trip adjustment factor of 50 percent is applied to the office/institutional, and industrial/flex categories. The commercial/retail category has a trip factor of less than 50 percent because this type of development attracts vehicles as they pass -by on arterial and collector roads.For an average size shopping center, the ITE (2012) indicates that on average 34 percent of the vehicles that enter are passing by on their way to some other primary destination. The remaining 66 percent of attraction trips have the shopping center as their primary destination, half of which are attraction trips. Tochitaise Appendix C - 84 Development Fee Study: Land Use Assumptions City of Apache Junction, Arizona Estimated Vehicle Trips in Apache Junction As an alternative to simply using the national average trip generation rate for residential development, the ITE publishes regression curve formulas that may be used to derive custom trip generation rates using local demographic data. Key independent variables needed for the analysis (i.e. vehicles available, housing units,households,and persons) are only available collectively from the 2011 ACS 5 -Year Estimates for Apache Junction.(Note: data from the ACS will not equal decennial census counts. These data are used only to derive the custom average weekday vehicle trip ends by type of housing unit, as shown below). Figure C71 - Average Weekday Vehicle Trip Ends by Housing Type in City of Apache Junction City of Apache Junction, AZ Households [2] Vehicles Units Available (1]Single Family Multifamily Owner -occupied 18,863 11,363 156 Renter -occupied 3,666 1,957 1,042 TOTAL 22,529 13,320 1,198 Housing Units [3] => Persons per Housing Unit => (1] Vehicles available by tenure from Table 825046, American Community Survey, 2011. [2] Households by tenure and units in structure from Table B25032, American Community Survey, 2011. [3] Housing units from Table 1325024, American Community Survey, 2011. ,Vehicles per Household ; Total 4yTenure 11,519 1.64 2,999 1.22 14,518 1.55 18,248 1,597 19,845 1.73 1.39 Single Family Units Multifamily Units Persons in Trip Vehicles by Trip ,Hholcls [41 _,Ends [51 Type of Housing Ends [6] 31,558 81,723 21,000 121,320 2,212 7,611 1,529 6,319 TOTAL 33,770 89,334 22,529 127,638 •Average Trip Ends 101,521 6,965 108,486 Trip Ends per Housing Unit 5.60 4.40 5.50 ITE Trip Ends ,Per Unit 9.52 6.65 Difference from RE -41% -34% [4] Total population in households from Tab1e25033, American Community Survey, 2011. [5] Vehicle trips ends based on persons using formulas from Trip Generation (ITE 2012).For single family housing (ITE 210), the fitted curve equation is EXP(0.91*LN(persons)+1.52). To approximate the average population of the ITE studies, persons were divided by 57 and the equation result multiplied by 57.For multifamily housing (ITE 220), the fitted curve equation is (3.47*persons)-64.48. [6]Vehicle trip ends based on vehicles available using formulas from Trip Generation (ITE 2012).For single family housing (ITE 210), the fitted curve equation is EXP(0.99*LN(vehicles)+1.81). To approximate the average number of vehicles in the ITE studies, vehicles available were divided by 77 and the equation result multiplied by 77.For multifamily housing (ITE 220), the fitted curve equation is (3.94*vehicles)+293.58. As shown, a single family unit has an average daily trip rate of 5.60 per unit (compared to 9.52 from ITE), and a multifamily unit has an average daily trip rate of 4.40 trips per unit (compared to 6.65 per unit from ITE). Average daily trips are derived using these data. Figure C72 details the calculations to determine that existing development in the City, generates an average of 108,339 vehicle trips on a typical weekday. Residential development is estimated to generate 81,339 vehicle trips (75 percent)compared to 27,000 vehicle trips (25 percent)generated by nonresidential development. An example of the calculation is as follows for single family units: 21,199 single family units x 5.60 vehicle trips per day per unit x 64 percent adjustment factor = 75,977 total vehicle trips per day from single family units in the City. The same calculation is done for each land use type. liscI*1301 Appendix C - 85 Development Fee Study: Land Use Assumptions City of Apache Junction, Arizona Figure C72 — Average Daily Trips from Existing Development in City of Apache Junction Base Year ,Residential Vehlde Trips on an Average Weekday*2013 Residential Units Single Family Multifamily Average Weekday Vehicle Trip Ends per Unit* Single Family Multifamily Residential Vehicle Trip Ends of an Average Weekday Single Family Multifamily Total Residential Trips , nre;idential Vehld e Trips oh on Avirage WiekdaY***-: Nonresidential Gross Floor Area (1,000 sq. ft.) Commercial/Retail Office/Institutional Industrial/Flex Average Weekday Vehicle Trips Ends per 1,000 Sq. Ft.** Commercial Office/Institutional Industrial/Flex Nonresidential Vehicle Trips on an Average Weekday Commercial Office/Institutional Industrial/Flex Total Nonresidential Trips Assumptions 21,199 1,904 Trip Rate Trip Factor 5.60 4.40 64% 64% 75,977 5,362 %of total 81,339 75% 2013 - Assumptions 1,117 1,823 348 Trip Rate Trip Factor 42.70 33% 11.03 50% 6.97 50% 15,733 10,055 1,213 27,000 25% TOTAL TRIPS 108,339 100% *Trip rates are customized for City of Apache Junction. See accompanying tables and discussion. **Trip rates are from the Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) Trip Generation Manual (2012) Todgeisise Appendix C - 86 Development Fee Study: Land Use Assumptions City of Apache Junction, Arizona Demand Indicators by Size of Detached Housing As part of the development fee effort for the City of Apache Junction, TischlerBise further analyzed demographic data to present the option to refine the development fee schedule to be more progressive for residential development. This can be done by developing fees by size of housing unit, based on bedroom count, or by type of single unit (i.e., manufactured unit). Household size and vehicle trip rates can be derived using custom tabulations of demographic data by bedroom range from survey responses provided by the U.S. Census Bureau in files know as Public Use Micro -data Samples (PUMS). Because PUMS data are only available for areas of roughly 100,000 persons, the City of Apache Junction is in Arizona Public Use Micro -data Area (PUMA) 0800. Data are first analyzed for the PUMA area, and then calibrated to conditions in the City of Apache Junction. TischlerBise used AZ PUMA 0800 2011 ACS 1 -Year Estimates to derive persons per housing unit factors by number of bedrooms as well as number of vehicle trips per unit factors by number of bedrooms. As shown in Figure C73, TischlerBise derived trip generation rates and average persons, by bedroom range and type, using the number of persons and vehicles available. Recommended multipliers were scaled to make the average value by type of housing for Arizona PUMA 0800 match the average value derived from ACS data specific to Apache Junction. As the number of bedrooms increases, trip ends and persons per housing unit increase as well. Figure C73 — Average Persons and Trip Ends by Bedroom Range in City of Apache Junction Single Family 0-3 Bdrms Single Fami ly4+ Bdrms Single Unit Subtotal Single Unit- Manufactured Multifamily Total GRAND TOTAL Recommended Multipliers for Municipality [4) Persons Trip [1)Ends [2) Vehicles Trip Available [1]Ends [3) Average Housing Trip Ends Units [1] Trip Ends per Persons per Housing Unit Housing Unit 1,331 3,682 970 5,642 4,662 737 4.93 1.47 7.62 2.51 5.60 _1.73 4.49 1.21 4.40 1.39 754 2,195 447 2,620 2,408 245 2,085 6,169 1,417 8,308 7,239 982 417 1,280 303 1,783 1,532 259 110 317 39 447 382 63 2,612 7,766 1,759 10,539 9,152 1,304 [1) American Community Survey, Public Use Microdata Sample for AZ PUMA 0800 (unweighted data for 2011). [2) Vehicle trips ends based on persons using formulas from Trip Generation (ITE 2012).For single family housing (ITE 210), the fitted curve equation is EXP(0.91*LN(persons)+1.52). To approximate the average population in the ITE studies, persons were divided by 5 and the equation result multiplied by 5. For multifamily housing (ITE 220), the fitted curve equation is (3.47*persons)-64.48. [3) Vehicle trip ends based on vehicles available using formulas from Trip Generation (ITE 2012).For single family housing (ITE 210), the fitted curve equation is EXP(0.99*LN(vehicles)+1.81). To approximate the average number of vehicles in the ITE studies, vehicles available were divided by 7 and the equation result multiplied by 7.For multifamily housing (ITE 220), the fitted curve equation is (3.94.vehicles)+293.58. [4] Recommended multipliers are scaled to make the average value bytype of housing for AZ PUMA 0800 match the average value for Apache Junction, derived from American CommunitySurvey 2011 data, with persons adjusted to the Citywide average of 1.73 persons per single family housing unit. LAND USE ASSUMPTIONS SUMMARY Provided on the next page is a summary of annual demographic and development projections to be used for the development fee study. Base year estimates for 2013 are used in the development fee calculations. Development projections are used to illustrate a possible future pace of service demands and cash flows resulting from revenues and expenditures associated with those service demands. Appendix C - 87Tiinkaltalg.esekaaINICSIgkIL Development Fee Study: Land Use Assumptions City of Apache Junction, Arizona Figure C74 - Land Use Assumptions Summary, City of Apache Junction SUMMARY OF DEMAND PROJECTIONS (City Limits) TOTAL YEAR-ROUND POPULATION TOTAL HOUSING UNITS TOTAL JOBS RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT Housing Units Five-Year Increments 1:::2013 -.2014';1015'2016 2017 1018 , ' '2019 -2620 '2021 2022 ,,2033 ;37,300 37,676 38,094 38,554 39,059 39,609 40,206 40,853 41,552 42,303 43,111 46,965 50,715 23,103.23,324 23,570 23,840 24,137 24,460 24,811 25,191 25,602 26,043 26,518 28,783 30,986 ,9,093 9,369 9,655 9,949 10,252 10,563 10,886 11,217 11,558 11,911 12,273 14,261 16,572 Unit Mix Single Family 92%.21,1991 21,402 21,628 21,875 22,148 22,444 22,766 23,115 23,492 23,897 24,333 26,411 28,432 Multifamily 8%:1,904;1,922 1,942 1,965 1,989 2,016 2,045 2,076 2,110 2,146 2,185 2,372 2,554 TOTAL ,.23,103.23,324 23,570 23,840 24,137 24,460 24,811 25,191 25,602 26,043 26,518 28,783 30,986 NONRESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT Growth Employment By Type Rate Commercial/Retail 2.8%" 2,2331 2,295 2,360 2,426 2,494 2,563 2,635 2,709 2,785 2,863 2,943 3,378 3,878 Office/Institutional 3.2%i 6,057 1 6,250 6,449 6,654 6,866 7,084 7,310 7,542 7,782 8,030 8,285 9,691 11,334 Industrial/Flex 2.7%:803:824 846 869 892 916 941 966 991 1,018 1,045 1,192 1,360 TOTAL .9,093,9,369 9,655 9,949 10,252 10,563 10,886 11,217 11,558 11,911 12,273 14,261 16,572 Nonres Floor Area (1,000 SF) Commercial (1,000 SF)500 :1,117 ,1,148 1,180 1,213 1,247 1,282 1,318 1,355 1,393 1,432 1,472 1,689 1,939 Office/Instit (1,000 SF)301 :1,823 ;1,881 1,941 2,003 2,067 2,132 2,200 2,270 2,342 2,417 2,494 2,917 3,412 Industrial/Flex (1,000 SF)433 .348,357 367 377 386 397 408 419 429 441 453 516 589 TOTAL '3,288:3,386 3,488 3,592 3,700 3,811 3,926 4,044 4,164 4,290 4,418 5,122 5,940 Cumulative " • Mae* , 2013-2033 " 13,415 7,883 7,479 7,233 650 7,883 1,645 5,277 557 7.479 823 1,589 241 2,652 Avg. Ann. Intrease 2013-2033 671 394 374 362 32 394 82 264 28 374 4 1 79 12 133 ANNUAL INCREASES (City Limits)12-13 13-14 14-15 15-16 16-17 17-18 18-19 19-20 20-21 21-22 22-23 27-28 32-33 Year -Round Population Housing Units 376 418 460 505 550 597 647 699 751 808 716 773 221 246 270 297 323 351 380 411 441 475 421 454 2013.2033 Avg Annual 671 394 Jobs 276 286 294 303 311 323 331 341 353 362 422 491 374 Nonres Floor Area (1,000 SF)98 102 105 108 111 115 118 120 125 128 149 174 133 Source: City of Apache Junction, Tisch] erBi se IscHerEtise Appendix C - 88 Development Fee Study: Land Use Assumptions City of Apache Junction, Arizona 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 Growth Projections 2013-2033 City of Apache Junction, AZ e • 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 ..41—Year-Round Population —M—Housing Units —ctr—Jobs Nonres Sq. Ft. (1,000s) lischOre*Appendix C -89